Long Trade on TAO (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 1.4 TAO at 207.64$ per unit. Take profit: 212.831 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 201.942 (2.74 %)
09 Aug 2026 at 00:10:04
hyperliquid
TAO
LONG
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
09 Aug 2026 00:10
→ 06:05
· 5 hours
Position
Entry 207.64$
Qty 1.404 TAO
Size 291.5254$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)
Risk Setup
TP 212.831 (+2.5%)
TP $ 7.29$
SL 201.942 (-2.74%)
SL $ 8$
RR 0.91
Status
loss
PnL
-0.99%
/ -2.89$
MAE -1.43%
MFE +1.32%
0.5R
expires
09 Aug 06:10
Exit
time_expired
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 63194)
#1 / 37
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 09/08/2026 00:00
score du 09/08/2026 00:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.9072
Quality Score
0.715
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
94 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0
BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
4.5M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
09/08 00:01
09/08 00:01
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#1 / 37
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
94 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
0
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+1
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.74 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#1 / 37
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
94 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+1
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.74 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | clear | 0.75×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 5.82×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (+1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 09/08 00:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 08/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2) 08/08 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1) 08/08 23:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Score brut
0.7150
Score SMA
0.5910
Rank
#1
/ 37
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9072
Rank Norm SMA
0.7845
Calculé le
09/08/2026 00:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6916 | r1h: 0.811% · r4h: 1.839% · r1d: 5.80% · r3d: 6.21% · ema21_slope: 0.2119% · dist_ema21: 3.455% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.7041 | rs_1h: 0.848% · rs_4h: 2.088% · rs_1d: 6.15% · rs_3d: 5.80% · beta_24h: 5.061 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.4771 | rvol_20: 1.10× · zscore_50: 0.458 · trend: 62.48% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.9069 | ADX: 48.8 (trend) · Chop: 17.0 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.131% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -2.744%
(5.6980)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.320% | 0.5R | -0.881% | 0.3R | 1.5× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.320% | 0.5R | -1.156% | 0.4R | 1.1× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.320% | 0.5R | -1.426% | 0.5R | 0.9× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +1.320% | 0.5R | -1.426% | 0.5R | 0.9× | 72 |
| 8h | +1.320% | 0.5R | -2.370% | 0.9R | 0.6× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.459% | 0.5R | -2.370% | 0.9R | 0.6× | 144 |
computed 2 weeks ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 1.33
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 35% | mid | near -0.7ATR | — | 0.60 | bear_high | -2.92% | +0.55 | 08/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | fading | expansion | bull_high_confirmed |
61%
|
noisy_chop 40% | late | — | — | 0.69 | bull_medium | +0.90% | +0.38 | 08/08 20:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
58%
|
noisy_chop 44% | late | — | — | 0.58 | range_low | +0.23% | +0.51 | 08/08 23:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | volatile_reversal | bull_medium |
59%
|
noisy_chop 46% | early | — | — | — | range_low | -0.23% | +0.37 | 08/08 23:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | 12b | — | 2.68×ATR | p7 | +1.002×ATR | p79 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 11b | — | 4.178×ATR | p79 | +1.726×ATR | p99 |
| 1h | ↑ up | late | 1b | — | 1.367×ATR | p4 | +1.467×ATR | p94 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 4b | — | 1.499×ATR | p9 | +0.582×ATR | p51 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - BUY
Indicators:
- stop_price: 201.94197096
- tp_price: 212.831
- atr: 2.27921162
- expires_at: 2026-08-09T10:10:04+00:00
Details
- rank: 3
- total: 37
- score: 0.6916
- delta_2h: 0.0237
- extension_atr: 2.65
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.9072
- confidence: 0.944
Signal Details
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 207.64 | 201.942 | 212.831 | 0.91 | 238.95 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 207.64
- Stop Loss: 201.942
- Take Profit: 212.831
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 201.942 - 207.64 = -5.698
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 207.64 - 212.831 = -5.191
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -5.191 / -5.698 = 0.911
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 291.5254 | 100 | 1.404 | 3.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -5.698
Taille de position = 8 / -5.698 = -1.4
Taille de position USD = -1.4 x 207.64 = -290.7
Donc, tu peux acheter -1.4 avec un stoploss a 201.942
Avec un position size USD de -290.7$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -1.4 x -5.698 = 7.98
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 7.98$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -1.4 x -5.191 = 7.27
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 7.27$
Résumé
- Taille de position -1.4
- Taille de position USD -290.7
- Perte potentielle 7.98
- Gain potentiel 7.27
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.911
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.5 % | 7.29 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.74 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -2.89 $ | -0.99 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.4255 % | 51.95 % | 3 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 207.64 | 201.942 | 212.831 | 0.91 | 238.95 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 207.64
- Stop Loss: 201.942
- Take Profit: 212.831
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 201.942 - 207.64 = -5.698
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 207.64 - 212.831 = -5.191
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -5.191 / -5.698 = 0.911
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -2.744%
(5.6980)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.320% | 0.5R | -0.881% | 0.3R | 1.5× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.320% | 0.5R | -1.156% | 0.4R | 1.1× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.320% | 0.5R | -1.426% | 0.5R | 0.9× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +1.320% | 0.5R | -1.426% | 0.5R | 0.9× | 72 |
| 8h | +1.320% | 0.5R | -2.370% | 0.9R | 0.6× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.459% | 0.5R | -2.370% | 0.9R | 0.6× | 144 |
computed 2 weeks ago
Commentaires
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