Long Trade on ICP (CatchTheWave)
With 550.37 ICP at 2.181$ per unit. Take profit: 2.2101 (1.33 %) & Stop Loss: 2.1665 (0.66 %)
Long Trade on ICP (CatchTheWave)
With 550.37 ICP at 2.181$ per unit. Take profit: 2.2101 (1.33 %) & Stop Loss: 2.1665 (0.66 %)
Position
Entry 2.181$
Qty 550.3668 ICP
Size 1200.35$ (margin 100$) (leverage 12)
Risk Setup
TP 2.2101 (+1.33%)
TP $ 16.02$
SL 2.1665 (-0.66%)
SL $ 7.98$
RR 2.01
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.8416
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | near | -1.22×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 6.24×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bull_moderate rules_regime : bull_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 2 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (+1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 08/08 17:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.039962 15m : 0.142351 |
1H_regime : bull_high_confirmed 15m_regime : bull_high 5m_regime : range_medium |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 07/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2) 08/08 16:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1) 08/08 16:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6363 | r1h: -0.541% · r4h: 2.135% · r1d: 5.38% · r3d: 5.20% · ema21_slope: 0.2079% · dist_ema21: 2.884% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6282 | rs_1h: -0.538% · rs_4h: 2.166% · rs_1d: 5.23% · rs_3d: 4.82% · beta_24h: 2.808 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3532 | rvol_20: 0.28× · zscore_50: -0.152 · trend: 72.45% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.8355 | ADX: 40.3 (trend) · Chop: -12.9 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.389% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.160% | 1.7R | -0.170% | 0.3R | 6.8× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.660% | 2.5R | -0.170% | 0.3R | 9.8× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.660% | 2.5R | -0.170% | 0.3R | 9.8× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.660% | 2.5R | -1.023% | 1.5R | 1.6× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.660% | 2.5R | -1.023% | 1.5R | 1.6× | 144 |
computed 2 weeks ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | normal | bear_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 36% | late | — | — | 0.39 | bear_high | -2.76% | +0.40 | 07/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | balanced | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
59%
|
noisy_chop 44% | late | — | near -1.2ATR | 0.66 | bull_medium | +1.31% | +0.51 | 08/08 16:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
60%
|
noisy_chop 46% | late | — | — | 0.56 | range_low | +0.71% | +0.49 | 08/08 16:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | expansion_after_compression | bull_high |
69%
|
noisy_chop 44% | late | — | — | — | range_low | +0.13% | +0.27 | 08/08 16:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | late | 7b | — | 2.67×ATR | p0 | +1.408×ATR | p93 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 1b | — | 4.596×ATR | p82 | +2.159×ATR | p100 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 3b | — | 6.229×ATR | p96 | +0.972×ATR | p83 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 12b | — | 9.191×ATR | p97 | -0.466×ATR | p46 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
65031
0.000214321
65045
0.039962
64991.8
0.000817767
65045
0.142351
64691.8
0.00544353
65044
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2.3937
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0.7539
0.435
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1.4076
2.1026
0.45
0.55
1
3
1
0.5127
0.84
10.24
0.55
17.1322
33.5797
2.1026
0
0.296
0.92
3.2763
0.6098
0.4868
0.5883
0.435
-4.4214
3.4036
1
0
0
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (6)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17:04 | 2.18100000 | 0% |
| 2 | 17:10 | 2.17940000 | -0.073% |
| 3 | 17:16 | 2.17930000 | -0.078% |
| 4 | 17:21 | 2.18610000 | +0.234% |
| 5 | 17:34 | 2.18500000 | +0.183% |
| 6 | 17:39 | 2.18190000 | +0.041% |
Market Structure Score: 2
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-08 12:45:00 | 2.102 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-08 13:05:00 | 2.1054 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 13:45:00 | 2.0996 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-08 17:30:00 | 2.3937 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 18:00:00 | 2.2549 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 18:35:00 | 2.213 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-08 18:55:00 | 2.2437 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 19:40:00 | 2.2098 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-08 20:10:00 | 2.2264 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 21:00:00 | 2.1725 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-08 02:30:00 | 2.0892 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-08 03:30:00 | 2.0892 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-08 05:15:00 | 2.0872 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-08 07:30:00 | 2.0923 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-08 08:15:00 | 2.1 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 10:15:00 | 2.113 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 11:15:00 | 2.0956 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-08 13:45:00 | 2.0996 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-08 17:30:00 | 2.3937 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 21:00:00 | 2.1725 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 20:00:00 | 2.1025 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 02:00:00 | 2.0827 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-06 08:00:00 | 2.1026 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 11:00:00 | 2.0704 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-06 15:00:00 | 2.1002 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 04:00:00 | 2.0608 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 15:00:00 | 2.1022 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 22:00:00 | 2.1026 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 05:00:00 | 2.0872 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-08 17:00:00 | 2.3937 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.181 | 2.1665 | 2.2101 | 2.01 | 2.4089 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 2.1665 - 2.181 = -0.0145
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 2.181 - 2.2101 = -0.0291
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0291 / -0.0145 = 2.0069
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1200.35 | 100 | 550.3668 | 12.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0145 = -551.72
Taille de position USD = -551.72 x 2.181 = -1203.3
Donc, tu peux acheter -551.72 avec un stoploss a 2.1665
Avec un position size USD de -1203.3$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -551.72 x -0.0145 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -551.72 x -0.0291 = 16.06
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.06$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.33 % | 16.02 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.66 % | 7.98 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16.02 $ | 1.33 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.1696 % | 25.51 % | 1 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.181 | 2.1665 | 2.2101 | 2.01 | 2.4089 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 2.1665 - 2.181 = -0.0145
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 2.181 - 2.2101 = -0.0291
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0291 / -0.0145 = 2.0069
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.160% | 1.7R | -0.170% | 0.3R | 6.8× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.660% | 2.5R | -0.170% | 0.3R | 9.8× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.660% | 2.5R | -0.170% | 0.3R | 9.8× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.660% | 2.5R | -1.023% | 1.5R | 1.6× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.660% | 2.5R | -1.023% | 1.5R | 1.6× | 144 |
computed 2 weeks ago
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