Short Trade on PUMP (BosPullback)
With 148975.79 PUMP at 0.0023$ per unit. Take profit: 0.002164 (5.83 %) & Stop Loss: 0.002352 (2.35 %)
Short Trade on PUMP (BosPullback)
With 148975.79 PUMP at 0.0023$ per unit. Take profit: 0.002164 (5.83 %) & Stop Loss: 0.002352 (2.35 %)
Position
Entry 0.002298$
Qty 148975.7914 PUMP
Size 342.3464$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)
Risk Setup
TP 0.002164 (+5.83%)
TP $ 19.96$
SL 0.002352 (-2.35%)
SL $ 8.04$
RR 2.48
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.1982
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.12×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 1.17×ATR |
| 1d | clear | — |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | late | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : range rules_regime : bull_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (-1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 08/08 05:00 Score : -1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : range_medium |
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3) 07/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2) 08/08 04:00 Tactical (1H) : range_high (0) 08/08 05:00 Score : -5 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4587 | r1h: 0.700% · r4h: 0.044% · r1d: 0.88% · r3d: -7.92% · ema21_slope: -0.1117% · dist_ema21: 0.198% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4516 | rs_1h: 0.614% · rs_4h: 0.031% · rs_1d: 0.24% · rs_3d: -9.31% · beta_24h: 1.695 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1616 | rvol_20: 0.28× · zscore_50: -0.576 · trend: -72.86% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5092 | ADX: 21.8 (weak) · Chop: 59.6 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.510% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.348% | 0.2R | -0.653% | 0.3R | 0.5× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.348% | 0.2R | -0.653% | 0.3R | 0.5× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.262% | 0.5R | -1.654% | 0.7R | 0.8× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.262% | 0.5R | -5.048% | 2.2R | 0.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.262% | 0.5R | -5.309% | 2.3R | 0.2× | 144 |
computed 3 weeks ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | expansion_after_compression | bull_high |
61%
|
noisy_chop 37% | late | — | — | 0.58 | bear_high | -2.95% | +0.87 | 07/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | fading | compression | bull_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 40% | mid | — | — | 0.45 | bull_medium | +1.27% | -0.55 | 08/08 04:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | balanced | compression | range_high |
36%
|
noisy_chop 36% | mid | near -0.1ATR | — | 0.33 | bull_low | +0.77% | -0.06 | 08/08 05:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | fading | normal | range_medium |
38%
|
noisy_chop 36% | mid | — | near 0.3ATR | — | range_low | +0.24% | +0.14 | 08/08 05:15 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | late | 25b | — | 5.022×ATR | p89 | +0.252×ATR | p33 |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | 17b | — | 3.534×ATR | p60 | -0.061×ATR | p8 |
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | 12b | — | 2.49×ATR | p49 | +0.699×ATR | p67 |
| 15m | ↑ up | mid | 7b | — | 2.982×ATR | p55 | +0.868×ATR | p76 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
0.002234
137
0.3898
0.5815
0.2905
0.227
0.3425
1
0.2518
0.4554
0.3641
0.0716
0.6487
0.4288
-0.0132
-0.0359
0.3333
0.0215
-0.6703
0.55
0.45
-1
12
1
0.5459
0.6725
2.5961
0.5
1.5753
2.857
-0.6703
0.3314
0.2425
0.02
-0.2106
0.4585
0.4788
0.6839
0.4288
-9.1986
6.9068
1
0
0
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0.002234
0.002349
0.002349
0.002234
0.002323
0.00225
0.0022865
1.0697
0.002426
0.002356
0.002391
0.7568
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 05:39 | 0.00229800 | 0% |
| 2 | 06:04 | 0.00230400 | +0.261% |
Market Structure Score: 0
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.002298 | 0.002352 | 0.002164 | 2.48 | 0.004324 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.002352 - 0.002298 = 5.4E-5
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.002298 - 0.002164 = 0.000134
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.000134 / 5.4E-5 = 2.4815
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 342.3464 | 100 | 148975.7914 | 3.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 5.4E-5 = 148148.15
Taille de position USD = 148148.15 x 0.002298 = 340.44
Donc, tu peux acheter 148148.15 avec un stoploss a 0.002352
Avec un position size USD de 340.44$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 148148.15 x 5.4E-5 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 148148.15 x 0.000134 = 19.85
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 19.85$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 5.83 % | 19.96 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.35 % | 8.04 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8.04 $ | -2.35 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -2.5239 % | 107.4 % | 22 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.002298 | 0.002352 | 0.002164 | 2.48 | 0.004324 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.002352 - 0.002298 = 5.4E-5
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.002298 - 0.002164 = 0.000134
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.000134 / 5.4E-5 = 2.4815
Array
(
)
Array
(
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.348% | 0.2R | -0.653% | 0.3R | 0.5× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.348% | 0.2R | -0.653% | 0.3R | 0.5× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.262% | 0.5R | -1.654% | 0.7R | 0.8× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.262% | 0.5R | -5.048% | 2.2R | 0.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.262% | 0.5R | -5.309% | 2.3R | 0.2× | 144 |
computed 3 weeks ago
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