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Long Trade on PUMP

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09 Aug 2026 at 00:10:04 hyperliquid

Long Trade on PUMP (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 79176.56 PUMP at 0.00248$ per unit. Take profit: 0.002546 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 0.002383 (4.07 %)

PUMP LONG momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 09 Aug 2026 00:10 → 02:50 · 2 hours

Position

Entry 0.002484$

Qty 79176.5637 PUMP

Size 196.6746$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)

Risk Setup

TP 0.002546 (+2.5%)

TP $ 4.91$

SL 0.002383 (-4.07%)

SL $ 8$

RR 0.61

Status win PnL +2.50% / +4.91$ MAE -1.01% MFE +3.30% 0.8R expires 09 Aug 06:10

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 63201)
#2 / 37 OK
seuil : top 15
score du 09/08/2026 00:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.9290

Quality Score
0.676
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
97 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0 BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
21.4M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
09/08 00:02

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank
#2 / 37 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
97 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+7 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.07 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#2 / 37 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
97 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+7 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.07 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Supply Distance (ATR)
1h clear 1.08×ATR
4h near -0.73×ATR
1d clear 1.22×ATR
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↓ down early OK
4h ↑ up mid OK
1d ↑ up late BLOCKED
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : range_low

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 0

ml_regime : bear_high

Strategic (1D) : range_high (0)

Operational (4H) : bull_medium (+1)

Tactical (1H) : range_low (0)

09/08 00:00

Score : +1

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3)

08/08 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2)

08/08 20:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1)

08/08 23:00

Score : +6 / ±6

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1H
Score brut
0.6761
Score SMA
0.5504
Rank
#2 / 37
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9290
Rank Norm SMA
0.5921
Calculé le
09/08/2026 00:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.7189 r1h: -0.202% · r4h: 2.613% · r1d: 8.32% · r3d: 5.82% · ema21_slope: 0.2901% · dist_ema21: 3.502%
Force Relative 25% 0.7062 rs_1h: -0.165% · rs_4h: 2.863% · rs_1d: 8.67% · rs_3d: 5.41% · beta_24h: 0.051
Volume 20% 0.3481 rvol_20: 0.94× · zscore_50: 0.181 · trend: -1.07%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7617 ADX: 31.4 (trend) · Chop: 36.2 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 1.678% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -4.066% (0.0001)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +1.208% 0.3R -1.006% 0.3R 1.2× 12
2h +1.852% 0.5R -1.006% 0.3R 1.8× 24
4h +3.301% 0.8R -1.006% 0.3R 3.3× 48
6h ★ +3.301% 0.8R -1.006% 0.3R 3.3× 72
8h +3.704% 0.9R -1.006% 0.3R 3.7× 96
12h +10.628% 2.6R -1.006% 0.3R 10.6× 144

computed 2 weeks ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 3.27
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↔ neutral range range moderate fading expansion_after_compression bull_high
62%
noisy_chop 41% late — — 0.58 bear_high -2.92% +0.96 08/08 20:00
4h ↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate fading compression bull_high
62%
noisy_chop 37% mid — near -0.7ATR 0.45 bull_medium +0.90% +0.11 08/08 20:00
1h ↑ up range range moderate grind volatile_reversal bull_high
57%
noisy_chop 40% early — — 0.32 range_low +0.23% +0.63 08/08 23:00
15m ↑ up transition bullish_transition weak grind volatile_reversal bull_high
54%
noisy_chop 40% early — — — range_low -0.23% +0.26 08/08 23:30
5m —

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↑ up late 26b — 5.856×ATR p89 +0.714×ATR p71
4h ↑ up mid 7b — 2.552×ATR p32 +0.959×ATR p79
1h ↓ down early 1b — 1.108×ATR p0 +0.577×ATR p59
15m ↓ down early 4b — 1.251×ATR p0 +0.44×ATR p43

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - BUY

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.00238296
  2. tp_price: 0.0025461
  3. atr: 4.042E-5
  4. expires_at: 2026-08-09T10:10:04+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 2
  2. total: 37
  3. score: 0.7189
  4. delta_2h: 0.0393
  5. extension_atr: 2.02
  6. trend_phase:
  7. trend_direction:
  8. rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.929
  9. confidence: 0.972

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.002484 0.002383 0.002546 0.61 0.004994
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.002484
  • Stop Loss: 0.002383
  • Take Profit: 0.002546

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.002383 - 0.002484 = -0.000101

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.002484 - 0.002546 = -6.2E-5

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -6.2E-5 / -0.000101 = 0.6139

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
196.6746 100 79176.5637 2.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -0.000101

Taille de position = 8 / -0.000101 = -79207.92

Taille de position USD = -79207.92 x 0.002484 = -196.75

Donc, tu peux acheter -79207.92 avec un stoploss a 0.002383

Avec un position size USD de -196.75$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -79207.92 x -0.000101 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -79207.92 x -6.2E-5 = 4.91

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 4.91$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -79207.92
  • Taille de position USD -196.75
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 4.91
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 0.6139

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.5 % 4.91 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
4.07 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
4.91 $ 2.50
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-1.0064 % 24.75 % 11
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.002484 0.002383 0.002546 0.61 0.004994
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.002484
  • Stop Loss: 0.002383
  • Take Profit: 0.002546

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.002383 - 0.002484 = -0.000101

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.002484 - 0.002546 = -6.2E-5

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -6.2E-5 / -0.000101 = 0.6139

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
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Extra SL data

                              Array
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MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -4.066% (0.0001)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +1.208% 0.3R -1.006% 0.3R 1.2× 12
2h +1.852% 0.5R -1.006% 0.3R 1.8× 24
4h +3.301% 0.8R -1.006% 0.3R 3.3× 48
6h ★ +3.301% 0.8R -1.006% 0.3R 3.3× 72
8h +3.704% 0.9R -1.006% 0.3R 3.7× 96
12h +10.628% 2.6R -1.006% 0.3R 10.6× 144

computed 2 weeks ago

Commentaires

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