Long Trade on ICP (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 210.02 ICP at 2.125$ per unit. Take profit: 2.2204 (4.48 %) & Stop Loss: 2.0871 (1.79 %)
08 Aug 2026 at 11:21:43
hyperliquid
ICP
LONG
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
08 Aug 2026 11:21
→ 13:30
· 2 hours
Position
Entry 2.1252$
Qty 210.0176 ICP
Size 446.3294$ (margin 100$) (leverage 4)
Risk Setup
TP 2.2204 (+4.48%)
TP $ 19.99$
SL 2.0871 (-1.79%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2.5
Status
win
PnL
+4.48%
/ +19.99$
MAE -0.00%
MFE +12.63%
7.1R
expires
08 Aug 23:21
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 62732)
#19 / 37
OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 08/08/2026 11:00
score du 08/08/2026 11:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.5976
Quality Score
0.520
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
82 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
1
OK
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
2.0M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
08/08 11:17
08/08 11:17
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#19 / 37
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
82 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
0
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+1
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
1.79 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#19 / 37
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
82 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+1
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
1.79 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 1.42×ATR |
| 4h | near | -1.76×ATR |
| 1d | clear | — |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bull_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 1 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (+1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 08/08 11:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 07/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2) 08/08 08:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_medium_confirmed (+1) 08/08 11:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Score brut
0.5199
Score SMA
0.5304
Rank
#19
/ 37
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.5976
Rank Norm SMA
0.5121
Calculé le
08/08/2026 11:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5333 | r1h: 0.395% · r4h: 0.029% · r1d: 1.42% · r3d: 0.60% · ema21_slope: 0.0280% · dist_ema21: 0.554% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5198 | rs_1h: 0.257% · rs_4h: -0.121% · rs_1d: 1.19% · rs_3d: -0.39% · beta_24h: 0.677 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3124 | rvol_20: 0.16× · zscore_50: -0.245 · trend: 46.55% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4501 | ADX: 15.7 (weak) · Chop: 60.5 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.408% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -1.793%
(0.0381)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.308% | 0.7R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +3.995% | 2.2R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 24 |
| 4h | +12.634% | 7.1R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 48 |
| 8h | +12.634% | 7.1R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +12.634% | 7.1R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 144 |
| 24h | +12.634% | 7.1R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 288 |
computed 2 weeks ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 140
ML Pullback Score: 2
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 37% | late | — | — | 0.39 | bear_high | -3.02% | -0.21 | 07/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bull_high_confirmed |
57%
|
noisy_chop 39% | late | — | near -1.8ATR | 0.68 | bull_medium | +1.41% | -0.11 | 08/08 08:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | compression | bull_medium_confirmed |
60%
|
noisy_chop 40% | late | — | — | 0.63 | bull_low | +0.84% | +0.10 | 08/08 11:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | fading | volatile_reversal | bull_low_confirmed |
31%
|
noisy_chop 48% | late | — | — | 0.45 | range_low | +0.24% | +0.05 | 08/08 11:15 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 66b | — | 15.927×ATR | p93 | +0.065×ATR | p8 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 8b | — | 2.988×ATR | p42 | +1.257×ATR | p97 |
| 1h | ↑ up | late | 4b | — | 3.061×ATR | p75 | +1.844×ATR | p97 |
| 15m | ↑ up | late | 6b | — | 5.327×ATR | p95 | +2.419×ATR | p98 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - BUY
Indicators:
- long_trend: 1
- confidence: 0.8152
- reason: up_bo width=2.96×ATR dur=56b phase=fresh
- stop_price: 2.08710795
- tp_price: 2.22043012
- atr:
- score: 0.81522479146769
- expires_at: 2026-08-09T03:21:35.605331
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.81522479146769
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : -0.0336
- obi_top10 : 0.014
- micro_price : 2.12698414
- spread_pct : 0.047037
- mid_price : 2.1265
- bid_wall_price : 2.12
- bid_wall_size : 74910.93
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price : 2.16
- ask_wall_size : 55975.54
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : -0.0336
- obi_top5_std : 0
- pressure_side : neutral
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 7015
- aggregation_tick : 0.01
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
2.1024
- balance_zone_bottom:
2.07375
- balance_zone_mid:
2.088075
- balance_zone_start_time:
1786003200
- balance_zone_end_time:
1786201200
- balance_zone_width_atr:
2.9626
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
56
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: established
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.8152
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: up
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1786197600
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
2.1024
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.8393
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
1
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
2.3577
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
0
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
8
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
10
- regime : bull_high_confirmed
- atr_entry : 0.0096705 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
56
inside_close_ratio
0.8393
bars_since_breakout
1
distance_to_edge_atr
2.3577
Signaux confirmants (3)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11:21 | 2.12520000 | 0% |
| 2 | 11:27 | 2.12520000 | 0% |
| 3 | 11:34 | 2.12520000 | 0% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
→ neutral
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
7015ms
Confidence avant OB :
82%
→
82%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
-0.034
avg -0.034
± 0.000
OBI Top 10
0.014
Microstructure
Mid Price
2.1265
Micro Price
2.1270
Spread
0.0470%
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
Price
2.1200
Size
74,910.93
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
Price
2.1600
Size
55,975.54
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.1252 | 2.0871 | 2.2204 | 2.5 | 2.4236 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 2.1252
- Stop Loss: 2.0871
- Take Profit: 2.2204
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 2.0871 - 2.1252 = -0.0381
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 2.1252 - 2.2204 = -0.0952
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0952 / -0.0381 = 2.4987
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 446.3294 | 100 | 210.0176 | 4.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -0.0381
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0381 = -209.97
Taille de position USD = -209.97 x 2.1252 = -446.23
Donc, tu peux acheter -209.97 avec un stoploss a 2.0871
Avec un position size USD de -446.23$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -209.97 x -0.0381 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -209.97 x -0.0952 = 19.99
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 19.99$
Résumé
- Taille de position -209.97
- Taille de position USD -446.23
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 19.99
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.4987
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 4.48 % | 19.99 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.79 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 19.99 $ | 4.48 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| 0 % | 0 % | 0 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.1252 | 2.0871 | 2.2204 | 2.5 | 2.4236 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 2.1252
- Stop Loss: 2.0871
- Take Profit: 2.2204
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 2.0871 - 2.1252 = -0.0381
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 2.1252 - 2.2204 = -0.0952
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0952 / -0.0381 = 2.4987
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
[2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 2.2014
[stop_loss] => 2.0871
[rr_ratio] => 2
[closed_at] => 2026-08-08 17:10:00+00
[result] => win
)
[2.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 2.22045
[stop_loss] => 2.0871
[rr_ratio] => 2.5
[closed_at] => 2026-08-08 17:30:00+00
[result] => win
)
[3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 2.2395
[stop_loss] => 2.0871
[rr_ratio] => 3
[closed_at] => 2026-08-08 17:30:00+00
[result] => win
)
[3.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 2.25855
[stop_loss] => 2.0871
[rr_ratio] => 3.5
[closed_at] => 2026-08-08 17:30:00+00
[result] => win
)
[4] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 2.2776
[stop_loss] => 2.0871
[rr_ratio] => 4
[closed_at] => 2026-08-08 17:30:00+00
[result] => win
)
[4.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 2.29665
[stop_loss] => 2.0871
[rr_ratio] => 4.5
[closed_at] => 2026-08-08 17:30:00+00
[result] => win
)
[5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 2.3157
[stop_loss] => 2.0871
[rr_ratio] => 5
[closed_at] => 2026-08-08 17:30:00+00
[result] => win
)
[5.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 2.33475
[stop_loss] => 2.0871
[rr_ratio] => 5.5
[closed_at] => 2026-08-08 17:30:00+00
[result] => win
)
[6] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 2.3538
[stop_loss] => 2.0871
[rr_ratio] => 6
[closed_at] => 2026-08-08 17:30:00+00
[result] => win
)
[6.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 2.37285
[stop_loss] => 2.0871
[rr_ratio] => 6.5
[closed_at] => 2026-08-08 17:30:00+00
[result] => win
)
[7] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 2.3919
[stop_loss] => 2.0871
[rr_ratio] => 7
[closed_at] => 2026-08-08 17:30:00+00
[result] => win
)
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -1.793%
(0.0381)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.308% | 0.7R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +3.995% | 2.2R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 24 |
| 4h | +12.634% | 7.1R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 48 |
| 8h | +12.634% | 7.1R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +12.634% | 7.1R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 144 |
| 24h | +12.634% | 7.1R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 288 |
computed 2 weeks ago
Commentaires
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