Long Trade on XMR (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 1.33 XMR at 383.41$ per unit. Take profit: 392.9953 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 377.406 (1.57 %)
08 Aug 2026 at 11:10:07
hyperliquid
XMR
LONG
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
08 Aug 2026 11:10
→ 17:05
· 5 hours
Position
Entry 383.41$
Qty 1.3324 XMR
Size 510.8731$ (margin 100$) (leverage 5)
Risk Setup
TP 392.9953 (+2.5%)
TP $ 12.77$
SL 377.406 (-1.57%)
SL $ 8$
RR 1.6
Status
loss
PnL
-0.37%
/ -1.88$
MAE -0.46%
MFE +0.71%
0.5R
expires
08 Aug 17:10
Exit
time_expired
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 62734)
#6 / 37
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 08/08/2026 11:00
score du 08/08/2026 11:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.8549
Quality Score
0.666
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
1
OK
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
4.9M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
08/08 11:02
08/08 11:02
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#6 / 37
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+7
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
1.57 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#6 / 37
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+7
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
1.57 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | clear | 1.76×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : range rules_regime : bull_low_confirmed rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 1 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (+1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 08/08 11:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 07/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 08/08 08:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_medium (+1) 08/08 10:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Score brut
0.6664
Score SMA
0.5736
Rank
#6
/ 37
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8549
Rank Norm SMA
0.8286
Calculé le
08/08/2026 11:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6870 | r1h: 0.423% · r4h: 2.256% · r1d: 4.29% · r3d: 8.80% · ema21_slope: 0.0992% · dist_ema21: 1.599% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6715 | rs_1h: 0.284% · rs_4h: 2.107% · rs_1d: 4.05% · rs_3d: 7.81% · beta_24h: 0.645 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.4315 | rvol_20: 1.45× · zscore_50: 0.467 · trend: -13.71% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7075 | ADX: 32.2 (trend) · Chop: 45.8 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.664% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -1.566%
(6.0040)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.428% | 0.3R | -0.222% | 0.1R | 1.9× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.676% | 0.4R | -0.222% | 0.1R | 3.1× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.676% | 0.4R | -0.222% | 0.1R | 3.1× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +0.709% | 0.5R | -0.464% | 0.3R | 1.5× | 72 |
| 8h | +0.709% | 0.5R | -2.267% | 1.5R | 0.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.709% | 0.5R | -2.267% | 1.5R | 0.3× | 144 |
computed 3 weeks ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 2.74
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | range | range | strong | fading | compression | bull_high |
67%
|
noisy_chop 44% | mid | — | — | 0.50 | bear_high | -3.02% | +0.81 | 07/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | fading | expansion | bull_high |
64%
|
ranging_calm 51% | late | — | — | 0.38 | bull_medium | +1.31% | +0.62 | 08/08 08:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | expansion_after_compression | bull_medium |
67%
|
noisy_chop 49% | mid | — | — | 0.25 | bull_low | +0.86% | +0.25 | 08/08 10:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | volatile_reversal | bull_low |
37%
|
noisy_chop 49% | mid | — | — | 0.08 | range_low | +0.28% | +0.08 | 08/08 10:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | 11b | — | 3.423×ATR | p21 | +0.897×ATR | p84 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 19b | — | 7.13×ATR | p100 | +1.607×ATR | p97 |
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | 4b | — | 3.241×ATR | p60 | +1.158×ATR | p82 |
| 15m | ↑ up | mid | 1b | — | 1.319×ATR | p6 | +0.934×ATR | p72 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - BUY
Indicators:
- stop_price: 377.40600411
- tp_price: 392.99525
- atr: 2.40159835
- expires_at: 2026-08-08T21:10:07+00:00
Details
- rank: 3
- total: 40
- score: 0.687
- delta_2h: 0.071
- extension_atr: 1.72
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.8549
- confidence: 0.999
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11:10 | 383.41000000 | 0% |
| 2 | 12:10 | 383.74000000 | +0.086% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 383.41 | 377.406 | 392.9953 | 1.6 | 489.04 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 383.41
- Stop Loss: 377.406
- Take Profit: 392.9953
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 377.406 - 383.41 = -6.004
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 383.41 - 392.9953 = -9.5853
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -9.5853 / -6.004 = 1.5965
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 510.8731 | 100 | 1.3324 | 5.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -6.004
Taille de position = 8 / -6.004 = -1.33
Taille de position USD = -1.33 x 383.41 = -509.94
Donc, tu peux acheter -1.33 avec un stoploss a 377.406
Avec un position size USD de -509.94$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -1.33 x -6.004 = 7.99
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 7.99$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -1.33 x -9.5853 = 12.75
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 12.75$
Résumé
- Taille de position -1.33
- Taille de position USD -509.94
- Perte potentielle 7.99
- Gain potentiel 12.75
- Risk-Reward Ratio 1.5965
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.5 % | 12.77 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.57 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -1.88 $ | -0.37 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.3678 % | 23.49 % | 8 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 383.41 | 377.406 | 392.9953 | 1.6 | 489.04 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 383.41
- Stop Loss: 377.406
- Take Profit: 392.9953
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 377.406 - 383.41 = -6.004
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 383.41 - 392.9953 = -9.5853
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -9.5853 / -6.004 = 1.5965
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
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Extra SL data
Array
(
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MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -1.566%
(6.0040)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.428% | 0.3R | -0.222% | 0.1R | 1.9× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.676% | 0.4R | -0.222% | 0.1R | 3.1× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.676% | 0.4R | -0.222% | 0.1R | 3.1× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +0.709% | 0.5R | -0.464% | 0.3R | 1.5× | 72 |
| 8h | +0.709% | 0.5R | -2.267% | 1.5R | 0.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.709% | 0.5R | -2.267% | 1.5R | 0.3× | 144 |
computed 3 weeks ago
Commentaires
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