Long Trade on XMR (CatchTheWave)
With 9.94 XMR at 383.5$ per unit. Take profit: 385.1093 (0.42 %) & Stop Loss: 382.6953 (0.21 %)
Long Trade on XMR (CatchTheWave)
With 9.94 XMR at 383.5$ per unit. Take profit: 385.1093 (0.42 %) & Stop Loss: 382.6953 (0.21 %)
Position
Entry 383.5$
Qty 9.9421 XMR
Size 3812.8101$ (margin 100$) (leverage 38)
Risk Setup
TP 385.1093 (+0.42%)
TP $ 16$
SL 382.6953 (-0.21%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.8715
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | clear | 1.29×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bull_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 1 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (+1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 08/08 15:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.08117 15m : 0.00934 |
1H_regime : bull_medium_confirmed 15m_regime : range_low 5m_regime : range_low |
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 07/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2) 08/08 12:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_medium_confirmed (+1) 08/08 15:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6156 | r1h: 0.229% · r4h: 0.263% · r1d: 3.63% · r3d: 8.02% · ema21_slope: 0.0953% · dist_ema21: 1.178% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6238 | rs_1h: 0.324% · rs_4h: 0.381% · rs_1d: 3.11% · rs_3d: 7.62% · beta_24h: 0.475 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.6867 | rvol_20: 1.87× · zscore_50: 1.428 · trend: 79.68% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7313 | ADX: 32.3 (trend) · Chop: 42.8 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.639% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.686% | 3.3R | -0.089% | 0.4R | 7.7× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.686% | 3.3R | -2.083% | 9.9R | 0.3× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.686% | 3.3R | -2.289% | 10.9R | 0.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.686% | 3.3R | -2.289% | 10.9R | 0.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.686% | 3.3R | -2.289% | 10.9R | 0.3× | 144 |
computed 2 weeks ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | range | range | strong | fading | compression | bull_high |
68%
|
noisy_chop 46% | late | — | — | 0.50 | bear_high | -2.76% | +0.85 | 07/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | fading | expansion | bull_high_confirmed |
64%
|
ranging_calm 50% | late | — | — | 0.38 | bull_medium | +1.29% | +0.62 | 08/08 12:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | compression | bull_medium_confirmed |
65%
|
noisy_chop 45% | late | — | — | 0.26 | range_low | +0.64% | +0.15 | 08/08 15:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bull_low |
47%
|
noisy_chop 36% | early | — | — | — | range_low | +0.06% | +0.00 | 08/08 15:15 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | late | 11b | — | 3.778×ATR | p26 | +1.24×ATR | p92 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 20b | — | 7.411×ATR | p100 | +1.468×ATR | p95 |
| 1h | ↑ up | late | 9b | — | 4.285×ATR | p81 | +0.721×ATR | p60 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 10b | — | 0.583×ATR | p0 | -0.565×ATR | p47 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
65025.2
-0.00060381
64986
0.08117
64949.3
0.00056499
64986
0.00934
64627.7
0.00554298
64986
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375.22
190
0.7499
0.8257
0.3603
0.2344
0.4633
0.4812
0.4769
0.7569
0.6853
0.4675
0.74
0.9793
0.2028
0.1703
1
1.8298
4.126
0.55
0.45
1
11
1
0.5313
0.8071
6.501
0.75
0.4812
3.1283
4.126
0.1588
0.2534
0.64
-0.1747
0.456
0.5868
0.8052
0.9793
-0.3268
15.4596
1
1
1
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (3)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15:34 | 383.50000000 | 0% |
| 2 | 15:40 | 383.50000000 | 0% |
| 3 | 15:46 | 383.29000000 | -0.055% |
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-08 15:40:00 | 385.01 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 16:05:00 | 383.6 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-08 16:20:00 | 386 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 16:45:00 | 383.16 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-08 16:55:00 | 385.61 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 18:10:00 | 383.51 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-08 18:20:00 | 385.24 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 18:50:00 | 384.6 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-08 19:15:00 | 385.4 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 19:25:00 | 383.5 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-08 05:15:00 | 381.52 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 06:45:00 | 378.92 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-08 08:00:00 | 382 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 08:30:00 | 382 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 09:00:00 | 382 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 10:45:00 | 375.22 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-08 14:00:00 | 385 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 16:15:00 | 386 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 16:45:00 | 383.16 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-08 19:15:00 | 385.4 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 01:00:00 | 367.37 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 03:00:00 | 363.14 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-06 10:00:00 | 359.92 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 00:00:00 | 370.97 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 03:00:00 | 366.96 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 07:00:00 | 371.99 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 16:00:00 | 367.91 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-08 01:00:00 | 381.54 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 10:00:00 | 375.22 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-08 16:00:00 | 386 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 383.5 | 382.6953 | 385.1093 | 2 | 466.81 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 382.6953 - 383.5 = -0.80470000000003
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 383.5 - 385.1093 = -1.6093
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -1.6093 / -0.80470000000003 = 1.9999
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3812.8101 | 100 | 9.9421 | 38.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.80470000000003 = -9.94
Taille de position USD = -9.94 x 383.5 = -3811.99
Donc, tu peux acheter -9.94 avec un stoploss a 382.6953
Avec un position size USD de -3811.99$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -9.94 x -0.80470000000003 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -9.94 x -1.6093 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.42 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.21 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16 $ | 0.42 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.0887 % | 42.28 % | 3 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 383.5 | 382.6953 | 385.1093 | 2 | 466.81 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 382.6953 - 383.5 = -0.80470000000003
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 383.5 - 385.1093 = -1.6093
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -1.6093 / -0.80470000000003 = 1.9999
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.686% | 3.3R | -0.089% | 0.4R | 7.7× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.686% | 3.3R | -2.083% | 9.9R | 0.3× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.686% | 3.3R | -2.289% | 10.9R | 0.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.686% | 3.3R | -2.289% | 10.9R | 0.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.686% | 3.3R | -2.289% | 10.9R | 0.3× | 144 |
computed 2 weeks ago
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