Long Trade on ETHFI (CatchTheWave)
With 6369.48 ETHFI at 0.38$ per unit. Take profit: 0.3825 (0.66 %) & Stop Loss: 0.3788 (0.32 %)
Long Trade on ETHFI (CatchTheWave)
With 6369.48 ETHFI at 0.38$ per unit. Take profit: 0.3825 (0.66 %) & Stop Loss: 0.3788 (0.32 %)
Position
Entry 0.38$
Qty 6369.4775 ETHFI
Size 2420.5288$ (margin 100$) (leverage 24)
Risk Setup
TP 0.3825 (+0.66%)
TP $ 15.92$
SL 0.3788 (-0.32%)
SL $ 7.64$
RR 2.08
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.9780
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 3.39×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 2.64×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 1.78×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bull_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 1 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (+1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 07/08 20:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.152872 15m : 0.276967 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : range_medium 5m_regime : range_low |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 07/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (-2) 07/08 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 07/08 20:00 Score : -4 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6100 | r1h: 0.455% · r4h: -1.444% · r1d: 5.73% · r3d: 7.42% · ema21_slope: 0.2802% · dist_ema21: 1.476% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6020 | rs_1h: 0.438% · rs_4h: -1.358% · rs_1d: 4.85% · rs_3d: 6.17% · beta_24h: 1.586 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.4996 | rvol_20: 1.61× · zscore_50: 0.925 · trend: -5.26% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7500 | ADX: 31.4 (trend) · Chop: 39.6 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.338% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.424% | 1.3R | -0.237% | 0.8R | 1.8× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.574% | 1.8R | -0.237% | 0.8R | 2.4× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.929% | 2.9R | -0.237% | 0.8R | 3.9× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.434% | 4.5R | -0.237% | 0.8R | 6.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.476% | 4.7R | -0.237% | 0.8R | 6.2× | 144 |
computed 3 weeks ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
51%
|
noisy_chop 40% | early | — | — | 0.61 | bear_high | -3.08% | -0.91 | 07/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | balanced | compression | bear_high |
64%
|
noisy_chop 42% | mid | — | — | 0.42 | bull_high | +1.25% | +0.36 | 07/08 20:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | fading | expansion | bull_high |
62%
|
noisy_chop 42% | early | — | — | 0.42 | bull_low | +0.77% | +0.41 | 07/08 20:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bull_medium |
56%
|
noisy_chop 45% | early | near -0.6ATR | — | — | range_low | +0.16% | -0.13 | 07/08 20:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 17b | — | 3.619×ATR | p24 | -0.042×ATR | p5 |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | 8b | — | 3.477×ATR | p58 | +0.638×ATR | p63 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 7b | — | 1.8×ATR | p17 | +0.005×ATR | p1 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 10b | — | 1.291×ATR | p0 | -0.05×ATR | p5 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
64871.8
-4.43433E-5
64869
0.152872
64730.4
0.00215627
64870
0.276967
64400
0.00729668
64870
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0.38988
192
0.7069
0.618
0.3109
0.2468
0.3633
1
0.5905
0.4806
0.6388
0.7559
0.6359
0.5754
0.0857
0.078
1
0.7568
1.8672
0.45
0.55
1
7
1
0.5064
0.4623
7.9139
0.6
1.1736
2.546
1.8672
0.8312
0.3787
0.68
0.2218
0.5599
0.4613
0.8367
0.5754
-4.8944
6.6337
1
0
0
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 20:50 | 0.38002000 | +0.005% |
| 2 | 20:56 | 0.37989000 | -0.029% |
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-07 21:00:00 | 0.38003 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 21:05:00 | 0.38345 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 21:40:00 | 0.38263 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 22:00:00 | 0.37917 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 22:15:00 | 0.38168 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 22:35:00 | 0.37963 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 23:15:00 | 0.38226 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 23:50:00 | 0.38004 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-08 00:15:00 | 0.38439 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 00:50:00 | 0.38002 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-07 08:30:00 | 0.36829 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 10:15:00 | 0.36424 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 12:45:00 | 0.38792 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 14:45:00 | 0.37663 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 16:30:00 | 0.38 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 17:30:00 | 0.38988 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 18:30:00 | 0.38185 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 20:00:00 | 0.38828 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 22:00:00 | 0.37917 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-08 00:15:00 | 0.38439 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 00:00:00 | 0.34887 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 06:00:00 | 0.36847 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 13:00:00 | 0.35971 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 14:00:00 | 0.37248 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 00:00:00 | 0.37491 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 09:00:00 | 0.35276 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-06 15:00:00 | 0.36201 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 19:00:00 | 0.34868 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 17:00:00 | 0.38988 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 22:00:00 | 0.37917 | ↓ Low |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.38 | 0.3788 | 0.3825 | 2.08 | 0.5818 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.3788 - 0.38 = -0.0012
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.38 - 0.3825 = -0.0025
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0025 / -0.0012 = 2.0833
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2420.5288 | 100 | 6369.4775 | 24.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0012 = -6666.67
Taille de position USD = -6666.67 x 0.38 = -2533.33
Donc, tu peux acheter -6666.67 avec un stoploss a 0.3788
Avec un position size USD de -2533.33$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -6666.67 x -0.0012 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -6666.67 x -0.0025 = 16.67
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.67$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.66 % | 15.92 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.32 % | 7.64 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 15.92 $ | 0.66 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.2368 % | 74.98 % | 10 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.38 | 0.3788 | 0.3825 | 2.08 | 0.5818 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.3788 - 0.38 = -0.0012
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.38 - 0.3825 = -0.0025
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0025 / -0.0012 = 2.0833
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Array
(
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.424% | 1.3R | -0.237% | 0.8R | 1.8× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.574% | 1.8R | -0.237% | 0.8R | 2.4× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.929% | 2.9R | -0.237% | 0.8R | 3.9× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.434% | 4.5R | -0.237% | 0.8R | 6.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.476% | 4.7R | -0.237% | 0.8R | 6.2× | 144 |
computed 3 weeks ago
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