Long Trade on AAVE (CatchTheWave)
With 40.64 AAVE at 91.269$ per unit. Take profit: 91.6627 (0.43 %) & Stop Loss: 91.0721 (0.22 %)
Long Trade on AAVE (CatchTheWave)
With 40.64 AAVE at 91.269$ per unit. Take profit: 91.6627 (0.43 %) & Stop Loss: 91.0721 (0.22 %)
Position
Entry 91.269$
Qty 40.6389 AAVE
Size 3709.0686$ (margin 100$) (leverage 37)
Risk Setup
TP 91.6627 (+0.43%)
TP $ 16$
SL 91.0721 (-0.22%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.5480
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | 0.40×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.73×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 0.66×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (+1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 09/08 04:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.374353 15m : 0.319772 |
1H_regime : bull_medium 15m_regime : range_low 5m_regime : range_low |
Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) 08/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (-2) 09/08 04:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_medium (+1) 09/08 04:00 Score : -1 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5731 | r1h: 0.081% · r4h: 1.149% · r1d: 1.56% · r3d: 3.79% · ema21_slope: 0.0339% · dist_ema21: 0.766% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5795 | rs_1h: 0.101% · rs_4h: 1.072% · rs_1d: 1.74% · rs_3d: 3.75% · beta_24h: 1.964 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2867 | rvol_20: 1.04× · zscore_50: -0.210 · trend: -39.31% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5278 | ADX: 18.0 (weak) · Chop: 53.3 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.512% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.035% | 0.2R | -0.351% | 1.6R | 0.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.215% | 1.0R | -0.351% | 1.6R | 0.6× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.215% | 1.0R | -0.497% | 2.3R | 0.4× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.691% | 3.2R | -0.497% | 2.3R | 1.4× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.691% | 3.2R | -0.497% | 2.3R | 1.4× | 144 |
computed 1 week ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | compression | range_high |
40%
|
noisy_chop 38% | early | near -1.0ATR | — | 0.71 | bear_high | -3.14% | +0.22 | 08/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 39% | mid | — | near -0.7ATR | 0.45 | bull_medium | +1.01% | +0.27 | 09/08 04:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bull_medium |
62%
|
noisy_chop 43% | mid | — | near 0.4ATR | 0.58 | range_low | +0.40% | +0.13 | 09/08 04:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | balanced | normal | range_low |
43%
|
noisy_chop 44% | early | — | — | 0.54 | range_low | -0.04% | +0.10 | 09/08 04:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 13b | — | 2.662×ATR | p5 | -0.063×ATR | p7 |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | 18b | — | 3.566×ATR | p54 | +0.612×ATR | p58 |
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | 5b | — | 2.557×ATR | p59 | +0.635×ATR | p59 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 2b | — | 1.288×ATR | p3 | +0.178×ATR | p19 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
64829.1
-0.000604256
64790
0.374353
64898.5
-0.000548055
64863
0.319772
64727.2
0.00209788
64863
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90.393
194
0.6821
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0.2097
0.4933
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0.6001
0.2579
0.5717
0.8141
0.0946
0.0725
1
1.0409
2.0008
0.4
0.6
1
11
1
0.5805
0.5621
5.8015
0.5
0.5753
3.3376
2.0008
0.4452
0.3509
0.14
-0.0391
0.4431
0.4772
0.4738
0.8141
-2.1191
9.2802
1
0
1
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (5)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 04:43 | 91.26900000 | 0% |
| 2 | 05:07 | 91.18100000 | -0.096% |
| 3 | 05:13 | 91.13600000 | -0.146% |
| 4 | 05:19 | 91.13200000 | -0.15% |
| 5 | 05:25 | 91.06000000 | -0.229% |
Market Structure Score: 0
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 03:30:00 | 90.731 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 03:50:00 | 90.567 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 04:55:00 | 90.788 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 05:00:00 | 90.961 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 05:40:00 | 90.512 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 06:30:00 | 91.782 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 07:05:00 | 91.835 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 07:20:00 | 91.482 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 08:00:00 | 91.868 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 08:40:00 | 91.228 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-08 10:15:00 | 90.472 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 11:15:00 | 90.103 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-08 14:30:00 | 91.661 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 16:00:00 | 91.645 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 19:15:00 | 91.071 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-08 21:15:00 | 92.044 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 03:15:00 | 90.393 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 05:30:00 | 90.512 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 08:00:00 | 91.868 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 08:15:00 | 91.481 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-07 01:00:00 | 91.182 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 09:00:00 | 91.176 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 14:00:00 | 88.894 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 20:00:00 | 90.662 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 03:00:00 | 89.174 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-08 06:00:00 | 90.695 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 14:00:00 | 91.661 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 21:00:00 | 92.044 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 03:00:00 | 90.393 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 08:00:00 | 91.868 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 91.269 | 91.0721 | 91.6627 | 2 | 132.77 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 91.0721 - 91.269 = -0.1969
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 91.269 - 91.6627 = -0.3937
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.3937 / -0.1969 = 1.9995
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3709.0686 | 100 | 40.6389 | 37.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.1969 = -40.63
Taille de position USD = -40.63 x 91.269 = -3708.26
Donc, tu peux acheter -40.63 avec un stoploss a 91.0721
Avec un position size USD de -3708.26$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -40.63 x -0.1969 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -40.63 x -0.3937 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.43 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.22 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.22 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.229 % | 106.17 % | 2 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 91.269 | 91.0721 | 91.6627 | 2 | 132.77 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 91.0721 - 91.269 = -0.1969
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 91.269 - 91.6627 = -0.3937
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.3937 / -0.1969 = 1.9995
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.035% | 0.2R | -0.351% | 1.6R | 0.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.215% | 1.0R | -0.351% | 1.6R | 0.6× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.215% | 1.0R | -0.497% | 2.3R | 0.4× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.691% | 3.2R | -0.497% | 2.3R | 1.4× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.691% | 3.2R | -0.497% | 2.3R | 1.4× | 144 |
computed 1 week ago
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