Short Trade on kBONK (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 81433.22 kBONK at 0.00247$ per unit. Take profit: 0.002412 (2.51 %) & Stop Loss: 0.002572 (3.96 %)
07 Aug 2026 at 23:10:07
hyperliquid
kBONK
SHORT
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
07 Aug 2026 23:10
→ 04:10
· 4 hours
Position
Entry 0.002474$
Qty 81433.2248 kBONK
Size 201.4658$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 0.002412 (+2.51%)
TP $ 5.05$
SL 0.002572 (-3.96%)
SL $ 7.98$
RR 0.63
Status
loss
PnL
-1.98%
/ -3.99$
MAE -2.79%
MFE +0.85%
0.2R
expires
08 Aug 04:20
Exit
rank_decay: short rank=14 <= threshold=30/40
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 62227)
#46 / 46
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 07/08/2026 23:00
score du 07/08/2026 23:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.0751
Quality Score
0.340
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
98 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0
BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
5.7M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
07/08 23:01
07/08 23:01
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#46 / 46
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
98 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+5
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.96 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#46 / 46
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
98 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+5
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.96 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | clear | — |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bull_moderate rules_regime : bull_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (-1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 07/08 23:00 Score : -1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 07/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high_confirmed (+2) 07/08 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 07/08 22:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Score brut
0.3399
Score SMA
0.4365
Rank
#46
/ 46
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0751
Rank Norm SMA
0.2060
Calculé le
07/08/2026 23:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2082 | r1h: -1.551% · r4h: 0.284% · r1d: -13.73% · r3d: -12.82% · ema21_slope: -0.3493% · dist_ema21: -2.095% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.2005 | rs_1h: -1.562% · rs_4h: 0.222% · rs_1d: -14.55% · rs_3d: -13.68% · beta_24h: 1.013 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2253 | rvol_20: 0.46× · zscore_50: -0.049 · trend: -28.61% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5486 | ADX: 37.4 (trend) · Chop: 70.7 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.668% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
5.2h)
Initial Risk: -3.961%
(0.0001)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.091% | 0.3R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.808% | 0.2R | -1.091% | 0.3R | 0.7× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.849% | 0.2R | -2.344% | 0.6R | 0.4× | 48 |
| 5.2h ★ | +0.849% | 0.2R | -2.789% | 0.7R | 0.3× | 61 |
| 8h | +0.849% | 0.2R | -2.789% | 0.7R | 0.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.849% | 0.2R | -3.719% | 0.9R | 0.2× | 144 |
computed 3 weeks ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.8
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
53%
|
noisy_chop 42% | late | — | — | 0.67 | bear_high | -3.08% | -0.84 | 07/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | volatile_reversal | bear_high_confirmed |
41%
|
noisy_chop 41% | late | — | — | 0.48 | bull_high | +1.19% | -0.87 | 07/08 20:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early_expansion | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion | bear_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 37% | early | — | — | 0.45 | bull_low | +0.77% | -0.88 | 07/08 22:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bear_medium |
54%
|
noisy_chop 40% | mid | near -0.1ATR | — | — | range_low | +0.16% | -0.07 | 07/08 22:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 35b | — | 12.607×ATR | p92 | -1.386×ATR | p92 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 6b | — | 5.281×ATR | p81 | -0.827×ATR | p69 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early | 9b | — | 1.453×ATR | p2 | -0.297×ATR | p32 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 3b | — | 2.422×ATR | p30 | -1.175×ATR | p80 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL
Indicators:
- stop_price: 0.00257224
- tp_price: 0.00241215
- atr: 3.93E-5
- expires_at: 2026-08-08T09:10:07+00:00
Details
- rank: 47
- total: 48
- score: 0.2082
- delta_2h: -0.0337
- extension_atr: -1.13
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.0751
- confidence: 0.979
Signal Details
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.002474 | 0.002572 | 0.002412 | 0.63 | 0.003276 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.002474
- Stop Loss: 0.002572
- Take Profit: 0.002412
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.002572 - 0.002474 = 9.8E-5
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.002474 - 0.002412 = 6.2E-5
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 6.2E-5 / 9.8E-5 = 0.6327
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 201.4658 | 100 | 81433.2248 | 2.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 9.8E-5
Taille de position = 8 / 9.8E-5 = 81632.65
Taille de position USD = 81632.65 x 0.002474 = 201.96
Donc, tu peux acheter 81632.65 avec un stoploss a 0.002572
Avec un position size USD de 201.96$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 81632.65 x 9.8E-5 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 81632.65 x 6.2E-5 = 5.06
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 5.06$
Résumé
- Taille de position 81632.65
- Taille de position USD 201.96
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 5.06
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.6327
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.51 % | 5.05 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.96 % | 7.98 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -3.99 $ | -1.98 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -2.789 % | 70.41 % | 14 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.002474 | 0.002572 | 0.002412 | 0.63 | 0.003276 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.002474
- Stop Loss: 0.002572
- Take Profit: 0.002412
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.002572 - 0.002474 = 9.8E-5
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.002474 - 0.002412 = 6.2E-5
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 6.2E-5 / 9.8E-5 = 0.6327
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
5.2h)
Initial Risk: -3.961%
(0.0001)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.091% | 0.3R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.808% | 0.2R | -1.091% | 0.3R | 0.7× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.849% | 0.2R | -2.344% | 0.6R | 0.4× | 48 |
| 5.2h ★ | +0.849% | 0.2R | -2.789% | 0.7R | 0.3× | 61 |
| 8h | +0.849% | 0.2R | -2.789% | 0.7R | 0.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.849% | 0.2R | -3.719% | 0.9R | 0.2× | 144 |
computed 3 weeks ago
Commentaires
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