Long Trade on ICP (CatchTheWave)
With 1055.71 ICP at 2.172$ per unit. Take profit: 2.1869 (0.7 %) & Stop Loss: 2.1641 (0.35 %)
Long Trade on ICP (CatchTheWave)
With 1055.71 ICP at 2.172$ per unit. Take profit: 2.1869 (0.7 %) & Stop Loss: 2.1641 (0.35 %)
Position
Entry 2.1717$
Qty 1055.7112 ICP
Size 2292.688$ (margin 100$) (leverage 23)
Risk Setup
TP 2.1869 (+0.7%)
TP $ 16.05$
SL 2.1641 (-0.35%)
SL $ 8.02$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.8828
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | near | -0.26×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 7.14×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (+1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 08/08 22:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.112646 15m : 0.123656 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : range_medium 5m_regime : bear_low_confirmed |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 08/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2) 08/08 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 08/08 22:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6026 | r1h: -0.851% · r4h: -0.427% · r1d: 4.40% · r3d: 4.90% · ema21_slope: 0.2711% · dist_ema21: 1.234% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5579 | rs_1h: -0.717% · rs_4h: -0.230% · rs_1d: 4.44% · rs_3d: 4.44% · beta_24h: 3.122 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1758 | rvol_20: 0.06× · zscore_50: -0.363 · trend: -53.97% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.8971 | ADX: 47.7 (trend) · Chop: 2.8 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.320% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.074% | 0.2R | -0.599% | 1.7R | 0.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.124% | 0.4R | -0.599% | 1.7R | 0.2× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.027% | 2.9R | -0.599% | 1.7R | 1.7× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.027% | 2.9R | -0.599% | 1.7R | 1.7× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.533% | 4.4R | -0.599% | 1.7R | 2.6× | 144 |
computed 2 weeks ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | normal | bear_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 34% | mid | — | — | 0.39 | bear_high | -2.92% | +0.02 | 08/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | balanced | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
57%
|
noisy_chop 42% | late | — | near -0.3ATR | 0.66 | bull_medium | +0.93% | +0.39 | 08/08 20:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 43% | late | — | — | 0.55 | range_low | +0.22% | +0.43 | 08/08 22:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bull_medium |
57%
|
noisy_chop 44% | mid | — | — | — | range_low | -0.28% | +0.01 | 08/08 22:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | 8b | — | 2.337×ATR | p0 | +0.831×ATR | p74 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 2b | — | 5.144×ATR | p91 | +0.944×ATR | p86 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 9b | — | 7.644×ATR | p98 | -0.151×ATR | p19 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 7b | — | 3.059×ATR | p71 | -0.915×ATR | p74 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
64926.5
-0.002657
64754
0.112646
64950.1
-0.00303494
64753
0.123656
64681.5
0.00113496
64755
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2.3937
190
0.7516
0.7705
0.3142
0.2642
0.355
1
0.2024
0.6149
0.6856
0.88
0.7959
0.3608
0.117
0.0908
1
0.4556
1.5851
0.45
0.55
1
9
1
0.4715
0.84
10.24
0.55
17.1322
33.5797
1.5851
0
0.2549
0.8
2.7253
0.6243
0.4894
0.8639
0.3608
-6.9741
3.936
1
0
0
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (3)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 22:51 | 2.17170000 | 0% |
| 2 | 22:57 | 2.17150000 | -0.009% |
| 3 | 23:04 | 2.16650000 | -0.239% |
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-08 22:15:00 | 2.2172 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 22:45:00 | 2.1908 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-08 23:00:00 | 2.2013 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 23:15:00 | 2.1895 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 00:05:00 | 2.2112 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 00:25:00 | 2.1942 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 00:55:00 | 2.2153 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 01:35:00 | 2.1815 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 01:55:00 | 2.1947 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 02:45:00 | 2.1673 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-08 08:15:00 | 2.1 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 10:15:00 | 2.113 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 11:15:00 | 2.0956 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-08 13:45:00 | 2.0996 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-08 17:30:00 | 2.3937 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 21:00:00 | 2.1725 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-08 22:15:00 | 2.2172 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 23:15:00 | 2.1895 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 00:45:00 | 2.2153 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 02:45:00 | 2.1673 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 20:00:00 | 2.1025 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 02:00:00 | 2.0827 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-06 08:00:00 | 2.1026 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 11:00:00 | 2.0704 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-06 15:00:00 | 2.1002 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 04:00:00 | 2.0608 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 15:00:00 | 2.1022 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 22:00:00 | 2.1026 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 05:00:00 | 2.0872 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-08 17:00:00 | 2.3937 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.1717 | 2.1641 | 2.1869 | 2 | 2.4469 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 2.1641 - 2.1717 = -0.0076000000000001
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 2.1717 - 2.1869 = -0.0152
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0152 / -0.0076000000000001 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2292.688 | 100 | 1055.7112 | 23.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0076000000000001 = -1052.63
Taille de position USD = -1052.63 x 2.1717 = -2286
Donc, tu peux acheter -1052.63 avec un stoploss a 2.1641
Avec un position size USD de -2286$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -1052.63 x -0.0076000000000001 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -1052.63 x -0.0152 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.7 % | 16.05 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.35 % | 8.02 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8.02 $ | -0.35 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.548 % | 156.57 % | 1 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.1717 | 2.1641 | 2.1869 | 2 | 2.4469 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 2.1641 - 2.1717 = -0.0076000000000001
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 2.1717 - 2.1869 = -0.0152
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0152 / -0.0076000000000001 = 2
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.074% | 0.2R | -0.599% | 1.7R | 0.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.124% | 0.4R | -0.599% | 1.7R | 0.2× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.027% | 2.9R | -0.599% | 1.7R | 1.7× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.027% | 2.9R | -0.599% | 1.7R | 1.7× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.533% | 4.4R | -0.599% | 1.7R | 2.6× | 144 |
computed 2 weeks ago
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