Long Trade on LTC (CatchTheWave)
With 171.58 LTC at 45.895$ per unit. Take profit: 45.9883 (0.2 %) & Stop Loss: 45.8484 (0.1 %)
Long Trade on LTC (CatchTheWave)
With 171.58 LTC at 45.895$ per unit. Take profit: 45.9883 (0.2 %) & Stop Loss: 45.8484 (0.1 %)
Position
Entry 45.895$
Qty 171.5775 LTC
Size 7874.5511$ (margin 100$) (leverage 79)
Risk Setup
TP 45.9883 (+0.2%)
TP $ 16.01$
SL 45.8484 (-0.1%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.6264
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.06×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 2.56×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 9.76×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (+1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 08/08 22:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.423117 15m : 0.381264 |
1H_regime : bull_low 15m_regime : range_low 5m_regime : range_low |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 08/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 08/08 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_low (+1) 08/08 22:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5394 | r1h: -0.061% · r4h: 0.050% · r1d: 1.24% · r3d: 1.87% · ema21_slope: 0.0534% · dist_ema21: 0.511% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5360 | rs_1h: 0.073% · rs_4h: 0.247% · rs_1d: 1.28% · rs_3d: 1.42% · beta_24h: 0.669 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1868 | rvol_20: 0.49× · zscore_50: -0.239 · trend: -47.94% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6673 | ADX: 24.1 (weak) · Chop: 42.3 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.301% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.259% | 2.6R | -0.081% | 0.8R | 3.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.296% | 2.9R | -0.081% | 0.8R | 3.7× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.418% | 4.1R | -0.081% | 0.8R | 5.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.926% | 9.1R | -0.081% | 0.8R | 11.5× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.166% | 11.5R | -0.081% | 0.8R | 14.5× | 144 |
computed 2 weeks ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 35% | early | — | — | 0.75 | bear_high | -2.92% | -0.23 | 08/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | strong | fading | compression | bull_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 41% | late | — | — | 0.66 | bull_medium | +0.93% | +0.17 | 08/08 20:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | fading | compression | bull_low |
51%
|
noisy_chop 43% | early | — | near -0.1ATR | 0.58 | range_low | +0.22% | +0.12 | 08/08 22:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion | range_low |
43%
|
noisy_chop 45% | mid | near 0.3ATR | — | — | range_low | -0.28% | +0.01 | 08/08 22:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 14b | — | 1.857×ATR | p0 | +0.489×ATR | p54 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 34b | — | 5.552×ATR | p89 | +0.694×ATR | p67 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early | 3b | — | 0.298×ATR | p0 | -0.221×ATR | p26 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 6b | — | 3.124×ATR | p57 | -0.815×ATR | p69 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
64926.8
-0.00237015
64773
0.423117
64950.1
-0.00303494
64753
0.381264
64681.5
0.00113496
64755
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[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 14
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45.905
196
0.8108
0.6025
0.4628
0.2166
0.6642
0.1549
0.6083
0.5168
0.8138
0.1901
0.6141
0.9054
0.1599
0.1198
1
0.6686
2.1396
0.85
0.15
1
6
1
0.5668
0.4277
9.1888
0.6
0.1549
1.4233
2.1396
0.9188
0.2141
0.16
-0.1588
0.4115
0.6115
0.9337
0.9054
-1.5426
14.7711
1
0
1
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (5)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 22:54 | 45.89500000 | 0% |
| 2 | 23:01 | 45.90600000 | +0.024% |
| 3 | 23:06 | 45.91400000 | +0.041% |
| 4 | 23:12 | 45.88600000 | -0.02% |
| 5 | 23:18 | 45.88900000 | -0.013% |
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-08 20:35:00 | 46.115 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 21:15:00 | 45.998 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-08 22:00:00 | 46.071 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 23:30:00 | 45.905 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 00:25:00 | 45.976 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 01:05:00 | 46.144 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 01:25:00 | 46.009 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 01:45:00 | 46.106 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 02:15:00 | 45.94 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 02:50:00 | 45.895 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-08 10:30:00 | 45.482 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-08 11:00:00 | 45.639 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 12:00:00 | 45.479 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-08 16:00:00 | 45.877 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 19:30:00 | 45.822 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-08 20:30:00 | 46.115 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 22:00:00 | 46.071 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 23:30:00 | 45.905 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 01:00:00 | 46.144 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 02:45:00 | 45.901 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 11:00:00 | 44.782 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-06 17:00:00 | 45.826 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 02:00:00 | 45.695 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 04:00:00 | 45.312 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 16:00:00 | 46.051 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 19:00:00 | 44.759 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-08 03:00:00 | 45.627 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 06:00:00 | 45.459 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-08 12:00:00 | 45.479 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 01:00:00 | 46.144 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 45.895 | 45.8484 | 45.9883 | 2 | 52.589 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 45.8484 - 45.895 = -0.046600000000005
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 45.895 - 45.9883 = -0.093299999999999
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.093299999999999 / -0.046600000000005 = 2.0021
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7874.5511 | 100 | 171.5775 | 79.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.046600000000005 = -171.67
Taille de position USD = -171.67 x 45.895 = -7878.79
Donc, tu peux acheter -171.67 avec un stoploss a 45.8484
Avec un position size USD de -7878.79$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -171.67 x -0.046600000000005 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -171.67 x -0.093299999999999 = 16.02
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.02$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.2 % | 16.01 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.1 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16.01 $ | 0.20 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.0806 % | 79.41 % | 4 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 45.895 | 45.8484 | 45.9883 | 2 | 52.589 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 45.8484 - 45.895 = -0.046600000000005
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 45.895 - 45.9883 = -0.093299999999999
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.093299999999999 / -0.046600000000005 = 2.0021
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[closed_at] => 2026-08-09 07:50:00+00
[result] => win
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[closed_at] => 2026-08-09 07:55:00+00
[result] => win
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[result] => win
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[result] => win
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Array
(
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.259% | 2.6R | -0.081% | 0.8R | 3.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.296% | 2.9R | -0.081% | 0.8R | 3.7× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.418% | 4.1R | -0.081% | 0.8R | 5.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.926% | 9.1R | -0.081% | 0.8R | 11.5× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.166% | 11.5R | -0.081% | 0.8R | 14.5× | 144 |
computed 2 weeks ago
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