Short Trade on NIL

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08 Aug 2026 at 11:10:07 hyperliquid

Short Trade on NIL (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 3231.36 NIL at 0.0345$ per unit. Take profit: 0.03363 (2.49 %) & Stop Loss: 0.03696 (7.16 %)

NIL SHORT momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 08 Aug 2026 11:10 → 15:15 · 4 hours

Position

Entry 0.03449$

Qty 3231.3571 NIL

Size 111.4463$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 0.03363 (+2.49%)

TP $ 2.78$

SL 0.03696 (-7.16%)

SL $ 7.98$

RR 0.35

Status loss PnL -3.36% / -3.75$ MAE -3.70% MFE +0.00% 0.0R expires 08 Aug 15:20 Exit rank_decay: short rank=20 <= threshold=26/36

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 62727)

#37 / 37 OK

seuil : top 15
score du 08/08/2026 11:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.2308

Quality Score

0.362

score brut du coin

Signal Confidence

97 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Regime Score

0 BLOCKED

seuil : score ≥ 1

Décision V2

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime

Volume 24h (signal)

2.5M $

volume USDT au moment du signal
08/08 11:02

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank

#37 / 37 OK

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

97 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

BTC Regime Score

-1

−4 → +4 (macro BTC)

Coin Regime Score

−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)

Combined Regime Score

0 BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

7.16 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Décision V3

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank

#37 / 37 OK

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

97 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Combined Regime Score

0 BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

7.16 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)

1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Near Demand	Distance (ATR)
1h	clear	1.42×ATR
4h	near	0.00×ATR
1d	clear	—

Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)

1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Direction	Maturity	Adverse
1h	↓ down	late	BLOCKED
4h	↓ down	mid	OK
1d	↑ up	early	OK

Décision V4

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime	BTC Market Regime V2
ml_regime : range rules_regime : bull_low_confirmed rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0	ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (-1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 08/08 11:00 Score : -1

BTC Market Regime

BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : range

rules_regime : bull_low_confirmed

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 0

ml_regime : bear_high

Strategic (1D) : range_high (0)

Operational (4H) : bull_medium (-1)

Tactical (1H) : range_low (0)

08/08 11:00

Score : -1

BTC Correlation	Coin Market Regime	Coin Market Regime V2
		Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 07/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2) 08/08 08:00 Tactical (1H) : range_high (0) 08/08 10:00 Score : +1 / ±6

BTC Correlation

Coin Market Regime

Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3)

07/08 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2)

08/08 08:00

Tactical (1H) : range_high (0)

08/08 10:00

Score : +1 / ±6

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

Score brut

0.3624

Score SMA

0.5578

Rank

#37 / 37

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.2308

Rank Norm SMA

0.6686

Calculé le

08/08/2026 11:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.3375	r1h: -2.253% · r4h: -0.981% · r1d: -8.92% · r3d: 3.54% · ema21_slope: -0.3206% · dist_ema21: -4.023%
Force Relative	25%	0.2837	rs_1h: -2.391% · rs_4h: -1.131% · rs_1d: -9.15% · rs_3d: 2.55% · beta_24h: -7.477
Volume	20%	0.1627	rvol_20: 0.11× · zscore_50: -0.559 · trend: -71.90%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.3984	ADX: 16.7 (weak) · Chop: 68.0 (range)
Volatilité	10%	0.9789	ATR%: 3.063% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 4.2h) Initial Risk: -7.162% (0.0025)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+0.000%	0.0R	-2.981%	0.4R	0.0×	12
2h	+0.000%	0.0R	-2.981%	0.4R	0.0×	24
4h	+0.000%	0.0R	-3.703%	0.5R	0.0×	48
4.2h ★	+0.000%	0.0R	-3.703%	0.5R	0.0×	49
8h	+0.125%	0.0R	-5.367%	0.8R	0.0×	96
12h	+2.285%	0.3R	-5.367%	0.8R	0.4×	144

computed 3 weeks ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100

ML Pullback Score: 0.01

Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à
1d	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	strong	balanced	volatile_reversal	bear_high	51%	noisy_chop 41%	early	—	—	0.34	bear_high	-3.02%	-0.19	07/08 20:00
4h	↑ up	early_expansion	bullish_transition	strong	explosive	expansion	bull_high	66%	noisy_chop 41%	mid	near 0.0ATR	—	0.40	bull_medium	+1.31%	+0.27	08/08 08:00
1h	↔ neutral	transition	bullish_transition	strong	grind	compression	range_high	32%	noisy_chop 46%	late	—	—	0.12	bull_low	+0.86%	-0.97	08/08 10:00
15m	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	compression	bear_high	57%	noisy_chop 46%	early	—	near 0.1ATR	—	range_low	+0.28%	-0.08	08/08 10:30
5m	—

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF	Direction	Maturity	Age (bars)	Age since BOS	Amplitude	Amp. %ile	Extension	Ext. %ile
1d	↑ up	early	7b	—	1.786×ATR	p0	+0.112×ATR	p13
4h	↓ down	mid	5b	—	4.287×ATR	p76	-0.315×ATR	p34
1h	↓ down	late	19b	—	9.466×ATR	p98	-0.182×ATR	p18
15m	↓ down	early	10b	—	1.62×ATR	p0	-0.904×ATR	p59

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL

Indicators:

stop_price: 0.03696474
tp_price: 0.03362677
atr: 0.0009903
expires_at: 2026-08-08T21:10:07+00:00

Details

rank: 39
total: 40
score: 0.3375
delta_2h: -0.1118
extension_atr: -0.96
trend_phase:
trend_direction:
rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.2308
confidence: 0.974

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.03449	0.03696	0.03363	0.35	0.05088

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.03449
Stop Loss: 0.03696
Take Profit: 0.03363

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.03696 - 0.03449 = 0.00247
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.03449 - 0.03363 = 0.00086
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00086 / 0.00247 = 0.3482

📌 Position Size

Amount	Margin	Quantity	Leverage
111.4463	100	3231.3571	1.00

Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

Account Size 100
Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

Risk Amount 8
Distance Stop Loss 0.00247

Taille de position = 8 / 0.00247 = 3238.87

Taille de position USD = 3238.87 x 0.03449 = 111.71

Donc, tu peux acheter 3238.87 avec un stoploss a 0.03696

Avec un position size USD de 111.71$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 3238.87 x 0.00247 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 3238.87 x 0.00086 = 2.79

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 2.79$

Résumé

Taille de position 3238.87
Taille de position USD 111.71
Perte potentielle 8
Gain potentiel 2.79
Risk-Reward Ratio 0.3482

📌 Peformances

TP % Target	TP $ Target
2.49 %	2.78 $

SL % Target	SL $ Target
7.16 %	7.98 $

PNL	PNL %
-3.75 $	-3.36

Max Drawdown	Max Drawdown / SL Ratio	Candles in Entry
-3.7025 %	51.7 %	0

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.03449	0.03696	0.03363	0.35	0.05088

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.03449
Stop Loss: 0.03696
Take Profit: 0.03363

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.03696 - 0.03449 = 0.00247
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.03449 - 0.03363 = 0.00086
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00086 / 0.00247 = 0.3482

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data


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Extra SL data


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MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 4.2h) Initial Risk: -7.162% (0.0025)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+0.000%	0.0R	-2.981%	0.4R	0.0×	12
2h	+0.000%	0.0R	-2.981%	0.4R	0.0×	24
4h	+0.000%	0.0R	-3.703%	0.5R	0.0×	48
4.2h ★	+0.000%	0.0R	-3.703%	0.5R	0.0×	49
8h	+0.125%	0.0R	-5.367%	0.8R	0.0×	96
12h	+2.285%	0.3R	-5.367%	0.8R	0.4×	144

computed 3 weeks ago

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