Long Trade on ACE (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 207.31 ACE at 0.153$ per unit. Take profit: 0.2494 (63.11 %) & Stop Loss: 0.1143 (25.25 %)
08 Aug 2026 at 17:08:32
hyperliquid
ACE
LONG
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
08 Aug 2026 17:08
→ 05:05
· 11 hours
Position
Entry 0.1529$
Qty 207.3146 ACE
Size 31.6984$ (leverage 1)
Risk Setup
TP 0.2494 (+63.11%)
TP $ 20.01$
SL 0.1143 (-25.25%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2.5
Status
loss
PnL
-15.04%
/ -4.77$
MAE -18.57%
MFE +2.42%
0.1R
expires
09 Aug 05:08
Exit
time_expired
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 62936)
#25 / 36
OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 08/08/2026 17:00
score du 08/08/2026 17:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.8511
Quality Score
0.479
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
80 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
2
OK
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
5.0M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
08/08 17:01
08/08 17:01
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#25 / 36
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
80 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+7
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
25.25 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#25 / 36
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
80 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+7
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
25.25 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | clear | 6.26×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bull_moderate rules_regime : bull_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 2 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (+1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 08/08 17:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (+3) 07/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 08/08 16:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 08/08 16:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Score brut
0.4785
Score SMA
0.4805
Rank
#25
/ 36
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8511
Rank Norm SMA
0.3525
Calculé le
08/08/2026 17:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6280 | r1h: -4.402% · r4h: -7.619% · r1d: 31.67% · r3d: 109.65% · ema21_slope: 1.2850% · dist_ema21: 14.092% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5000 | rs_1h: -4.399% · rs_4h: -7.588% · rs_1d: 31.52% · rs_3d: 109.27% · beta_24h: 6.336 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1963 | rvol_20: 0.44× · zscore_50: -0.941 · trend: -5.72% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.8388 | ADX: 40.7 (trend) · Chop: 26.4 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 7.397% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -25.245%
(0.0386)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -4.644% | 0.2R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.196% | 0.0R | -6.213% | 0.3R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.196% | 0.0R | -7.783% | 0.3R | 0.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.420% | 0.1R | -17.724% | 0.7R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +2.420% | 0.1R | -18.574% | 0.7R | 0.1× | 144 |
| 24h | +2.420% | 0.1R | -21.975% | 0.9R | 0.1× | 288 |
computed 2 weeks ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.12
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | balanced | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
57%
|
noisy_chop 38% | late | — | — | 0.32 | bear_high | -2.76% | +1.00 | 07/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 48% | mid | — | — | 0.05 | bull_medium | +1.31% | +1.00 | 08/08 16:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
63%
|
noisy_chop 43% | early | — | — | -0.02 | range_low | +0.71% | +1.00 | 08/08 16:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | normal | bull_high |
69%
|
noisy_chop 40% | early | — | near 0.4ATR | — | range_low | +0.13% | +0.61 | 08/08 16:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | late | 9b | — | 3.684×ATR | p35 | +2.337×ATR | p100 |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | 4b | — | 3.031×ATR | p19 | +0.892×ATR | p76 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early | 2b | — | 0.771×ATR | p0 | +0.613×ATR | p52 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 10b | — | 1.387×ATR | p0 | -0.155×ATR | p18 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - BUY
Indicators:
- long_trend: 1
- confidence: 0.8018
- reason: up_bo width=2.09×ATR dur=31b phase=extending
- stop_price: 0.1143113
- tp_price: 0.24937174
- atr:
- score: 0.80182556993766
- expires_at: 2026-08-09T09:08:24.850533
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.80182556993766
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : -0.0054
- obi_top10 : -0.0374
- micro_price : 0.14995068
- spread_pct : 0.066711
- mid_price : 0.14995
- bid_wall_price : 0.147
- bid_wall_size : 237542.702
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price : 0.154
- ask_wall_size : 244376.808
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : 0.0337
- obi_top5_std : 0.029
- pressure_side : neutral
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 7021
- aggregation_tick : 0.001
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
0.1262
- balance_zone_bottom:
0.1045
- balance_zone_mid:
0.11535
- balance_zone_start_time:
1786114800
- balance_zone_end_time:
1786222800
- balance_zone_width_atr:
2.0892
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
31
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: established
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.8018
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: up
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: extending
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1786197600
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
0.1262
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.6774
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
7
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
2.5705
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
0
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
2
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
11
- regime : bull_high
- atr_entry : 0.01038697 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
31
inside_close_ratio
0.6774
bars_since_breakout
7
distance_to_edge_atr
2.5705
Signaux confirmants (5)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17:08 | 0.15290000 | 0% |
| 2 | 17:14 | 0.15290000 | 0% |
| 3 | 17:20 | 0.15080000 | -1.373% |
| 4 | 17:26 | 0.15080000 | -1.373% |
| 5 | 17:32 | 0.15080000 | -1.373% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
→ neutral
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
7021ms
Confidence avant OB :
80%
→
80%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
-0.005
avg 0.034
± 0.029
OBI Top 10
-0.037
Microstructure
Mid Price
0.1500
Micro Price
0.1500
Spread
0.0667%
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
Price
0.1470
Size
237,542.70
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
Price
0.1540
Size
244,376.81
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.1529 | 0.1143 | 0.2494 | 2.5 | 0.2019 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.1529
- Stop Loss: 0.1143
- Take Profit: 0.2494
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.1143 - 0.1529 = -0.0386
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.1529 - 0.2494 = -0.0965
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0965 / -0.0386 = 2.5
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31.6984 | 31.6984 | 207.3146 | 1.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -0.0386
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0386 = -207.25
Taille de position USD = -207.25 x 0.1529 = -31.69
Donc, tu peux acheter -207.25 avec un stoploss a 0.1143
Avec un position size USD de -31.69$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -207.25 x -0.0386 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -207.25 x -0.0965 = 20
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20$
Résumé
- Taille de position -207.25
- Taille de position USD -31.69
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 20
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 63.11 % | 20.01 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 25.25 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -4.77 $ | -15.04 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -18.5742 % | 73.57 % | 3 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.1529 | 0.1143 | 0.2494 | 2.5 | 0.2019 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.1529
- Stop Loss: 0.1143
- Take Profit: 0.2494
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.1143 - 0.1529 = -0.0386
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.1529 - 0.2494 = -0.0965
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0965 / -0.0386 = 2.5
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -25.245%
(0.0386)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -4.644% | 0.2R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.196% | 0.0R | -6.213% | 0.3R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.196% | 0.0R | -7.783% | 0.3R | 0.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.420% | 0.1R | -17.724% | 0.7R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +2.420% | 0.1R | -18.574% | 0.7R | 0.1× | 144 |
| 24h | +2.420% | 0.1R | -21.975% | 0.9R | 0.1× | 288 |
computed 2 weeks ago
Commentaires
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