07 Aug 2026 at 23:10:07 hyperliquid

Short Trade on CC (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 1864.89 CC at 0.0911$ per unit. Take profit: 0.08887 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 0.09544 (4.71 %)

CC SHORT momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 07 Aug 2026 23:10 → 03:00 · 3 hours

Position

Entry 0.09115$

Qty 1864.8932 CC

Size 169.9887$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)

Risk Setup

TP 0.08887 (+2.5%)

TP $ 4.25$

SL 0.09544 (-4.71%)

SL $ 8$

RR 0.53

Status loss PnL -2.84% / -4.83$ MAE -2.96% MFE +2.16% 0.5R expires 08 Aug 03:20 Exit rank_decay: short rank=20 <= threshold=32/42

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 62247)
#45 / 46 OK
seuil : top 15
score du 07/08/2026 23:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.0637

Quality Score
0.356
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
96 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0 BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
1.5M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
07/08 23:02

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank
#45 / 46 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
96 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+5 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.71 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#45 / 46 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
96 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+5 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.71 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Demand Distance (ATR)
1h near -0.97×ATR
4h clear
1d near -1.81×ATR
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↓ down mid OK
4h ↑ up early OK
1d ↓ down late BLOCKED
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : bull_moderate

rules_regime : bull_low

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 0

ml_regime : bear_high

Strategic (1D) : range_high (0)

Operational (4H) : bull_medium (-1)

Tactical (1H) : range_low (0)

07/08 23:00

Score : -1

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bear_high_confirmed (+3)

07/08 20:00

Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2)

07/08 20:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

07/08 22:00

Score : +6 / ±6

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1H
Score brut
0.3564
Score SMA
0.4238
Rank
#45 / 46
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0637
Rank Norm SMA
0.1056
Calculé le
07/08/2026 23:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.2334 r1h: -2.488% · r4h: -1.919% · r1d: -1.55% · r3d: -18.49% · ema21_slope: -0.0515% · dist_ema21: -2.593%
Force Relative 25% 0.2000 rs_1h: -2.499% · rs_4h: -1.981% · rs_1d: -2.37% · rs_3d: -19.34% · beta_24h: 0.550
Volume 20% 0.2105 rvol_20: 0.75× · zscore_50: -0.470 · trend: -48.90%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6282 ADX: 26.6 (trend) · Chop: 49.7 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 2.008% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 4.2h) Initial Risk: -4.707% (0.0043)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +1.782% 0.4R -0.926% 0.2R 1.9× 12
2h +2.160% 0.5R -0.926% 0.2R 2.3× 24
4h +2.160% 0.5R -2.956% 0.6R 0.7× 48
4.2h ★ +2.160% 0.5R -2.956% 0.6R 0.7× 49
8h +2.192% 0.5R -2.956% 0.6R 0.7× 96
12h +2.192% 0.5R -2.956% 0.6R 0.7× 144

computed 3 weeks ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 2.34
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↓ down range range strong grind compression bear_high_confirmed
53%
noisy_chop 47% late near -1.8ATR bear_high -3.08% -1.00 07/08 20:00
4h ↓ down early_expansion bearish_transition strong grind expansion bear_high
58%
noisy_chop 51% early 0.16 bull_high +1.19% -0.96 07/08 20:00
1h ↓ down transition bullish_transition moderate balanced compression bear_high
60%
noisy_chop 38% mid near -1.0ATR 0.10 bull_low +0.77% -0.11 07/08 22:00
15m ↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate fading normal bear_medium
56%
noisy_chop 45% late -0.02 range_low +0.16% -0.16 07/08 22:45
5m

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down late 24b 10.095×ATR p94 -2.021×ATR p99
4h ↑ up early 5b 1.24×ATR p0 -0.587×ATR p51
1h ↓ down mid 11b 3.961×ATR p78 -0.851×ATR p66
15m ↓ down late 3b 4.057×ATR p76 -1.711×ATR p87

Maturitylate : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.09544179
  2. tp_price: 0.0888732
  3. atr: 0.00171592
  4. expires_at: 2026-08-08T09:10:07+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 46
  2. total: 48
  3. score: 0.2334
  4. delta_2h: -0.1114
  5. extension_atr: -0.3
  6. trend_phase:
  7. trend_direction:
  8. rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.0637
  9. confidence: 0.957

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.09115 0.09544 0.08887 0.53 0.123
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.09115
  • Stop Loss: 0.09544
  • Take Profit: 0.08887

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.09544 - 0.09115 = 0.00429

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.09115 - 0.08887 = 0.00228

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00228 / 0.00429 = 0.5315

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
169.9887 100 1864.8932 2.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.00429

Taille de position = 8 / 0.00429 = 1864.8

Taille de position USD = 1864.8 x 0.09115 = 169.98

Donc, tu peux acheter 1864.8 avec un stoploss a 0.09544

Avec un position size USD de 169.98$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 1864.8 x 0.00429 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 1864.8 x 0.00228 = 4.25

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 4.25$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 1864.8
  • Taille de position USD 169.98
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 4.25
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 0.5315

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.5 % 4.25 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
4.71 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-4.83 $ -2.84
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-2.9556 % 62.8 % 4
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.09115 0.09544 0.08887 0.53 0.123
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.09115
  • Stop Loss: 0.09544
  • Take Profit: 0.08887

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.09544 - 0.09115 = 0.00429

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.09115 - 0.08887 = 0.00228

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00228 / 0.00429 = 0.5315

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
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Extra SL data

                              Array
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MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 4.2h) Initial Risk: -4.707% (0.0043)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +1.782% 0.4R -0.926% 0.2R 1.9× 12
2h +2.160% 0.5R -0.926% 0.2R 2.3× 24
4h +2.160% 0.5R -2.956% 0.6R 0.7× 48
4.2h ★ +2.160% 0.5R -2.956% 0.6R 0.7× 49
8h +2.192% 0.5R -2.956% 0.6R 0.7× 96
12h +2.192% 0.5R -2.956% 0.6R 0.7× 144

computed 3 weeks ago

Commentaires

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