Short Trade on KAITO

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08 Aug 2026 at 15:10:04 hyperliquid

Short Trade on KAITO (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 113.65 KAITO at 0.7$ per unit. Take profit: 0.6822 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 0.7701 (10.06 %)

KAITO SHORT momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 08 Aug 2026 15:10 → 16:15 · 1 hour

Position

Entry 0.6997$

Qty 113.6541 KAITO

Size 79.5272$ (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 0.6822 (+2.5%)

TP $ 1.99$

SL 0.7701 (-10.06%)

SL $ 8$

RR 0.25

Status loss PnL -2.14% / -1.7$ MAE -5.89% MFE +1.18% 0.1R expires 08 Aug 16:20 Exit rank_decay: short rank=19 <= threshold=26/36

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 62872)

#35 / 36 OK

seuil : top 15
score du 08/08/2026 15:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.3073

Quality Score

0.442

score brut du coin

Signal Confidence

100 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Regime Score

0 BLOCKED

seuil : score ≥ 1

Décision V2

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime

Volume 24h (signal)

19.9M $

volume USDT au moment du signal
08/08 15:02

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank

#35 / 36 OK

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

100 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

BTC Regime Score

-1

−4 → +4 (macro BTC)

Coin Regime Score

−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)

Combined Regime Score

-1 BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

10.06 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Décision V3

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank

#35 / 36 OK

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

100 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Combined Regime Score

-1 BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

10.06 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)

2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Near Demand	Distance (ATR)
1h	clear	—
4h	near	-0.90×ATR
1d	near	0.23×ATR

Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)

1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Direction	Maturity	Adverse
1h	↑ up	early	OK
4h	↓ down	late	BLOCKED
1d	↓ down	mid	OK

Décision V4

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime	BTC Market Regime V2
ml_regime : bull_moderate rules_regime : bull_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0	ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (-1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 08/08 15:00 Score : -1

BTC Market Regime

BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : bull_moderate

rules_regime : bull_low

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 0

ml_regime : bear_high

Strategic (1D) : range_high (0)

Operational (4H) : bull_medium (-1)

Tactical (1H) : range_low (0)

08/08 15:00

Score : -1

BTC Correlation	Coin Market Regime	Coin Market Regime V2
		Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3) 07/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high_confirmed (+2) 08/08 12:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high_confirmed (+1) 08/08 14:00 Score : 0 / ±6

BTC Correlation

Coin Market Regime

Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3)

07/08 20:00

Operational (4H) : bear_high_confirmed (+2)

08/08 12:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high_confirmed (+1)

08/08 14:00

Score : 0 / ±6

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

Score brut

0.4418

Score SMA

0.4136

Rank

#35 / 36

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.3073

Rank Norm SMA

0.1462

Calculé le

08/08/2026 15:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.1519	r1h: -7.857% · r4h: -2.278% · r1d: -19.87% · r3d: -27.21% · ema21_slope: -0.8421% · dist_ema21: -8.776%
Force Relative	25%	0.0800	rs_1h: -7.762% · rs_4h: -2.160% · rs_1d: -20.39% · rs_3d: -27.61% · beta_24h: 2.510
Volume	20%	0.8988	rvol_20: 2.48× · zscore_50: 2.737 · trend: 162.75%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.8703	ADX: 44.4 (trend) · Chop: 32.0 (trend)
Volatilité	10%	0.6591	ATR%: 4.023% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 1.2h) Initial Risk: -10.062% (0.0704)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+1.185%	0.1R	-5.885%	0.6R	0.2×	12
1.2h ★	+1.185%	0.1R	-5.885%	0.6R	0.2×	13
2h	+1.185%	0.1R	-5.885%	0.6R	0.2×	24
4h	+1.938%	0.2R	-5.885%	0.6R	0.3×	48
8h	+3.840%	0.4R	-5.885%	0.6R	0.7×	96
12h	+3.840%	0.4R	-5.885%	0.6R	0.7×	144

computed 2 weeks ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100

ML Pullback Score: 0.47

Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à
1d	↔ neutral	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	fading	expansion	bull_high	51%	noisy_chop 37%	mid	near 0.2ATR	—	0.39	bear_high	-2.76%	-0.99	07/08 20:00
4h	↓ down	range	range	moderate	fading	normal	bear_high_confirmed	50%	noisy_chop 48%	late	near -0.9ATR	—	0.00	bull_medium	+1.41%	-0.98	08/08 12:00
1h	↓ down	early_expansion	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	expansion	bear_high_confirmed	56%	noisy_chop 48%	early	—	—	-0.15	range_low	+0.72%	-0.84	08/08 14:00
15m	↓ down	range	range	moderate	balanced	expansion_after_compression	bear_high	58%	noisy_chop 33%	mid	—	—	—	range_low	+0.12%	+0.04	08/08 14:30
5m	—

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF	Direction	Maturity	Age (bars)	Age since BOS	Amplitude	Amp. %ile	Extension	Ext. %ile
1d	↓ down	mid	10b	—	4.813×ATR	p65	-1.069×ATR	p82
4h	↓ down	late	42b	—	11.031×ATR	p100	-0.978×ATR	p77
1h	↑ up	early	2b	—	2.013×ATR	p15	+0.197×ATR	p16
15m	↓ down	mid	4b	—	2.84×ATR	p58	-0.905×ATR	p59

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL

Indicators:

stop_price: 0.77011902
tp_price: 0.68223675
atr: 0.02815561
expires_at: 2026-08-09T01:10:03+00:00

Details

rank: 37
total: 37
score: 0.1519
delta_2h: -0.0621
extension_atr: -1.44
trend_phase:
trend_direction:
rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.3073
confidence: 1

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.6997	0.7701	0.6822	0.25	0.3097

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.6997
Stop Loss: 0.7701
Take Profit: 0.6822

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.7701 - 0.6997 = 0.0704
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.6997 - 0.6822 = 0.0175
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0175 / 0.0704 = 0.2486

📌 Position Size

Amount	Margin	Quantity	Leverage
79.5272	79.5272	113.6541	1.00

Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

Account Size 100
Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

Risk Amount 8
Distance Stop Loss 0.0704

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0704 = 113.64

Taille de position USD = 113.64 x 0.6997 = 79.51

Donc, tu peux acheter 113.64 avec un stoploss a 0.7701

Avec un position size USD de 79.51$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 113.64 x 0.0704 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 113.64 x 0.0175 = 1.99

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 1.99$

Résumé

Taille de position 113.64
Taille de position USD 79.51
Perte potentielle 8
Gain potentiel 1.99
Risk-Reward Ratio 0.2486

📌 Peformances

TP % Target	TP $ Target
2.5 %	1.99 $

SL % Target	SL $ Target
10.06 %	8 $

PNL	PNL %
-1.7 $	-2.14

Max Drawdown	Max Drawdown / SL Ratio	Candles in Entry
-5.8854 %	58.49 %	1

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.6997	0.7701	0.6822	0.25	0.3097

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.6997
Stop Loss: 0.7701
Take Profit: 0.6822

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.7701 - 0.6997 = 0.0704
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.6997 - 0.6822 = 0.0175
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0175 / 0.0704 = 0.2486

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data


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Extra SL data


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MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 1.2h) Initial Risk: -10.062% (0.0704)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+1.185%	0.1R	-5.885%	0.6R	0.2×	12
1.2h ★	+1.185%	0.1R	-5.885%	0.6R	0.2×	13
2h	+1.185%	0.1R	-5.885%	0.6R	0.2×	24
4h	+1.938%	0.2R	-5.885%	0.6R	0.3×	48
8h	+3.840%	0.4R	-5.885%	0.6R	0.7×	96
12h	+3.840%	0.4R	-5.885%	0.6R	0.7×	144

computed 2 weeks ago

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