Long Trade on NIL (CatchTheWave)
With 12971.85 NIL at 0.0364$ per unit. Take profit: 0.03767 (3.38 %) & Stop Loss: 0.03582 (1.7 %)
Long Trade on NIL (CatchTheWave)
With 12971.85 NIL at 0.0364$ per unit. Take profit: 0.03767 (3.38 %) & Stop Loss: 0.03582 (1.7 %)
Position
Entry 0.03644$
Qty 12971.8511 NIL
Size 472.6943$ (margin 100$) (leverage 5)
Risk Setup
TP 0.03767 (+3.38%)
TP $ 15.96$
SL 0.03582 (-1.7%)
SL $ 8.04$
RR 1.98
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.9176
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 1.61×ATR |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | clear | — |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 1d | — | — | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bull_moderate rules_regime : bull_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 2 |
ml_regime : range_medium Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (+1) Tactical (1H) : bull_low (+1) 07/08 19:00 Score : +2 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.036576 15m : 0.074777 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : bear_high 5m_regime : bear_high |
Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 07/08 16:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 07/08 18:00 Score : +3 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6320 | r1h: -0.215% · r4h: -13.204% · r1d: 9.35% · r3d: 5.70% · ema21_slope: 0.6949% · dist_ema21: -0.250% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5158 | rs_1h: -0.141% · rs_4h: -13.429% · rs_1d: 8.55% · rs_3d: 4.78% · beta_24h: -0.247 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.4924 | rvol_20: 0.90× · zscore_50: 0.428 · trend: 153.70% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7871 | ADX: 34.5 (trend) · Chop: 15.8 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.5850 | ATR%: 4.245% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +2.374% | 1.4R | -0.091% | 0.1R | 26.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +2.374% | 1.4R | -1.131% | 0.7R | 2.1× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +2.374% | 1.4R | -2.805% | 1.7R | 0.9× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.374% | 1.4R | -4.599% | 2.7R | 0.5× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.374% | 1.4R | -6.435% | 3.8R | 0.4× | 144 |
computed 3 weeks ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | — | ||||||||||||||||
| 4h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 40% | early | — | — | 0.41 | bull_high | +1.23% | +0.50 | 07/08 16:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 47% | late | — | — | 0.11 | range_low | +0.75% | +0.64 | 07/08 18:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion_after_compression | bull_high |
54%
|
noisy_chop 42% | late | — | — | — | range_low | +0.13% | -0.40 | 07/08 18:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4h | ↓ down | early | 1b | — | 2.694×ATR | p29 | +0.384×ATR | p43 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 3b | — | 4.623×ATR | p82 | -0.738×ATR | p57 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 12b | — | 6.393×ATR | p90 | -0.551×ATR | p38 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
64890.4
-0.000608353
64851
0.036576
64718.6
0.00204477
64851
0.074777
64417.7
0.00677241
64854
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0.044338
195
0.6577
0.7392
0.3796
0.2741
0.4658
1
0.3263
0.5402
0.7242
0.952
0.7914
0.5065
0.0636
0.0594
0.6667
-0.1758
0.6067
0.7
0.3
1
4
1
0.4518
0.7705
7.6011
0.55
2.5874
6.4482
0.6067
0.5499
0.2132
0.92
1.662
0.7366
0.5906
0.8275
0.5065
-4.0601
4.1666
1
0
0
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (3)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19:21 | 0.03644000 | 0% |
| 2 | 19:39 | 0.03649000 | +0.137% |
| 3 | 19:44 | 0.03647300 | +0.091% |
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-07 17:25:00 | 0.037629 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 19:00:00 | 0.043797 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 19:30:00 | 0.044338 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 20:40:00 | 0.037725 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 21:00:00 | 0.038929 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 21:45:00 | 0.036908 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 22:05:00 | 0.038139 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 22:35:00 | 0.036982 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 23:10:00 | 0.037706 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 23:20:00 | 0.036409 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-07 00:45:00 | 0.034566 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 04:00:00 | 0.033827 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 05:00:00 | 0.034241 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 07:45:00 | 0.032768 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 12:00:00 | 0.036276 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 12:30:00 | 0.035306 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 17:15:00 | 0.037629 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 19:30:00 | 0.044338 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 21:45:00 | 0.036908 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 23:15:00 | 0.036541 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 04:00:00 | 0.035755 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 06:00:00 | 0.03229 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-04 13:00:00 | 0.03634 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 00:00:00 | 0.036346 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 16:00:00 | 0.032549 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-06 14:00:00 | 0.038524 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 23:00:00 | 0.033665 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 07:00:00 | 0.032768 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 19:00:00 | 0.044338 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 21:00:00 | 0.036908 | ↓ Low |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.03644 | 0.03582 | 0.03767 | 1.98 | 0.04897 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.03582 - 0.03644 = -0.00062
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.03644 - 0.03767 = -0.00123
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00123 / -0.00062 = 1.9839
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 472.6943 | 100 | 12971.8511 | 5.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.00062 = -12903.23
Taille de position USD = -12903.23 x 0.03644 = -470.19
Donc, tu peux acheter -12903.23 avec un stoploss a 0.03582
Avec un position size USD de -470.19$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -12903.23 x -0.00062 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -12903.23 x -0.00123 = 15.87
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.87$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.38 % | 15.96 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.7 % | 8.04 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8.04 $ | -1.70 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.9539 % | 114.84 % | 4 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.03644 | 0.03582 | 0.03767 | 1.98 | 0.04897 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.03582 - 0.03644 = -0.00062
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.03644 - 0.03767 = -0.00123
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00123 / -0.00062 = 1.9839
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +2.374% | 1.4R | -0.091% | 0.1R | 26.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +2.374% | 1.4R | -1.131% | 0.7R | 2.1× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +2.374% | 1.4R | -2.805% | 1.7R | 0.9× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.374% | 1.4R | -4.599% | 2.7R | 0.5× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.374% | 1.4R | -6.435% | 3.8R | 0.4× | 144 |
computed 3 weeks ago
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