Long Trade on ACE (CatchTheWave)
With 1511.67 ACE at 0.129$ per unit. Take profit: 0.1401 (8.19 %) & Stop Loss: 0.1242 (4.09 %)
Long Trade on ACE (CatchTheWave)
With 1511.67 ACE at 0.129$ per unit. Take profit: 0.1401 (8.19 %) & Stop Loss: 0.1242 (4.09 %)
Position
Entry 0.1295$
Qty 1511.6672 ACE
Size 195.7609$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 0.1401 (+8.19%)
TP $ 16.02$
SL 0.1242 (-4.09%)
SL $ 8.01$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.7515
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | clear | 7.55×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (+1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 08/08 23:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : -0.015552 15m : 0.052961 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : bear_high_confirmed 5m_regime : bear_high_confirmed |
Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (+3) 08/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 08/08 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 08/08 22:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7500 | r1h: -11.423% · r4h: -9.673% · r1d: 24.86% · r3d: 88.09% · ema21_slope: 1.6490% · dist_ema21: -1.415% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5000 | rs_1h: -11.295% · rs_4h: -9.431% · rs_1d: 25.06% · rs_3d: 87.77% · beta_24h: 10.312 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2331 | rvol_20: 0.77× · zscore_50: -0.541 · trend: -30.68% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.8725 | ADX: 47.2 (trend) · Chop: 40.8 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 8.755% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +3.166% | 0.8R | -0.386% | 0.1R | 8.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +3.166% | 0.8R | -2.857% | 0.7R | 1.1× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +3.166% | 0.8R | -3.861% | 0.9R | 0.8× | 48 |
| 8h | +4.865% | 1.2R | -7.876% | 1.9R | 0.6× | 96 |
| 12h | +4.865% | 1.2R | -7.876% | 1.9R | 0.6× | 144 |
computed 2 weeks ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | fading | expansion | bull_high_confirmed |
66%
|
noisy_chop 43% | late | — | — | 0.31 | bear_high | -2.92% | +0.99 | 08/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 48% | late | — | — | 0.04 | bull_medium | +0.93% | +1.00 | 08/08 20:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 41% | early | — | — | -0.01 | range_low | +0.22% | +0.98 | 08/08 22:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | expansion_after_compression | bull_high |
53%
|
noisy_chop 38% | late | near 0.1ATR | — | — | range_low | -0.28% | -0.67 | 08/08 22:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | late | 10b | — | 4.365×ATR | p56 | +2.251×ATR | p99 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 5b | — | 3.482×ATR | p37 | +1.126×ATR | p85 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 1b | — | 2.067×ATR | p31 | -0.655×ATR | p55 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 3b | — | 3.317×ATR | p57 | -1.097×ATR | p86 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
64922.6
-0.00202781
64791
-0.015552
64951.8
-0.00247635
64791
0.052961
64681.5
0.00113496
64755
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0.6915
0.0753
0.0696
0.6667
-0.1888
0.7811
0.65
0.35
1
9
1
0.5519
0.2428
4.409
0.55
0.7578
1.7974
0.7811
0.8
0.3031
0.72
0.894
0.5947
0.5068
0.8613
0.6915
-2.3208
5.2026
1
0
1
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 23:03 | 0.12950000 | 0% |
| 2 | 23:08 | 0.12990000 | +0.309% |
Market Structure Score: 0
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-08 21:55:00 | 0.1458 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-08 22:20:00 | 0.1532 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 22:50:00 | 0.1434 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-08 23:20:00 | 0.1478 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 23:50:00 | 0.1423 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 00:15:00 | 0.1506 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 00:40:00 | 0.141 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 01:10:00 | 0.1386 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 01:50:00 | 0.1566 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 02:55:00 | 0.1274 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-08 07:15:00 | 0.1011 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-08 08:45:00 | 0.1023 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-08 10:00:00 | 0.1062 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 12:00:00 | 0.1263 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 17:00:00 | 0.1628 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 18:00:00 | 0.1372 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-08 19:45:00 | 0.1541 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 01:00:00 | 0.1386 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 01:45:00 | 0.1566 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 02:45:00 | 0.1274 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 22:00:00 | 0.0728 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 16:00:00 | 0.1364 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 05:00:00 | 0.1508 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 15:00:00 | 0.1063 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-08 01:00:00 | 0.1045 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-08 05:00:00 | 0.1174 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 07:00:00 | 0.1011 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-08 17:00:00 | 0.1628 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 01:00:00 | 0.1566 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 02:00:00 | 0.1322 | ↓ Low |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.1295 | 0.1242 | 0.1401 | 2 | 0.2115 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.1242 - 0.1295 = -0.0053
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.1295 - 0.1401 = -0.0106
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0106 / -0.0053 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 195.7609 | 100 | 1511.6672 | 2.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0053 = -1509.43
Taille de position USD = -1509.43 x 0.1295 = -195.47
Donc, tu peux acheter -1509.43 avec un stoploss a 0.1242
Avec un position size USD de -195.47$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -1509.43 x -0.0053 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -1509.43 x -0.0106 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 8.19 % | 16.02 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 4.09 % | 8.01 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8.01 $ | -4.09 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -6.1004 % | 149.06 % | 18 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.1295 | 0.1242 | 0.1401 | 2 | 0.2115 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.1242 - 0.1295 = -0.0053
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.1295 - 0.1401 = -0.0106
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0106 / -0.0053 = 2
Array
(
)
Array
(
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +3.166% | 0.8R | -0.386% | 0.1R | 8.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +3.166% | 0.8R | -2.857% | 0.7R | 1.1× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +3.166% | 0.8R | -3.861% | 0.9R | 0.8× | 48 |
| 8h | +4.865% | 1.2R | -7.876% | 1.9R | 0.6× | 96 |
| 12h | +4.865% | 1.2R | -7.876% | 1.9R | 0.6× | 144 |
computed 2 weeks ago
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