Long Trade on AAVE (CatchTheWave)
With 48.82 AAVE at 91.213$ per unit. Take profit: 91.5407 (0.36 %) & Stop Loss: 91.0491 (0.18 %)
Long Trade on AAVE (CatchTheWave)
With 48.82 AAVE at 91.213$ per unit. Take profit: 91.5407 (0.36 %) & Stop Loss: 91.0491 (0.18 %)
Position
Entry 91.213$
Qty 48.8209 AAVE
Size 4453.1031$ (margin 100$) (leverage 45)
Risk Setup
TP 91.5407 (+0.36%)
TP $ 16$
SL 91.0491 (-0.18%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.4819
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.72×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.53×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 0.60×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bull_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 1 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (+1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 08/08 19:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.225875 15m : 0.371795 |
1H_regime : bull_medium 15m_regime : range_low 5m_regime : range_low |
Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) 07/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (-2) 08/08 16:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_medium (+1) 08/08 18:00 Score : -1 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5289 | r1h: -0.440% · r4h: 0.111% · r1d: 1.67% · r3d: 1.67% · ema21_slope: 0.0813% · dist_ema21: 0.512% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5176 | rs_1h: -0.374% · rs_4h: 0.218% · rs_1d: 1.53% · rs_3d: 1.13% · beta_24h: 2.009 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1478 | rvol_20: 0.37× · zscore_50: -0.783 · trend: -53.12% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5995 | ADX: 22.4 (weak) · Chop: 49.0 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.536% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.355% | 2.0R | -0.087% | 0.5R | 4.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.355% | 2.0R | -0.413% | 2.3R | 0.9× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.355% | 2.0R | -0.601% | 3.3R | 0.6× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.624% | 3.5R | -0.899% | 5.0R | 0.7× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.718% | 4.0R | -0.899% | 5.0R | 0.8× | 144 |
computed 2 weeks ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | compression | range_high |
39%
|
noisy_chop 37% | early | near -0.9ATR | — | 0.71 | bear_high | -2.76% | +0.14 | 07/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 38% | mid | — | near -0.5ATR | 0.45 | bull_medium | +1.20% | +0.06 | 08/08 16:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bull_medium |
59%
|
noisy_chop 43% | late | — | near -0.7ATR | 0.58 | range_low | +0.54% | +0.23 | 08/08 18:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | normal | range_low |
39%
|
noisy_chop 35% | mid | near 0.0ATR | — | — | range_low | -0.02% | +0.02 | 08/08 18:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 12b | — | 2.499×ATR | p0 | -0.05×ATR | p6 |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | 15b | — | 3.179×ATR | p39 | +0.677×ATR | p63 |
| 1h | ↑ up | late | 19b | — | 4.387×ATR | p87 | +0.105×ATR | p13 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 5b | — | 2.926×ATR | p64 | -0.605×ATR | p61 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
65028.1
-0.00178574
64912
0.225875
64979
-0.00103159
64912
0.371795
64686.8
0.00397604
64944
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-06 10:00:00
[1] => 87.439
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-06 15:00:00
[1] => 89.465
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-07 01:00:00
[1] => 91.182
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-07 09:00:00
[1] => 91.176
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-07 14:00:00
[1] => 88.894
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-07 20:00:00
[1] => 90.662
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-08 03:00:00
[1] => 89.174
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-08 06:00:00
[1] => 90.695
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-08 14:00:00
[1] => 91.661
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-08 21:00:00
[1] => 92.044
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.78332102038156
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.4098952609505
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 19
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.41784401217529
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-08 06:45:00
[1] => 90.695
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-08 07:30:00
[1] => 89.972
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-08 09:30:00
[1] => 89.977
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-08 10:15:00
[1] => 90.472
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-08 11:15:00
[1] => 90.103
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-08 14:30:00
[1] => 91.661
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-08 16:00:00
[1] => 91.645
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-08 19:15:00
[1] => 91.071
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-08 21:15:00
[1] => 92.044
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-08 23:00:00
[1] => 91.201
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.90282908174352
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.013157750463263
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 7
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.92433197004419
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-08 16:50:00
[1] => 91.225
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-08 17:15:00
[1] => 91.578
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-08 18:00:00
[1] => 91.191
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-08 18:40:00
[1] => 91.403
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-08 19:20:00
[1] => 91.071
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-08 19:55:00
[1] => 91.497
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-08 20:20:00
[1] => 91.246
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-08 21:25:00
[1] => 92.044
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-08 22:05:00
[1] => 91.427
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-08 23:00:00
[1] => 91.201
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.90282908174352
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.013157750463263
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 19
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.24780430039146
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
89.174
180
0.5987
0.5368
0.28
0.2026
0.3433
0.8416
0.5455
0.4509
0.3566
0.0429
0.5591
0.6824
0.168
0.1045
1
0.9986
2.0752
0.4
0.6
-1
32
1
0.5949
0.3867
2.9446
0.7
0.8416
1.8385
2.0752
0.674
0.3771
0.02
-0.2536
0.392
0.5018
0.8999
0.6824
-4.1358
8.8846
1
0
1
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (3)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19:03 | 91.21300000 | 0% |
| 2 | 19:08 | 91.25000000 | +0.041% |
| 3 | 19:19 | 91.21700000 | +0.004% |
Market Structure Score: 2
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-08 16:50:00 | 91.225 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-08 17:15:00 | 91.578 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 18:00:00 | 91.191 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-08 18:40:00 | 91.403 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 19:20:00 | 91.071 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-08 19:55:00 | 91.497 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 20:20:00 | 91.246 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-08 21:25:00 | 92.044 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 22:05:00 | 91.427 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-08 23:00:00 | 91.201 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-08 06:45:00 | 90.695 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 07:30:00 | 89.972 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-08 09:30:00 | 89.977 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-08 10:15:00 | 90.472 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 11:15:00 | 90.103 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-08 14:30:00 | 91.661 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 16:00:00 | 91.645 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 19:15:00 | 91.071 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-08 21:15:00 | 92.044 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 23:00:00 | 91.201 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 10:00:00 | 87.439 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-06 15:00:00 | 89.465 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 01:00:00 | 91.182 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 09:00:00 | 91.176 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 14:00:00 | 88.894 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 20:00:00 | 90.662 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 03:00:00 | 89.174 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-08 06:00:00 | 90.695 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 14:00:00 | 91.661 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 21:00:00 | 92.044 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 91.213 | 91.0491 | 91.5407 | 2 | 125.78 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 91.0491 - 91.213 = -0.1639
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 91.213 - 91.5407 = -0.32770000000001
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.32770000000001 / -0.1639 = 1.9994
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4453.1031 | 100 | 48.8209 | 45.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.1639 = -48.81
Taille de position USD = -48.81 x 91.213 = -4452.11
Donc, tu peux acheter -48.81 avec un stoploss a 91.0491
Avec un position size USD de -4452.11$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -48.81 x -0.1639 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -48.81 x -0.32770000000001 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.36 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.18 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.18 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.4133 % | 229.99 % | 7 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 91.213 | 91.0491 | 91.5407 | 2 | 125.78 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 91.0491 - 91.213 = -0.1639
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 91.213 - 91.5407 = -0.32770000000001
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.32770000000001 / -0.1639 = 1.9994
Array
(
)
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 91.5407
[entry_price] => 91.213
[stop_loss] => 91.03271
[rr_ratio] => 1.82
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2026-08-09 00:50:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 91.5407
[entry_price] => 91.213
[stop_loss] => 91.01632
[rr_ratio] => 1.67
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2026-08-09 00:50:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 91.5407
[entry_price] => 91.213
[stop_loss] => 90.99993
[rr_ratio] => 1.54
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2026-08-09 00:50:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 91.5407
[entry_price] => 91.213
[stop_loss] => 90.96715
[rr_ratio] => 1.33
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2026-08-09 00:50:00+00
[result] => loss
)
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.355% | 2.0R | -0.087% | 0.5R | 4.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.355% | 2.0R | -0.413% | 2.3R | 0.9× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.355% | 2.0R | -0.601% | 3.3R | 0.6× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.624% | 3.5R | -0.899% | 5.0R | 0.7× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.718% | 4.0R | -0.899% | 5.0R | 0.8× | 144 |
computed 2 weeks ago
Aucun commentaire.