Long Trade on BTC (CatchTheWave)
With 0.17 BTC at 64835$ per unit. Take profit: 64929.0825 (0.15 %) & Stop Loss: 64787.9588 (0.073 %)
Long Trade on BTC (CatchTheWave)
With 0.17 BTC at 64835$ per unit. Take profit: 64929.0825 (0.15 %) & Stop Loss: 64787.9588 (0.073 %)
Position
Entry 64835$
Qty 0.1701 BTC
Size 11026.0716$ (margin 100$) (leverage 110)
Risk Setup
TP 64929.0825 (+0.15%)
TP $ 16$
SL 64787.9588 (-0.073%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.7759
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 0.76×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.43×ATR |
| 1d | near | -1.35×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bull_moderate rules_regime : bull_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 2 |
ml_regime : range_medium Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (+1) Tactical (1H) : bull_low (+1) 07/08 18:00 Score : +2 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
1H_regime : bull_low 15m_regime : range_low 5m_regime : range_low |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 06/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 07/08 16:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_low (+1) 07/08 18:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5366 | r1h: 0.103% · r4h: 0.419% · r1d: 0.92% · r3d: 1.32% · ema21_slope: 0.0406% · dist_ema21: 0.387% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5000 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 0.00% · rs_3d: 0.00% · beta_24h: 1.000 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1769 | rvol_20: 0.38× · zscore_50: -0.769 · trend: -28.89% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6332 | ADX: 21.5 (weak) · Chop: 43.9 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.377% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.080% | 1.1R | -0.032% | 0.5R | 2.5× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.131% | 1.8R | -0.088% | 1.2R | 1.5× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.136% | 1.9R | -0.088% | 1.2R | 1.5× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.324% | 4.5R | -0.088% | 1.2R | 3.7× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.324% | 4.5R | -0.088% | 1.2R | 3.7× | 144 |
computed 3 weeks ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
54%
|
noisy_chop 36% | early | — | near -1.4ATR | — | — | — | — | 06/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | strong | grind | compression | bull_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 32% | late | — | near -0.4ATR | — | — | — | — | 07/08 16:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | normal | bull_low |
51%
|
noisy_chop 43% | early | — | — | — | — | — | — | 07/08 18:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | range_low |
38%
|
noisy_chop 38% | early | — | — | — | — | — | — | 07/08 18:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 17b | — | 1.388×ATR | p0 | +0.456×ATR | p47 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 27b | — | 5.247×ATR | p87 | +0.501×ATR | p50 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early | 5b | — | 1.76×ATR | p18 | +0.146×ATR | p17 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 4b | — | 1.941×ATR | p19 | -0.325×ATR | p32 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-05 20:00:00
[1] => 64986
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-06 02:00:00
[1] => 64425
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-06 08:00:00
[1] => 64967
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-06 13:00:00
[1] => 64156
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-06 15:00:00
[1] => 64945
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-07 02:00:00
[1] => 64518
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-07 04:00:00
[1] => 64137
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-07 12:00:00
[1] => 65356
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-07 17:00:00
[1] => 64484
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-07 21:00:00
[1] => 65063
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.34120775248605
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.55362570560139
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 5
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.89789715278209
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-07 02:15:00
[1] => 64518
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-07 04:45:00
[1] => 64137
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-07 06:15:00
[1] => 64444
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-07 09:30:00
[1] => 64925
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-07 12:45:00
[1] => 65356
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-07 14:00:00
[1] => 64746
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-07 17:30:00
[1] => 64484
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-07 20:00:00
[1] => 64999
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-07 21:30:00
[1] => 65063
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-07 22:30:00
[1] => 64828
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.33813380876996
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.02313815018202
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 4
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.36249768618498
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 1
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-07 17:30:00
[1] => 64484
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-07 18:10:00
[1] => 64850
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-07 18:50:00
[1] => 64644
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-07 20:00:00
[1] => 64999
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-07 20:30:00
[1] => 64910
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-07 21:10:00
[1] => 64991
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-07 21:20:00
[1] => 64910
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-07 21:40:00
[1] => 65063
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-07 22:00:00
[1] => 64855
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-07 22:30:00
[1] => 64828
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.35042958363432
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.010797803418276
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 11
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 1
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.041648670327636
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
64484
194
0.7225
0.5823
0.3839
0.2084
0.5275
0.7153
0.199
0.6043
0.6953
0.5717
0.5364
0.8331
0.0576
0.052
1
0.3605
1.103
0.65
0.35
1
10
1
0.5832
0.4217
5.0778
0.55
0.7153
3.6322
1.103
0
0.41
0.52
0.0896
0.4419
0.3956
0.7051
0.8331
-2.3094
11.5292
1
0
1
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18:36 | 64835.00000000 | 0% |
| 2 | 18:42 | 64819.00000000 | -0.025% |
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-07 17:30:00 | 64484 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 18:10:00 | 64850 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 18:50:00 | 64644 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 20:00:00 | 64999 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 20:30:00 | 64910 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 21:10:00 | 64991 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 21:20:00 | 64910 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 21:40:00 | 65063 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 22:00:00 | 64855 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 22:30:00 | 64828 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-07 02:15:00 | 64518 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 04:45:00 | 64137 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 06:15:00 | 64444 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 09:30:00 | 64925 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 12:45:00 | 65356 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 14:00:00 | 64746 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 17:30:00 | 64484 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 20:00:00 | 64999 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 21:30:00 | 65063 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 22:30:00 | 64828 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 20:00:00 | 64986 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 02:00:00 | 64425 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-06 08:00:00 | 64967 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 13:00:00 | 64156 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-06 15:00:00 | 64945 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 02:00:00 | 64518 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 04:00:00 | 64137 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 12:00:00 | 65356 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 17:00:00 | 64484 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 21:00:00 | 65063 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 64835 | 64787.9588 | 64929.0825 | 2 | 78107 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 64787.9588 - 64835 = -47.0412
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 64835 - 64929.0825 = -94.082499999997
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -94.082499999997 / -47.0412 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11026.0716 | 100 | 0.1701 | 110.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -47.0412 = -0.17
Taille de position USD = -0.17 x 64835 = -11021.95
Donc, tu peux acheter -0.17 avec un stoploss a 64787.9588
Avec un position size USD de -11021.95$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -0.17 x -47.0412 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -0.17 x -94.082499999997 = 15.99
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.99$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.15 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.073 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.07 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.0879 % | 121.07 % | 3 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 64835 | 64787.9588 | 64929.0825 | 2 | 78107 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 64787.9588 - 64835 = -47.0412
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 64835 - 64929.0825 = -94.082499999997
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -94.082499999997 / -47.0412 = 2
Array
(
)
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 64929.0825
[entry_price] => 64835
[stop_loss] => 64783.25468
[rr_ratio] => 1.82
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2026-08-08 00:15:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 64929.0825
[entry_price] => 64835
[stop_loss] => 64778.55056
[rr_ratio] => 1.67
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2026-08-08 00:15:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 64929.0825
[entry_price] => 64835
[stop_loss] => 64773.84644
[rr_ratio] => 1.54
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2026-08-08 03:15:00+00
[result] => win
)
[1.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 64929.0825
[entry_price] => 64835
[stop_loss] => 64764.4382
[rr_ratio] => 1.33
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2026-08-08 03:15:00+00
[result] => win
)
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.080% | 1.1R | -0.032% | 0.5R | 2.5× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.131% | 1.8R | -0.088% | 1.2R | 1.5× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.136% | 1.9R | -0.088% | 1.2R | 1.5× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.324% | 4.5R | -0.088% | 1.2R | 3.7× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.324% | 4.5R | -0.088% | 1.2R | 3.7× | 144 |
computed 3 weeks ago
Aucun commentaire.