Long Trade on XMR (CatchTheWave)
With 11.26 XMR at 380.04$ per unit. Take profit: 381.4615 (0.37 %) & Stop Loss: 379.3292 (0.19 %)
Long Trade on XMR (CatchTheWave)
With 11.26 XMR at 380.04$ per unit. Take profit: 381.4615 (0.37 %) & Stop Loss: 379.3292 (0.19 %)
Position
Entry 380.04$
Qty 11.2555 XMR
Size 4277.5217$ (margin 100$) (leverage 43)
Risk Setup
TP 381.4615 (+0.37%)
TP $ 16$
SL 379.3292 (-0.19%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.9367
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | clear | 1.52×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : range rules_regime : bull_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 1 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (+1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 08/08 06:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.035846 15m : 0.153173 |
1H_regime : bull_medium 15m_regime : range_low 5m_regime : range_low |
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 07/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 08/08 04:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_medium (+1) 08/08 05:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5963 | r1h: -0.356% · r4h: -0.060% · r1d: 3.01% · r3d: 7.76% · ema21_slope: 0.1476% · dist_ema21: 0.826% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5703 | rs_1h: -0.381% · rs_4h: -0.076% · rs_1d: 2.73% · rs_3d: 6.44% · beta_24h: 0.613 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2378 | rvol_20: 0.67× · zscore_50: -0.643 · trend: -10.36% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7791 | ADX: 39.4 (trend) · Chop: 44.3 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.556% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.184% | 1.0R | -1.268% | 6.8R | 0.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.184% | 1.0R | -1.268% | 6.8R | 0.2× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.124% | 6.0R | -1.268% | 6.8R | 0.9× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.568% | 8.4R | -1.268% | 6.8R | 1.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.603% | 8.6R | -1.268% | 6.8R | 1.3× | 144 |
computed 3 weeks ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | range | range | strong | fading | compression | bull_high |
68%
|
noisy_chop 46% | late | — | — | 0.50 | bear_high | -2.95% | +0.84 | 07/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bull_high |
63%
|
choppy 51% | late | — | — | 0.38 | bull_medium | +1.27% | +0.53 | 08/08 04:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | normal | bull_medium |
61%
|
noisy_chop 48% | late | — | — | 0.26 | bull_low | +0.78% | +0.26 | 08/08 05:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bull_low |
47%
|
noisy_chop 41% | early | — | — | 0.07 | range_low | +0.18% | +0.00 | 08/08 05:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | late | 11b | — | 3.781×ATR | p26 | +1.158×ATR | p91 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 18b | — | 7.59×ATR | p100 | +1.511×ATR | p96 |
| 1h | ↑ up | late | 17b | — | 6.157×ATR | p95 | +0.202×ATR | p15 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 7b | — | 1.6×ATR | p7 | -0.489×ATR | p42 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
64948.6
0.000175003
64960
0.035846
64912.2
0.000736345
64960
0.153173
64510.4
0.00698489
64961
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367.91
182
0.7331
0.4924
0.3312
0.2409
0.405
1
0.5982
0.4888
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0.369
0.635
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0.1867
1
1.4498
4.0134
0.45
0.55
1
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1
0.5182
0.3742
1.9764
0.7
1.0863
2.0209
4.0134
0.4641
0.2503
0.22
0.0555
0.5255
0.5854
0.9248
0.9569
-0.6854
15.1978
1
0
2
Signal Details
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-08 06:05:00 | 381.51 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 06:15:00 | 381.51 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 06:50:00 | 378.92 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-08 08:05:00 | 382 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 08:15:00 | 380.66 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-08 08:40:00 | 382 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 08:50:00 | 382 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 09:05:00 | 382 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 09:20:00 | 382 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 10:00:00 | 380.04 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-07 21:00:00 | 378.68 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 22:45:00 | 375.07 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-08 01:15:00 | 381.54 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 04:15:00 | 379.76 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-08 05:15:00 | 381.52 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 06:45:00 | 378.92 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-08 08:00:00 | 382 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 08:30:00 | 382 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 09:00:00 | 382 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 10:00:00 | 380.04 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 01:00:00 | 367.37 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 03:00:00 | 363.14 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-06 10:00:00 | 359.92 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 00:00:00 | 370.97 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 03:00:00 | 366.96 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 07:00:00 | 371.99 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 16:00:00 | 367.91 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-08 01:00:00 | 381.54 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 06:00:00 | 378.92 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-08 08:00:00 | 382 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 380.04 | 379.3292 | 381.4615 | 2 | 514.64 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 379.3292 - 380.04 = -0.71080000000001
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 380.04 - 381.4615 = -1.4215
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -1.4215 / -0.71080000000001 = 1.9999
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4277.5217 | 100 | 11.2555 | 43.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.71080000000001 = -11.25
Taille de position USD = -11.25 x 380.04 = -4275.45
Donc, tu peux acheter -11.25 avec un stoploss a 379.3292
Avec un position size USD de -4275.45$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -11.25 x -0.71080000000001 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -11.25 x -1.4215 = 15.99
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.99$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.37 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.19 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.19 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.2894 % | 154.76 % | 4 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 380.04 | 379.3292 | 381.4615 | 2 | 514.64 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 379.3292 - 380.04 = -0.71080000000001
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 380.04 - 381.4615 = -1.4215
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -1.4215 / -0.71080000000001 = 1.9999
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.184% | 1.0R | -1.268% | 6.8R | 0.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.184% | 1.0R | -1.268% | 6.8R | 0.2× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.124% | 6.0R | -1.268% | 6.8R | 0.9× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.568% | 8.4R | -1.268% | 6.8R | 1.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.603% | 8.6R | -1.268% | 6.8R | 1.3× | 144 |
computed 3 weeks ago
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