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Long Trade on PENGU

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08 Aug 2026 at 15:10:03 hyperliquid

Long Trade on PENGU (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 59263.65 PENGU at 0.00634$ per unit. Take profit: 0.006504 (2.51 %) & Stop Loss: 0.00621 (2.13 %)

PENGU LONG momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 08 Aug 2026 15:10 → 21:05 · 5 hours

Position

Entry 0.006345$

Qty 59263.6492 PENGU

Size 376.0279$ (margin 100$) (leverage 4)

Risk Setup

TP 0.006504 (+2.51%)

TP $ 9.42$

SL 0.00621 (-2.13%)

SL $ 8$

RR 1.18

Status loss PnL -0.28% / -1.07$ MAE -1.23% MFE +1.13% 0.5R expires 08 Aug 21:10 Exit time_expired

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 62869)
#1 / 36 OK
seuil : top 15
score du 08/08/2026 15:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.8734

Quality Score
0.772
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
99 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
2 OK
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
1.2M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
08/08 15:02

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank
#1 / 36 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
99 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
0
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+1 BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.13 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#1 / 36 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
99 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+1 BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.13 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Supply Distance (ATR)
1h clear 0.56×ATR
4h near -0.10×ATR
1d clear 0.52×ATR
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↑ up mid OK
4h ↑ up late BLOCKED
1d ↓ down early OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : bull_moderate

rules_regime : bull_low

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 2

ml_regime : bear_high

Strategic (1D) : range_high (0)

Operational (4H) : bull_medium (+1)

Tactical (1H) : range_low (0)

08/08 15:00

Score : +1

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3)

07/08 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2)

08/08 12:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1)

08/08 14:00

Score : 0 / ±6

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1H
Score brut
0.7721
Score SMA
0.5493
Rank
#1 / 36
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8734
Rank Norm SMA
0.6145
Calculé le
08/08/2026 15:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.6738 r1h: 1.271% · r4h: 1.335% · r1d: 6.78% · r3d: 4.00% · ema21_slope: 0.1694% · dist_ema21: 2.680%
Force Relative 25% 0.6954 rs_1h: 1.366% · rs_4h: 1.453% · rs_1d: 6.26% · rs_3d: 3.59% · beta_24h: 1.840
Volume 20% 0.8938 rvol_20: 2.70× · zscore_50: 2.667 · trend: 72.72%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7821 ADX: 40.8 (trend) · Chop: 45.3 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 0.901% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -2.128% (0.0001)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.331% 0.2R -0.363% 0.2R 0.9× 12
2h +1.135% 0.5R -0.363% 0.2R 3.1× 24
4h +1.135% 0.5R -0.883% 0.4R 1.3× 48
6h ★ +1.135% 0.5R -1.229% 0.6R 0.9× 72
8h +1.135% 0.5R -1.671% 0.8R 0.7× 96
12h +1.135% 0.5R -1.671% 0.8R 0.7× 144

computed 2 weeks ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 2.99
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↓ down pullback bear_trend moderate grind compression bear_high
60%
noisy_chop 35% early near -0.2ATR — 0.74 bear_high -2.76% +0.21 07/08 20:00
4h ↑ up range range moderate balanced normal bull_high
61%
noisy_chop 39% late — near -0.1ATR 0.66 bull_medium +1.41% +0.24 08/08 12:00
1h ↑ up transition bullish_transition strong explosive normal bull_high
68%
noisy_chop 51% mid — — 0.58 range_low +0.72% +0.47 08/08 14:00
15m ↑ up transition bullish_transition strong fading normal bull_low
51%
noisy_chop 41% early — — — range_low +0.12% +0.15 08/08 14:30
5m —

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down early 35b — 1.979×ATR p0 +0.569×ATR p57
4h ↑ up late 11b — 3.26×ATR p55 +1.059×ATR p87
1h ↑ up mid 9b — 3.002×ATR p55 +1.031×ATR p82
15m ↑ up early 13b — 1.64×ATR p3 +0.397×ATR p39

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - BUY

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.00621001
  2. tp_price: 0.00650362
  3. atr: 5.399E-5
  4. expires_at: 2026-08-09T01:10:03+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 3
  2. total: 37
  3. score: 0.6738
  4. delta_2h: 0.0636
  5. extension_atr: 2.27
  6. trend_phase:
  7. trend_direction:
  8. rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.8734
  9. confidence: 0.994

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.006345 0.00621 0.006504 1.18 0.009152
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.006345
  • Stop Loss: 0.00621
  • Take Profit: 0.006504

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.00621 - 0.006345 = -0.000135

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.006345 - 0.006504 = -0.000159

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.000159 / -0.000135 = 1.1778

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
376.0279 100 59263.6492 4.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -0.000135

Taille de position = 8 / -0.000135 = -59259.26

Taille de position USD = -59259.26 x 0.006345 = -376

Donc, tu peux acheter -59259.26 avec un stoploss a 0.00621

Avec un position size USD de -376$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -59259.26 x -0.000135 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -59259.26 x -0.000159 = 9.42

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 9.42$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -59259.26
  • Taille de position USD -376
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 9.42
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 1.1778

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.51 % 9.42 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
2.13 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-1.07 $ -0.28
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-1.2293 % 57.78 % 14
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.006345 0.00621 0.006504 1.18 0.009152
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.006345
  • Stop Loss: 0.00621
  • Take Profit: 0.006504

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.00621 - 0.006345 = -0.000135

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.006345 - 0.006504 = -0.000159

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.000159 / -0.000135 = 1.1778

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
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Extra SL data

                              Array
(
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MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -2.128% (0.0001)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.331% 0.2R -0.363% 0.2R 0.9× 12
2h +1.135% 0.5R -0.363% 0.2R 3.1× 24
4h +1.135% 0.5R -0.883% 0.4R 1.3× 48
6h ★ +1.135% 0.5R -1.229% 0.6R 0.9× 72
8h +1.135% 0.5R -1.671% 0.8R 0.7× 96
12h +1.135% 0.5R -1.671% 0.8R 0.7× 144

computed 2 weeks ago

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