Long Trade on XMR (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 1.13 XMR at 376.75$ per unit. Take profit: 394.391 (4.68 %) & Stop Loss: 369.6936 (1.87 %)
07 Aug 2026 at 19:10:08
hyperliquid
XMR
LONG
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
07 Aug 2026 19:10
→ 07:05
· 11 hours
Position
Entry 376.75$
Qty 1.1337 XMR
Size 427.1299$ (margin 100$) (leverage 4)
Risk Setup
TP 394.391 (+4.68%)
TP $ 20$
SL 369.6936 (-1.87%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2.5
Status
loss
PnL
-0.24%
/ -1.01$
MAE -0.41%
MFE +1.39%
0.7R
expires
08 Aug 07:10
Exit
time_expired
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 62064)
#5 / 47
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 07/08/2026 19:00
score du 07/08/2026 19:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.6770
Quality Score
0.554
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
74 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
2
OK
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
6.2M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
07/08 19:02
07/08 19:02
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#5 / 47
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
74 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+8
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
1.87 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#5 / 47
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
74 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+8
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
1.87 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | near | -1.53×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bull_moderate rules_regime : bull_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 2 |
ml_regime : range_medium Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (+1) Tactical (1H) : bull_low (+1) 07/08 19:00 Score : +2 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 06/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 07/08 16:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_medium (+1) 07/08 18:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Score brut
0.5542
Score SMA
0.5526
Rank
#5
/ 47
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.6770
Rank Norm SMA
0.7220
Calculé le
07/08/2026 19:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5849 | r1h: -0.343% · r4h: 0.964% · r1d: 1.38% · r3d: 6.34% · ema21_slope: 0.0659% · dist_ema21: 1.020% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5566 | rs_1h: -0.269% · rs_4h: 0.738% · rs_1d: 0.58% · rs_3d: 5.41% · beta_24h: 0.341 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1540 | rvol_20: 0.23× · zscore_50: -1.377 · trend: -15.63% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7251 | ADX: 27.0 (trend) · Chop: 38.2 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.659% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -1.873%
(7.0564)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.621% | 0.3R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +1.248% | 0.7R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 24 |
| 4h | +1.271% | 0.7R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 48 |
| 8h | +1.271% | 0.7R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +1.394% | 0.7R | -0.406% | 0.2R | 3.4× | 143 |
| 24h | +2.490% | 1.3R | -0.539% | 0.3R | 4.6× | 288 |
computed 3 weeks ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.3
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | range | range | strong | fading | compression | bull_high |
67%
|
noisy_chop 43% | mid | — | near -1.5ATR | 0.50 | bear_high | -3.19% | +0.75 | 06/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | fading | expansion | bull_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 45% | late | — | — | 0.37 | bull_high | +1.23% | +0.32 | 07/08 16:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | expansion | bull_medium |
60%
|
noisy_chop 43% | mid | — | — | 0.26 | range_low | +0.75% | +0.12 | 07/08 18:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | expansion | bull_low |
55%
|
noisy_chop 51% | early | — | — | 0.09 | range_low | +0.17% | +0.13 | 07/08 18:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | 10b | — | 2.835×ATR | p16 | +0.646×ATR | p75 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 15b | — | 5.862×ATR | p97 | +1.456×ATR | p97 |
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | 6b | — | 3.27×ATR | p58 | +0.916×ATR | p73 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 4b | — | 0.727×ATR | p0 | +0.028×ATR | p3 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - BUY
Indicators:
- long_trend: 1
- confidence: 0.7431
- reason: up_bo width=1.74×ATR dur=24b phase=fresh
- stop_price: 369.69359933
- tp_price: 394.39100168
- atr:
- score: 0.74307597406496
- expires_at: 2026-08-08T11:10:01.097029
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.74307597406496
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : 0.1447
- obi_top10 : 0.1423
- micro_price : 377.04413793
- spread_pct : 0.061035
- mid_price : 376.945
- bid_wall_price : 375
- bid_wall_size : 697.24
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price : 382
- ask_wall_size : 622.45
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : 0.1447
- obi_top5_std : 0
- pressure_side : neutral
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 7022
- aggregation_tick : 1
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
371.94
- balance_zone_bottom:
367.91
- balance_zone_mid:
369.925
- balance_zone_start_time:
1786060800
- balance_zone_end_time:
1786143600
- balance_zone_width_atr:
1.7416
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
24
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: forming
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.7431
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: up
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1786129200
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
371.94
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.7917
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
4
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
2.0786
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
1
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
1
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
5
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
5
- regime : bull_high
- atr_entry : 2.31400671 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
24
inside_close_ratio
0.7917
bars_since_breakout
4
distance_to_edge_atr
2.0786
Signaux confirmants (12)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19:10 | 376.75000000 | 0% |
| 2 | 19:16 | 376.75000000 | 0% |
| 3 | 19:22 | 377.46000000 | +0.188% |
| 4 | 19:27 | 377.46000000 | +0.188% |
| 5 | 19:34 | 377.46000000 | +0.188% |
| 6 | 19:40 | 377.64000000 | +0.236% |
| 7 | 19:46 | 377.64000000 | +0.236% |
| 8 | 19:51 | 377.68000000 | +0.247% |
| 9 | 19:57 | 377.68000000 | +0.247% |
| 10 | 20:05 | 377.68000000 | +0.247% |
| 11 | 20:10 | 379.06000000 | +0.613% |
| 12 | 20:16 | 379.06000000 | +0.613% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
→ neutral
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
7022ms
Confidence avant OB :
74%
→
74%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
0.145
avg 0.145
± 0.000
OBI Top 10
0.142
Microstructure
Mid Price
376.9450
Micro Price
377.0441
Spread
0.0610%
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
Price
375.0000
Size
697.24
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
Price
382.0000
Size
622.45
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 376.75 | 369.6936 | 394.391 | 2.5 | 517.06 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 376.75
- Stop Loss: 369.6936
- Take Profit: 394.391
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 369.6936 - 376.75 = -7.0564
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 376.75 - 394.391 = -17.641
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -17.641 / -7.0564 = 2.5
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 427.1299 | 100 | 1.1337 | 4.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -7.0564
Taille de position = 8 / -7.0564 = -1.13
Taille de position USD = -1.13 x 376.75 = -425.73
Donc, tu peux acheter -1.13 avec un stoploss a 369.6936
Avec un position size USD de -425.73$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -1.13 x -7.0564 = 7.97
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 7.97$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -1.13 x -17.641 = 19.93
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 19.93$
Résumé
- Taille de position -1.13
- Taille de position USD -425.73
- Perte potentielle 7.97
- Gain potentiel 19.93
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 4.68 % | 20 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.87 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -1.01 $ | -0.24 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.4061 % | 21.68 % | 2 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 376.75 | 369.6936 | 394.391 | 2.5 | 517.06 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 376.75
- Stop Loss: 369.6936
- Take Profit: 394.391
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 369.6936 - 376.75 = -7.0564
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 376.75 - 394.391 = -17.641
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -17.641 / -7.0564 = 2.5
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -1.873%
(7.0564)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.621% | 0.3R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +1.248% | 0.7R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 24 |
| 4h | +1.271% | 0.7R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 48 |
| 8h | +1.271% | 0.7R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +1.394% | 0.7R | -0.406% | 0.2R | 3.4× | 143 |
| 24h | +2.490% | 1.3R | -0.539% | 0.3R | 4.6× | 288 |
computed 3 weeks ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.