Long Trade on TAO (CatchTheWave)
With 13.52 TAO at 197.51$ per unit. Take profit: 198.6933 (0.6 %) & Stop Loss: 196.9183 (0.3 %)
Long Trade on TAO (CatchTheWave)
With 13.52 TAO at 197.51$ per unit. Take profit: 198.6933 (0.6 %) & Stop Loss: 196.9183 (0.3 %)
Position
Entry 197.51$
Qty 13.5215 TAO
Size 2670.6227$ (margin 100$) (leverage 27)
Risk Setup
TP 198.6933 (+0.6%)
TP $ 16$
SL 196.9183 (-0.3%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.6555
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -1.11×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.78×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 11.19×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bull_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 1 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (+1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 08/08 15:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.218647 15m : 0.381805 |
1H_regime : bull_medium 15m_regime : range_low 5m_regime : range_low |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 07/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 08/08 12:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_medium (+1) 08/08 15:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6049 | r1h: 0.417% · r4h: 1.282% · r1d: 4.39% · r3d: 1.68% · ema21_slope: 0.1030% · dist_ema21: 1.663% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6096 | rs_1h: 0.512% · rs_4h: 1.400% · rs_1d: 3.87% · rs_3d: 1.28% · beta_24h: 3.456 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.8973 | rvol_20: 3.75× · zscore_50: 1.935 · trend: 76.25% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6794 | ADX: 34.4 (trend) · Chop: 51.5 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.673% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.613% | 2.0R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +1.418% | 4.7R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.418% | 4.7R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 48 |
| 8h | +6.496% | 21.7R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 96 |
| 12h | +6.516% | 21.8R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 144 |
computed 2 weeks ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 32% | late | — | — | 0.60 | bear_high | -2.76% | -0.06 | 07/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bull_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 32% | mid | — | near -0.8ATR | 0.70 | bull_medium | +1.29% | -0.06 | 08/08 12:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | compression | bull_medium |
65%
|
noisy_chop 42% | early | near -0.3ATR | near -1.1ATR | 0.63 | range_low | +0.64% | +0.19 | 08/08 15:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | volatile_reversal | bull_low |
36%
|
noisy_chop 45% | mid | near -0.9ATR | — | — | range_low | +0.06% | +0.10 | 08/08 15:00 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 54b | — | 10.527×ATR | p93 | +0.445×ATR | p46 |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | 9b | — | 2.624×ATR | p30 | +0.667×ATR | p70 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 1b | — | 2.057×ATR | p29 | -0.118×ATR | p16 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 1b | — | 3.409×ATR | p62 | -0.861×ATR | p70 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
65028.7
-0.000688279
64984
0.218647
64948.5
0.000606899
64988
0.381805
64627.7
0.00549748
64983
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-06 13:00:00
[1] => 190.9
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-06 19:00:00
[1] => 194.08
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-06 20:00:00
[1] => 191.34
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-07 05:00:00
[1] => 190.2
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-07 11:00:00
[1] => 194.87
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-07 17:00:00
[1] => 190.86
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-07 21:00:00
[1] => 195.41
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-08 06:00:00
[1] => 197.92
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-08 13:00:00
[1] => 195.87
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-08 18:00:00
[1] => 200.29
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -1.3929801787408
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.83218461224281
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 6
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.2565987644866
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-08 07:45:00
[1] => 196.27
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-08 09:45:00
[1] => 196.24
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-08 11:15:00
[1] => 196.05
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-08 12:30:00
[1] => 197.31
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-08 13:00:00
[1] => 197.31
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-08 13:45:00
[1] => 195.87
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-08 15:45:00
[1] => 198.43
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-08 16:30:00
[1] => 197.5
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-08 18:45:00
[1] => 200.29
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-08 19:00:00
[1] => 197.22
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -1.2931249687952
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.24338302403407
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 2
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 1
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.5566372578846
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-08 11:25:00
[1] => 196.05
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-08 12:35:00
[1] => 197.31
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-08 13:05:00
[1] => 197.31
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-08 13:55:00
[1] => 195.87
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-08 15:45:00
[1] => 198.43
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-08 16:30:00
[1] => 197.5
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-08 17:55:00
[1] => 199.48
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-08 18:25:00
[1] => 198.19
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-08 18:45:00
[1] => 200.29
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-08 19:05:00
[1] => 197.22
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -1.3879874182435
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.14704391035392
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 8
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 4
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.5566372578846
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
200.29
198
0.7822
0.5656
0.3228
0.2428
0.3883
0
0.2039
0.6267
0.7313
0.2934
0.6603
0.6876
0.1547
0.0972
1
0.6286
1.619
0.55
0.45
1
1
1
0.5144
0.504
3.2208
0.6
0
0
1.619
0
0.2491
0.34
-0.1659
0.4911
0.562
0.9253
0.6876
-2.7273
6.0016
1
1
0
Signal Details
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-08 11:25:00 | 196.05 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-08 12:35:00 | 197.31 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 13:05:00 | 197.31 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 13:55:00 | 195.87 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-08 15:45:00 | 198.43 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 16:30:00 | 197.5 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-08 17:55:00 | 199.48 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 18:25:00 | 198.19 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-08 18:45:00 | 200.29 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 19:05:00 | 197.22 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-08 07:45:00 | 196.27 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-08 09:45:00 | 196.24 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-08 11:15:00 | 196.05 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-08 12:30:00 | 197.31 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 13:00:00 | 197.31 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 13:45:00 | 195.87 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-08 15:45:00 | 198.43 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 16:30:00 | 197.5 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-08 18:45:00 | 200.29 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 19:00:00 | 197.22 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 13:00:00 | 190.9 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-06 19:00:00 | 194.08 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 20:00:00 | 191.34 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 05:00:00 | 190.2 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 11:00:00 | 194.87 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 17:00:00 | 190.86 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 21:00:00 | 195.41 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 06:00:00 | 197.92 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 13:00:00 | 195.87 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-08 18:00:00 | 200.29 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 197.51 | 196.9183 | 198.6933 | 2 | 234.81 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 196.9183 - 197.51 = -0.5917
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 197.51 - 198.6933 = -1.1833
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -1.1833 / -0.5917 = 1.9998
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2670.6227 | 100 | 13.5215 | 27.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.5917 = -13.52
Taille de position USD = -13.52 x 197.51 = -2670.34
Donc, tu peux acheter -13.52 avec un stoploss a 196.9183
Avec un position size USD de -2670.34$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -13.52 x -0.5917 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -13.52 x -1.1833 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.6 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.3 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16 $ | 0.60 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| 0 % | 0 % | 0 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 197.51 | 196.9183 | 198.6933 | 2 | 234.81 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 196.9183 - 197.51 = -0.5917
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 197.51 - 198.6933 = -1.1833
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -1.1833 / -0.5917 = 1.9998
Array
(
[2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 198.6934
[stop_loss] => 196.9183
[rr_ratio] => 2
[closed_at] => 2026-08-08 20:00:00+00
[result] => win
)
[2.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 198.98925
[stop_loss] => 196.9183
[rr_ratio] => 2.5
[closed_at] => 2026-08-08 20:45:00+00
[result] => win
)
[3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 199.2851
[stop_loss] => 196.9183
[rr_ratio] => 3
[closed_at] => 2026-08-08 21:10:00+00
[result] => win
)
[3.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 199.58095
[stop_loss] => 196.9183
[rr_ratio] => 3.5
[closed_at] => 2026-08-08 21:20:00+00
[result] => win
)
[4] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 199.8768
[stop_loss] => 196.9183
[rr_ratio] => 4
[closed_at] => 2026-08-08 21:20:00+00
[result] => win
)
[4.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 200.17265
[stop_loss] => 196.9183
[rr_ratio] => 4.5
[closed_at] => 2026-08-08 21:20:00+00
[result] => win
)
[5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 200.4685
[stop_loss] => 196.9183
[rr_ratio] => 5
[closed_at] => 2026-08-08 23:40:00+00
[result] => win
)
[5.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 200.76435
[stop_loss] => 196.9183
[rr_ratio] => 5.5
[closed_at] => 2026-08-08 23:40:00+00
[result] => win
)
[6] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 201.0602
[stop_loss] => 196.9183
[rr_ratio] => 6
[closed_at] => 2026-08-08 23:40:00+00
[result] => win
)
[6.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 201.35605
[stop_loss] => 196.9183
[rr_ratio] => 6.5
[closed_at] => 2026-08-08 23:40:00+00
[result] => win
)
[7] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 201.6519
[stop_loss] => 196.9183
[rr_ratio] => 7
[closed_at] => 2026-08-08 23:40:00+00
[result] => win
)
)
Array
(
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.613% | 2.0R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +1.418% | 4.7R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.418% | 4.7R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 48 |
| 8h | +6.496% | 21.7R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 96 |
| 12h | +6.516% | 21.8R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 144 |
computed 2 weeks ago
Aucun commentaire.