Long Trade on NIL (CatchTheWave)
With 16672.92 NIL at 0.0361$ per unit. Take profit: 0.03711 (2.66 %) & Stop Loss: 0.03567 (1.33 %)
Long Trade on NIL (CatchTheWave)
With 16672.92 NIL at 0.0361$ per unit. Take profit: 0.03711 (2.66 %) & Stop Loss: 0.03567 (1.33 %)
Position
Entry 0.03615$
Qty 16672.919 NIL
Size 602.726$ (margin 100$) (leverage 6)
Risk Setup
TP 0.03711 (+2.66%)
TP $ 16.01$
SL 0.03567 (-1.33%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.9433
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 1.92×ATR |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | clear | 44.29×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | early | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bull_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 1 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (+1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 07/08 21:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.008688 15m : 0.073442 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : bear_high 5m_regime : bear_high_confirmed |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 07/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 07/08 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 07/08 20:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6697 | r1h: -0.348% · r4h: -5.630% · r1d: 6.88% · r3d: 1.89% · ema21_slope: 0.6080% · dist_ema21: -1.432% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4500 | rs_1h: -0.325% · rs_4h: -5.522% · rs_1d: 5.97% · rs_3d: 0.47% · beta_24h: -0.271 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.5294 | rvol_20: 1.18× · zscore_50: 0.799 · trend: 75.24% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7621 | ADX: 31.5 (trend) · Chop: 22.2 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.6262 | ATR%: 4.121% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.451% | 0.3R | -2.025% | 1.5R | 0.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.451% | 0.3R | -2.025% | 1.5R | 0.2× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +2.606% | 2.0R | -2.025% | 1.5R | 1.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.606% | 2.0R | -5.234% | 3.9R | 0.5× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.606% | 2.0R | -5.685% | 4.3R | 0.5× | 144 |
computed 3 weeks ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | strong | grind | volatile_reversal | bear_high |
53%
|
noisy_chop 41% | early | — | — | 0.34 | bear_high | -3.08% | +0.37 | 07/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 40% | early | — | — | 0.40 | bull_high | +1.25% | +0.46 | 07/08 20:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 46% | late | — | — | 0.11 | bull_low | +0.77% | +0.56 | 07/08 20:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
49%
|
noisy_chop 45% | late | — | — | — | range_low | +0.16% | -0.93 | 07/08 20:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early | 7b | — | 2.393×ATR | p0 | +0.473×ATR | p50 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | 2b | — | 3.146×ATR | p45 | +0.107×ATR | p11 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 5b | — | 5.055×ATR | p88 | -0.607×ATR | p48 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 20b | — | 9.003×ATR | p93 | -0.566×ATR | p38 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
64868.7
0.000282022
64887
0.008688
64732.2
0.00239062
64887
0.073442
64400
0.00729668
64870
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1
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0.5409
0.7242
0.928
0.778
0.4819
0.0022
0.0351
0.6667
-0.3394
0.4036
0.7
0.3
1
5
1
0.4918
0.7705
7.6011
0.5
2.5874
6.4482
0.4036
0.5499
0.2259
0.88
1.7939
0.7241
0.5745
0.7645
0.4819
-4.3726
4.0665
1
0
0
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (3)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 21:04 | 0.03615000 | 0% |
| 2 | 21:09 | 0.03603200 | -0.326% |
| 3 | 21:33 | 0.03598300 | -0.462% |
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-07 20:40:00 | 0.037725 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 21:00:00 | 0.038929 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 21:45:00 | 0.036908 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 22:05:00 | 0.038139 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 22:35:00 | 0.036982 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 23:10:00 | 0.037706 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 23:20:00 | 0.036388 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-08 00:05:00 | 0.037305 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 00:15:00 | 0.03643 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-08 01:00:00 | 0.036101 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-07 04:00:00 | 0.033827 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 05:00:00 | 0.034241 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 07:45:00 | 0.032768 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 12:00:00 | 0.036276 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 12:30:00 | 0.035306 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 17:15:00 | 0.037629 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 19:30:00 | 0.044338 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 21:45:00 | 0.036908 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 23:15:00 | 0.036388 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-08 01:00:00 | 0.036101 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 04:00:00 | 0.035755 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 06:00:00 | 0.03229 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-04 13:00:00 | 0.03634 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 00:00:00 | 0.036346 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 16:00:00 | 0.032549 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-06 14:00:00 | 0.038524 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 23:00:00 | 0.033665 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 07:00:00 | 0.032768 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 19:00:00 | 0.044338 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 23:00:00 | 0.036388 | ↓ Low |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.03615 | 0.03567 | 0.03711 | 2 | 0.04894 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.03567 - 0.03615 = -0.00048
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.03615 - 0.03711 = -0.00096
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00096 / -0.00048 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 602.726 | 100 | 16672.919 | 6.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.00048 = -16666.67
Taille de position USD = -16666.67 x 0.03615 = -602.5
Donc, tu peux acheter -16666.67 avec un stoploss a 0.03567
Avec un position size USD de -602.5$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -16666.67 x -0.00048 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -16666.67 x -0.00096 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.66 % | 16.01 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.33 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -1.33 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.6376 % | 123.33 % | 3 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.03615 | 0.03567 | 0.03711 | 2 | 0.04894 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.03567 - 0.03615 = -0.00048
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.03615 - 0.03711 = -0.00096
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00096 / -0.00048 = 2
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.451% | 0.3R | -2.025% | 1.5R | 0.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.451% | 0.3R | -2.025% | 1.5R | 0.2× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +2.606% | 2.0R | -2.025% | 1.5R | 1.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.606% | 2.0R | -5.234% | 3.9R | 0.5× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.606% | 2.0R | -5.685% | 4.3R | 0.5× | 144 |
computed 3 weeks ago
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