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Long Trade on PENGU

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08 Aug 2026 at 11:10:07 hyperliquid

Long Trade on PENGU (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 62500 PENGU at 0.0063$ per unit. Take profit: 0.006463 (2.51 %) & Stop Loss: 0.006177 (2.03 %)

PENGU LONG momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 08 Aug 2026 11:10 → 17:05 · 5 hours

Position

Entry 0.006305$

Qty 62500 PENGU

Size 394.0625$ (margin 100$) (leverage 4)

Risk Setup

TP 0.006463 (+2.51%)

TP $ 9.88$

SL 0.006177 (-2.03%)

SL $ 8$

RR 1.23

Status win PnL +1.09% / +4.31$ MAE -0.52% MFE +1.78% 0.9R expires 08 Aug 17:10 Exit time_expired

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 62723)
#10 / 37 OK
seuil : top 15
score du 08/08/2026 11:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.9030

Quality Score
0.614
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
97 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
1 OK
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
1.2M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
08/08 11:02

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank
#10 / 37 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
97 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
0
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+1 BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.03 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#10 / 37 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
97 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+1 BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.03 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Supply Distance (ATR)
1h near -1.35×ATR
4h near 0.43×ATR
1d clear 0.70×ATR
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↑ up mid OK
4h ↑ up mid OK
1d ↓ down early OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : range

rules_regime : bull_low_confirmed

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 1

ml_regime : bear_high

Strategic (1D) : range_high (0)

Operational (4H) : bull_medium (+1)

Tactical (1H) : range_low (0)

08/08 11:00

Score : +1

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3)

07/08 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2)

08/08 08:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1)

08/08 10:00

Score : 0 / ±6

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1H
Score brut
0.6136
Score SMA
0.5137
Rank
#10 / 37
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9030
Rank Norm SMA
0.4869
Calculé le
08/08/2026 11:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.6590 r1h: 1.219% · r4h: 1.349% · r1d: 5.40% · r3d: 3.58% · ema21_slope: 0.1814% · dist_ema21: 2.392%
Force Relative 25% 0.6562 rs_1h: 1.081% · rs_4h: 1.200% · rs_1d: 5.16% · rs_3d: 2.59% · beta_24h: 2.767
Volume 20% 0.1753 rvol_20: 0.46× · zscore_50: -0.669 · trend: -35.09%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7786 ADX: 33.9 (trend) · Chop: 38.7 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 0.861% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -2.030% (0.0001)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.365% 0.2R -0.523% 0.3R 0.7× 12
2h +0.365% 0.2R -0.523% 0.3R 0.7× 24
4h +1.570% 0.8R -0.523% 0.3R 3.0× 48
6h ★ +1.776% 0.9R -0.523% 0.3R 3.4× 72
8h +1.776% 0.9R -0.523% 0.3R 3.4× 96
12h +1.776% 0.9R -1.047% 0.5R 1.7× 144

computed 3 weeks ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 2.27
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↓ down pullback bear_trend moderate grind compression bear_high
60%
noisy_chop 36% early near -0.4ATR — 0.74 bear_high -3.02% +0.16 07/08 20:00
4h ↑ up range range moderate balanced normal bull_high
60%
noisy_chop 37% mid — near 0.4ATR 0.66 bull_medium +1.31% +0.17 08/08 08:00
1h ↑ up transition bullish_transition strong explosive compression bull_high
69%
noisy_chop 53% mid — near -1.4ATR 0.58 bull_low +0.86% +0.41 08/08 10:00
15m ↑ up range range moderate grind compression bull_low
48%
noisy_chop 50% late — near -2.6ATR — range_low +0.28% +0.13 08/08 10:30
5m —

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down early 35b — 2.161×ATR p0 +0.437×ATR p45
4h ↑ up mid 10b — 2.763×ATR p39 +0.828×ATR p76
1h ↑ up mid 5b — 2.045×ATR p19 +1.018×ATR p81
15m ↑ up late 20b — 4.598×ATR p87 +1.603×ATR p89

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - BUY

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.006177
  2. tp_price: 0.00646262
  3. atr: 5.12E-5
  4. expires_at: 2026-08-08T21:10:07+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 4
  2. total: 40
  3. score: 0.659
  4. delta_2h: 0.0773
  5. extension_atr: 2.5
  6. trend_phase:
  7. trend_direction:
  8. rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.903
  9. confidence: 0.973

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.006305 0.006177 0.006463 1.23 0.008607
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.006305
  • Stop Loss: 0.006177
  • Take Profit: 0.006463

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.006177 - 0.006305 = -0.000128

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.006305 - 0.006463 = -0.000158

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.000158 / -0.000128 = 1.2344

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
394.0625 100 62500 4.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -0.000128

Taille de position = 8 / -0.000128 = -62500

Taille de position USD = -62500 x 0.006305 = -394.06

Donc, tu peux acheter -62500 avec un stoploss a 0.006177

Avec un position size USD de -394.06$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -62500 x -0.000128 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -62500 x -0.000158 = 9.88

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 9.88$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -62500
  • Taille de position USD -394.06
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 9.88
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 1.2344

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.51 % 9.88 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
2.03 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
4.31 $ 1.09
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.5234 % 25.78 % 14
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.006305 0.006177 0.006463 1.23 0.008607
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.006305
  • Stop Loss: 0.006177
  • Take Profit: 0.006463

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.006177 - 0.006305 = -0.000128

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.006305 - 0.006463 = -0.000158

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.000158 / -0.000128 = 1.2344

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
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Extra SL data

                              Array
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MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -2.030% (0.0001)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.365% 0.2R -0.523% 0.3R 0.7× 12
2h +0.365% 0.2R -0.523% 0.3R 0.7× 24
4h +1.570% 0.8R -0.523% 0.3R 3.0× 48
6h ★ +1.776% 0.9R -0.523% 0.3R 3.4× 72
8h +1.776% 0.9R -0.523% 0.3R 3.4× 96
12h +1.776% 0.9R -1.047% 0.5R 1.7× 144

computed 3 weeks ago

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