Long Trade on PUMP (CatchTheWave)
With 406504.07 PUMP at 0.00247$ per unit. Take profit: 0.00251 (1.58 %) & Stop Loss: 0.002451 (0.81 %)
Long Trade on PUMP (CatchTheWave)
With 406504.07 PUMP at 0.00247$ per unit. Take profit: 0.00251 (1.58 %) & Stop Loss: 0.002451 (0.81 %)
Position
Entry 0.002471$
Qty 406504.065 PUMP
Size 1004.4715$ (margin 100$) (leverage 10)
Risk Setup
TP 0.00251 (+1.58%)
TP $ 15.85$
SL 0.002451 (-0.81%)
SL $ 8.13$
RR 1.95
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.9516
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | 0.02×ATR |
| 4h | near | -1.42×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 0.89×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (+1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 09/08 04:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.285085 15m : 0.249286 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : bull_high 5m_regime : bear_medium |
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 08/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 09/08 04:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 09/08 04:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6646 | r1h: -1.846% · r4h: 0.563% · r1d: 9.37% · r3d: 6.25% · ema21_slope: 0.3367% · dist_ema21: 2.893% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6051 | rs_1h: -1.826% · rs_4h: 0.486% · rs_1d: 9.55% · rs_3d: 6.21% · beta_24h: 1.187 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.4069 | rvol_20: 0.94× · zscore_50: 0.392 · trend: 33.35% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7785 | ADX: 35.9 (trend) · Chop: 40.7 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.834% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +2.428% | 3.0R | -0.121% | 0.2R | 20.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +3.076% | 3.8R | -0.121% | 0.2R | 25.3× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +5.302% | 6.6R | -0.121% | 0.2R | 43.7× | 48 |
| 8h | +11.210% | 13.9R | -0.121% | 0.2R | 92.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +11.210% | 13.9R | -0.121% | 0.2R | 92.3× | 144 |
computed 1 week ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | expansion_after_compression | bull_high |
62%
|
noisy_chop 41% | late | — | — | 0.58 | bear_high | -3.14% | +0.97 | 08/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | fading | compression | bull_high |
66%
|
noisy_chop 39% | mid | — | near -1.4ATR | 0.45 | bull_medium | +1.01% | +0.55 | 09/08 04:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | fading | expansion | bull_high |
69%
|
noisy_chop 43% | early | near 0.0ATR | near 0.0ATR | 0.32 | range_low | +0.40% | +0.70 | 09/08 04:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | normal | bull_high |
65%
|
noisy_chop 42% | mid | near -0.8ATR | — | — | range_low | -0.04% | +0.12 | 09/08 04:15 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | late | 26b | — | 5.978×ATR | p89 | +0.906×ATR | p80 |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | 9b | — | 3.32×ATR | p55 | +1.008×ATR | p79 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 2b | — | 1.53×ATR | p0 | +0.301×ATR | p29 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 6b | — | 3.311×ATR | p66 | -0.739×ATR | p68 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
64830.9
0.000478556
64862
0.285085
64898.5
-0.000548055
64863
0.249286
64727.2
0.00209788
64863
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0
Signal Details
Market Structure Score: 3
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 01:25:00 | 0.00242 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 02:30:00 | 0.0025 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 03:10:00 | 0.002434 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 04:00:00 | 0.0025 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 04:20:00 | 0.002468 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 04:40:00 | 0.002514 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 05:05:00 | 0.002459 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 06:05:00 | 0.00253 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 06:50:00 | 0.002566 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 08:35:00 | 0.002467 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-08 18:45:00 | 0.002379 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-08 20:30:00 | 0.00242 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 22:00:00 | 0.002375 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-08 23:15:00 | 0.002458 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 00:15:00 | 0.002458 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 02:30:00 | 0.0025 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 04:30:00 | 0.002514 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 05:00:00 | 0.002459 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 06:45:00 | 0.002566 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 08:30:00 | 0.002473 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 03:00:00 | 0.002306 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-06 15:00:00 | 0.002282 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-06 20:00:00 | 0.002426 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 02:00:00 | 0.00242 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 09:00:00 | 0.00225 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 12:00:00 | 0.002362 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 20:00:00 | 0.002349 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 21:00:00 | 0.002234 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-08 12:00:00 | 0.002269 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 06:00:00 | 0.002566 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.002471 | 0.002451 | 0.00251 | 1.95 | 0.005405 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.002451 - 0.002471 = -2.0E-5
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.002471 - 0.00251 = -3.9E-5
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -3.9E-5 / -2.0E-5 = 1.95
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1004.4715 | 100 | 406504.065 | 10.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -2.0E-5 = -400000
Taille de position USD = -400000 x 0.002471 = -988.4
Donc, tu peux acheter -400000 avec un stoploss a 0.002451
Avec un position size USD de -988.4$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -400000 x -2.0E-5 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -400000 x -3.9E-5 = 15.6
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.6$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.58 % | 15.85 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.81 % | 8.13 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 15.85 $ | 1.58 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.1214 % | 15 % | 1 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.002471 | 0.002451 | 0.00251 | 1.95 | 0.005405 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.002451 - 0.002471 = -2.0E-5
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.002471 - 0.00251 = -3.9E-5
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -3.9E-5 / -2.0E-5 = 1.95
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +2.428% | 3.0R | -0.121% | 0.2R | 20.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +3.076% | 3.8R | -0.121% | 0.2R | 25.3× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +5.302% | 6.6R | -0.121% | 0.2R | 43.7× | 48 |
| 8h | +11.210% | 13.9R | -0.121% | 0.2R | 92.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +11.210% | 13.9R | -0.121% | 0.2R | 92.3× | 144 |
computed 1 week ago
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