Long Trade on NIL (CatchTheWave)
With 20737.75 NIL at 0.0358$ per unit. Take profit: 0.03656 (2.15 %) & Stop Loss: 0.0354 (1.09 %)
Long Trade on NIL (CatchTheWave)
With 20737.75 NIL at 0.0358$ per unit. Take profit: 0.03656 (2.15 %) & Stop Loss: 0.0354 (1.09 %)
Position
Entry 0.03579$
Qty 20737.7453 NIL
Size 742.2039$ (margin 100$) (leverage 7)
Risk Setup
TP 0.03656 (+2.15%)
TP $ 15.97$
SL 0.0354 (-1.09%)
SL $ 8.09$
RR 1.97
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.9433
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 2.29×ATR |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | clear | 44.29×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | early | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bull_moderate rules_regime : bull_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 2 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (+1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 07/08 21:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : -0.015086 15m : 0.071847 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : bear_high 5m_regime : bear_high |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 07/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 07/08 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 07/08 21:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6697 | r1h: -0.348% · r4h: -5.630% · r1d: 6.88% · r3d: 1.89% · ema21_slope: 0.6080% · dist_ema21: -1.432% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4500 | rs_1h: -0.325% · rs_4h: -5.522% · rs_1d: 5.97% · rs_3d: 0.47% · beta_24h: -0.271 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.5294 | rvol_20: 1.18× · zscore_50: 0.799 · trend: 75.24% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7621 | ADX: 31.5 (trend) · Chop: 22.2 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.6262 | ATR%: 4.121% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.967% | 0.9R | -1.039% | 1.0R | 0.9× | 12 |
| 2h | +3.638% | 3.3R | -1.039% | 1.0R | 3.5× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +3.638% | 3.3R | -1.039% | 1.0R | 3.5× | 48 |
| 8h | +3.638% | 3.3R | -4.281% | 3.9R | 0.9× | 96 |
| 12h | +3.638% | 3.3R | -4.736% | 4.4R | 0.8× | 144 |
computed 3 weeks ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | strong | grind | volatile_reversal | bear_high |
53%
|
noisy_chop 41% | early | — | — | 0.34 | bear_high | -3.08% | +0.37 | 07/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 40% | mid | — | — | 0.40 | bull_high | +1.18% | +0.25 | 07/08 20:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 47% | late | — | — | 0.10 | bull_low | +0.82% | +0.51 | 07/08 21:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
51%
|
noisy_chop 42% | late | near 0.1ATR | — | — | range_low | +0.16% | -0.62 | 07/08 21:15 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early | 7b | — | 2.393×ATR | p0 | +0.473×ATR | p50 |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | 2b | — | 3.459×ATR | p50 | -0.176×ATR | p19 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 6b | — | 5.581×ATR | p92 | -0.641×ATR | p53 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 23b | — | 10.854×ATR | p100 | -0.895×ATR | p58 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
64832
0.00106422
64901
-0.015086
64743.5
0.00219976
64886
0.071847
64412.5
0.00727286
64881
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1
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0.5165
0.7242
0.904
0.7564
0.4313
-0.036
0.0209
0.3333
-0.7379
-0.0168
0.7
0.3
1
6
1
0.45
0.7705
7.6011
0.5
2.5874
6.4482
-0.0168
0.5499
0.2105
0.84
1.6441
0.7356
0.5482
0.6648
0.4313
-5.2245
3.9623
1
0
0
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (3)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 21:45 | 0.03579000 | 0% |
| 2 | 21:51 | 0.03568600 | -0.291% |
| 3 | 21:57 | 0.03563300 | -0.439% |
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-07 20:40:00 | 0.037725 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 21:00:00 | 0.038929 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 21:45:00 | 0.036908 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 22:05:00 | 0.038139 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 22:35:00 | 0.036982 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 23:10:00 | 0.037706 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 23:20:00 | 0.036388 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-08 00:05:00 | 0.037305 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 00:15:00 | 0.03643 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-08 01:40:00 | 0.035728 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-07 04:00:00 | 0.033827 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 05:00:00 | 0.034241 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 07:45:00 | 0.032768 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 12:00:00 | 0.036276 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 12:30:00 | 0.035306 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 17:15:00 | 0.037629 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 19:30:00 | 0.044338 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 21:45:00 | 0.036908 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 23:15:00 | 0.036388 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-08 01:30:00 | 0.035863 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 04:00:00 | 0.035755 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 06:00:00 | 0.03229 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-04 13:00:00 | 0.03634 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 00:00:00 | 0.036346 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 16:00:00 | 0.032549 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-06 14:00:00 | 0.038524 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 23:00:00 | 0.033665 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 07:00:00 | 0.032768 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 19:00:00 | 0.044338 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 01:00:00 | 0.035863 | ↓ Low |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.03579 | 0.0354 | 0.03656 | 1.97 | 0.05004 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.0354 - 0.03579 = -0.00039
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.03579 - 0.03656 = -0.00077
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00077 / -0.00039 = 1.9744
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 742.2039 | 100 | 20737.7453 | 7.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.00039 = -20512.82
Taille de position USD = -20512.82 x 0.03579 = -734.15
Donc, tu peux acheter -20512.82 avec un stoploss a 0.0354
Avec un position size USD de -734.15$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -20512.82 x -0.00039 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -20512.82 x -0.00077 = 15.79
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.79$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.15 % | 15.97 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.09 % | 8.09 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 15.97 $ | 2.15 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.0394 % | 95.38 % | 4 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.03579 | 0.0354 | 0.03656 | 1.97 | 0.05004 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.0354 - 0.03579 = -0.00039
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.03579 - 0.03656 = -0.00077
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00077 / -0.00039 = 1.9744
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.967% | 0.9R | -1.039% | 1.0R | 0.9× | 12 |
| 2h | +3.638% | 3.3R | -1.039% | 1.0R | 3.5× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +3.638% | 3.3R | -1.039% | 1.0R | 3.5× | 48 |
| 8h | +3.638% | 3.3R | -4.281% | 3.9R | 0.9× | 96 |
| 12h | +3.638% | 3.3R | -4.736% | 4.4R | 0.8× | 144 |
computed 3 weeks ago
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