Long Trade on XMR (CatchTheWave)
With 9.09 XMR at 382$ per unit. Take profit: 383.7609 (0.46 %) & Stop Loss: 381.1195 (0.23 %)
Long Trade on XMR (CatchTheWave)
With 9.09 XMR at 382$ per unit. Take profit: 383.7609 (0.46 %) & Stop Loss: 381.1195 (0.23 %)
Position
Entry 382$
Qty 9.0861 XMR
Size 3470.8924$ (margin 100$) (leverage 35)
Risk Setup
TP 383.7609 (+0.46%)
TP $ 16$
SL 381.1195 (-0.23%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.9164
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | clear | 1.29×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bull_moderate rules_regime : bull_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 2 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (+1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 08/08 17:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : -0.140097 15m : 0.001023 |
1H_regime : bull_medium_confirmed 15m_regime : range_low 5m_regime : range_low |
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 07/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2) 08/08 16:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_medium_confirmed (+1) 08/08 16:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5687 | r1h: -0.099% · r4h: -0.356% · r1d: 1.48% · r3d: 5.65% · ema21_slope: 0.0855% · dist_ema21: 0.690% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5497 | rs_1h: -0.096% · rs_4h: -0.325% · rs_1d: 1.32% · rs_3d: 5.27% · beta_24h: 0.078 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.9114 | rvol_20: 2.57× · zscore_50: 2.692 · trend: 119.82% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7351 | ADX: 32.9 (trend) · Chop: 43.0 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.633% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.016% | 0.1R | -1.699% | 7.4R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.016% | 0.1R | -1.906% | 8.3R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.016% | 0.1R | -1.906% | 8.3R | 0.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.555% | 2.4R | -1.906% | 8.3R | 0.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.555% | 2.4R | -1.906% | 8.3R | 0.3× | 144 |
computed 2 weeks ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | range | range | strong | fading | compression | bull_high |
68%
|
noisy_chop 46% | late | — | — | 0.50 | bear_high | -2.76% | +0.85 | 07/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | fading | normal | bull_high_confirmed |
62%
|
noisy_chop 45% | late | — | — | 0.38 | bull_medium | +1.31% | +0.58 | 08/08 16:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | normal | bull_medium_confirmed |
63%
|
noisy_chop 40% | mid | — | — | 0.26 | range_low | +0.71% | +0.09 | 08/08 16:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bull_low |
48%
|
noisy_chop 38% | early | — | — | 0.10 | range_low | +0.13% | -0.00 | 08/08 16:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | late | 11b | — | 3.778×ATR | p26 | +1.24×ATR | p92 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 21b | — | 7.589×ATR | p100 | +1.086×ATR | p87 |
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | 10b | — | 3.489×ATR | p74 | +0.157×ATR | p12 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 4b | — | 2.009×ATR | p41 | -0.277×ATR | p27 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
65031
0.000214321
65045
-0.140097
64991.8
0.000817767
65045
0.001023
64691.8
0.00544353
65044
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375.22
189
0.7436
0.7907
0.3521
0.2213
0.4592
0.4812
0.4038
0.7763
0.6853
0.5009
0.7295
0.9323
0.1609
0.1485
1
1.0079
3.1088
0.55
0.45
1
12
1
0.5574
0.8071
6.501
0.65
0.4812
3.1283
3.1088
0.1588
0.2732
0.64
-0.1247
0.4533
0.546
0.811
0.9323
-1.0041
13.8218
1
1
1
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (4)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17:05 | 382.00000000 | 0% |
| 2 | 17:10 | 382.00000000 | 0% |
| 3 | 17:16 | 381.59000000 | -0.107% |
| 4 | 17:22 | 381.20000000 | -0.209% |
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-08 16:45:00 | 383.16 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-08 16:55:00 | 385.61 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 18:10:00 | 383.51 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-08 18:20:00 | 385.24 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 18:50:00 | 384.6 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-08 19:15:00 | 385.4 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 19:40:00 | 383.16 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-08 19:50:00 | 386.13 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 20:35:00 | 384.42 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 21:00:00 | 382 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-08 06:45:00 | 378.92 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-08 08:00:00 | 382 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 08:30:00 | 382 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 09:00:00 | 382 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 10:45:00 | 375.22 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-08 14:00:00 | 385 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 16:15:00 | 386 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 16:45:00 | 383.16 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-08 19:45:00 | 386.13 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 21:00:00 | 382 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 01:00:00 | 367.37 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 03:00:00 | 363.14 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-06 10:00:00 | 359.92 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 00:00:00 | 370.97 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 03:00:00 | 366.96 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 07:00:00 | 371.99 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 16:00:00 | 367.91 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-08 01:00:00 | 381.54 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 10:00:00 | 375.22 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-08 19:00:00 | 386.13 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 382 | 381.1195 | 383.7609 | 2 | 471.84 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 381.1195 - 382 = -0.88049999999998
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 382 - 383.7609 = -1.7609
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -1.7609 / -0.88049999999998 = 1.9999
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3470.8924 | 100 | 9.0861 | 35.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.88049999999998 = -9.09
Taille de position USD = -9.09 x 382 = -3472.38
Donc, tu peux acheter -9.09 avec un stoploss a 381.1195
Avec un position size USD de -3472.38$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -9.09 x -0.88049999999998 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -9.09 x -1.7609 = 16.01
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.01$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.46 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.23 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.23 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.0445 % | 453.15 % | 1 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 382 | 381.1195 | 383.7609 | 2 | 471.84 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 381.1195 - 382 = -0.88049999999998
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 382 - 383.7609 = -1.7609
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -1.7609 / -0.88049999999998 = 1.9999
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.016% | 0.1R | -1.699% | 7.4R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.016% | 0.1R | -1.906% | 8.3R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.016% | 0.1R | -1.906% | 8.3R | 0.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.555% | 2.4R | -1.906% | 8.3R | 0.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.555% | 2.4R | -1.906% | 8.3R | 0.3× | 144 |
computed 2 weeks ago
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