Long Trade on BTC (CatchTheWave)
With 0.27 BTC at 64830$ per unit. Take profit: 64888.5829 (0.09 %) & Stop Loss: 64800.7086 (0.045 %)
Long Trade on BTC (CatchTheWave)
With 0.27 BTC at 64830$ per unit. Take profit: 64888.5829 (0.09 %) & Stop Loss: 64800.7086 (0.045 %)
Position
Entry 64830$
Qty 0.2731 BTC
Size 17706.1911$ (margin 100$) (leverage 177)
Risk Setup
TP 64888.5829 (+0.09%)
TP $ 16$
SL 64800.7086 (-0.045%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.7297
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | 0.01×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.25×ATR |
| 1d | near | -1.48×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bull_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 1 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (+1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 07/08 20:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
1H_regime : range_low 15m_regime : range_low 5m_regime : range_low |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 07/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 07/08 16:00 Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 07/08 20:00 Score : -1 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5211 | r1h: 0.017% · r4h: -0.086% · r1d: 0.89% · r3d: 1.24% · ema21_slope: 0.0307% · dist_ema21: 0.152% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5000 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 0.00% · rs_3d: 0.00% · beta_24h: 1.000 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1287 | rvol_20: 0.16× · zscore_50: -1.069 · trend: -51.22% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5561 | ADX: 20.5 (weak) · Chop: 52.4 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.342% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.144% | 3.2R | -0.054% | 1.2R | 2.7× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.144% | 3.2R | -0.054% | 1.2R | 2.7× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.332% | 7.3R | -0.054% | 1.2R | 6.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.332% | 7.3R | -0.054% | 1.2R | 6.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.332% | 7.3R | -0.054% | 1.2R | 6.1× | 144 |
computed 3 weeks ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 36% | early | — | near -1.5ATR | — | — | — | — | 07/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | strong | grind | compression | bull_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 31% | late | — | near -0.3ATR | — | — | — | — | 07/08 16:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | range_low |
43%
|
noisy_chop 42% | early | — | near 0.0ATR | — | — | — | — | 07/08 20:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | range_low |
38%
|
noisy_chop 34% | mid | — | — | — | — | — | — | 07/08 20:15 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 18b | — | 1.466×ATR | p0 | +0.391×ATR | p40 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 27b | — | 4.958×ATR | p84 | +0.341×ATR | p33 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early | 7b | — | 1.762×ATR | p16 | +0.009×ATR | p1 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 11b | — | 3.034×ATR | p64 | -0.227×ATR | p23 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
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[1] => 64137
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[0] => 2026-08-07 12:00:00
[1] => 65356
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[1] => 64484
[2] => L
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[9] => Array
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[1] => 65063
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[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
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[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.31661620275733
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.57843806215495
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 3
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 7
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.89789715278209
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
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[1] => Array
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[0] => 2026-08-07 09:30:00
[1] => 64925
[2] => H
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[2] => Array
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[0] => 2026-08-07 12:45:00
[1] => 65356
[2] => H
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[3] => Array
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[0] => 2026-08-07 14:00:00
[1] => 64746
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[4] => Array
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[0] => 2026-08-07 17:30:00
[1] => 64484
[2] => L
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[5] => Array
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[0] => 2026-08-07 20:00:00
[1] => 64999
[2] => H
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[0] => 2026-08-07 21:30:00
[1] => 65063
[2] => H
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[7] => Array
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[0] => 2026-08-07 22:30:00
[1] => 64813
[2] => L
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[8] => Array
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[0] => 2026-08-08 00:00:00
[1] => 64920
[2] => H
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[9] => Array
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[0] => 2026-08-08 00:15:00
[1] => 64830
[2] => L
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[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
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[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.13863216266174
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.1388246182323
[ms_bos_up] => 0
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[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
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[1] => 64910
[2] => L
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[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-07 21:10:00
[1] => 64991
[2] => H
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[2] => Array
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[0] => 2026-08-07 21:20:00
[1] => 64910
[2] => L
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[3] => Array
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[1] => 65063
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[4] => Array
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[0] => 2026-08-07 22:00:00
[1] => 64855
[2] => L
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[5] => Array
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[1] => 64813
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[6] => Array
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[1] => 64887
[2] => H
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[7] => Array
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[0] => 2026-08-07 23:20:00
[1] => 64839
[2] => L
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[8] => Array
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[0] => 2026-08-08 00:05:00
[1] => 64920
[2] => H
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[1] => 64830
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[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
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[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.13863216266174
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 2
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.1388246182323
[ms_bos_up] => 1
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64484
192
0.7243
0.5648
0.3793
0.2083
0.5192
0.7153
0.2161
0.5999
0.6953
0.1575
0.5407
0.8383
0.0698
0.0638
1
0.4105
1.3042
0.65
0.35
1
12
1
0.5834
0.4217
5.0778
0.5
0.7153
3.6322
1.3042
0
0.408
0
-0.0637
0.4207
0.4339
0.7289
0.8383
-2.7081
14.0395
1
0
1
Signal Details
Market Structure Score: 0
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-07 20:30:00 | 64910 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 21:10:00 | 64991 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 21:20:00 | 64910 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 21:40:00 | 65063 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 22:00:00 | 64855 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 22:35:00 | 64813 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 22:50:00 | 64887 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 23:20:00 | 64839 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-08 00:05:00 | 64920 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 00:15:00 | 64830 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-07 06:15:00 | 64444 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 09:30:00 | 64925 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 12:45:00 | 65356 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 14:00:00 | 64746 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 17:30:00 | 64484 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 20:00:00 | 64999 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 21:30:00 | 65063 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 22:30:00 | 64813 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-08 00:00:00 | 64920 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 00:15:00 | 64830 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 20:00:00 | 64986 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 02:00:00 | 64425 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-06 08:00:00 | 64967 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 13:00:00 | 64156 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-06 15:00:00 | 64945 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 02:00:00 | 64518 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 04:00:00 | 64137 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 12:00:00 | 65356 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 17:00:00 | 64484 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 21:00:00 | 65063 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 64830 | 64800.7086 | 64888.5829 | 2 | 77403 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 64800.7086 - 64830 = -29.291400000002
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 64830 - 64888.5829 = -58.582900000001
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -58.582900000001 / -29.291400000002 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17706.1911 | 100 | 0.2731 | 177.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -29.291400000002 = -0.27
Taille de position USD = -0.27 x 64830 = -17504.1
Donc, tu peux acheter -0.27 avec un stoploss a 64800.7086
Avec un position size USD de -17504.1$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -0.27 x -29.291400000002 = 7.91
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 7.91$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -0.27 x -58.582900000001 = 15.82
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.82$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.09 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.045 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.05 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.054 % | 119.47 % | 0 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 64830 | 64800.7086 | 64888.5829 | 2 | 77403 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 64800.7086 - 64830 = -29.291400000002
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 64830 - 64888.5829 = -58.582900000001
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -58.582900000001 / -29.291400000002 = 2
Array
(
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Array
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[take_profit] => 64888.5829
[entry_price] => 64830
[stop_loss] => 64797.77946
[rr_ratio] => 1.82
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2026-08-08 00:20:00+00
[result] => loss
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[1.2] => Array
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[take_profit] => 64888.5829
[entry_price] => 64830
[stop_loss] => 64794.85032
[rr_ratio] => 1.67
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2026-08-08 01:10:00+00
[result] => win
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[1.3] => Array
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[take_profit] => 64888.5829
[entry_price] => 64830
[stop_loss] => 64791.92118
[rr_ratio] => 1.54
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2026-08-08 01:10:00+00
[result] => win
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[1.5] => Array
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[take_profit] => 64888.5829
[entry_price] => 64830
[stop_loss] => 64786.0629
[rr_ratio] => 1.33
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[closed_at] => 2026-08-08 01:10:00+00
[result] => win
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.144% | 3.2R | -0.054% | 1.2R | 2.7× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.144% | 3.2R | -0.054% | 1.2R | 2.7× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.332% | 7.3R | -0.054% | 1.2R | 6.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.332% | 7.3R | -0.054% | 1.2R | 6.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.332% | 7.3R | -0.054% | 1.2R | 6.1× | 144 |
computed 3 weeks ago
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