Long Trade on AAVE (CatchTheWave)
With 53.47 AAVE at 90.985$ per unit. Take profit: 91.2842 (0.33 %) & Stop Loss: 90.8354 (0.16 %)
Long Trade on AAVE (CatchTheWave)
With 53.47 AAVE at 90.985$ per unit. Take profit: 91.2842 (0.33 %) & Stop Loss: 90.8354 (0.16 %)
Position
Entry 90.985$
Qty 53.4744 AAVE
Size 4865.3662$ (margin 100$) (leverage 49)
Risk Setup
TP 91.2842 (+0.33%)
TP $ 16$
SL 90.8354 (-0.16%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.5697
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | 0.46×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.37×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 0.66×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (+1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 09/08 06:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.341558 15m : 0.355245 |
1H_regime : range_medium 15m_regime : range_low 5m_regime : range_low |
Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) 08/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (-2) 09/08 04:00 Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0) 09/08 06:00 Score : -2 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5238 | r1h: -0.032% · r4h: 0.178% · r1d: 1.14% · r3d: 3.39% · ema21_slope: 0.0216% · dist_ema21: 0.170% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5456 | rs_1h: -0.036% · rs_4h: 0.152% · rs_1d: 1.40% · rs_3d: 3.17% · beta_24h: 2.085 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2133 | rvol_20: 0.56× · zscore_50: -0.635 · trend: -15.33% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5232 | ADX: 17.1 (weak) · Chop: 53.0 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.522% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.258% | 1.6R | -0.187% | 1.1R | 1.4× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.258% | 1.6R | -0.187% | 1.1R | 1.4× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.886% | 5.4R | -0.187% | 1.1R | 4.7× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.006% | 6.1R | -0.187% | 1.1R | 5.4× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.459% | 8.9R | -0.343% | 2.1R | 4.3× | 144 |
computed 1 week ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | compression | range_high |
40%
|
noisy_chop 38% | early | near -1.0ATR | — | 0.71 | bear_high | -3.14% | +0.22 | 08/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 39% | early | — | near -0.4ATR | 0.45 | bull_medium | +1.00% | +0.23 | 09/08 04:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | normal | range_medium |
39%
|
noisy_chop 39% | early | near -0.1ATR | near 0.5ATR | 0.55 | range_low | +0.42% | +0.00 | 09/08 06:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | strong | balanced | expansion | range_low |
38%
|
noisy_chop 39% | mid | near -1.2ATR | — | — | range_low | +0.05% | +0.03 | 09/08 06:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 13b | — | 2.662×ATR | p5 | -0.063×ATR | p7 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 18b | — | 3.096×ATR | p35 | +0.288×ATR | p30 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 2b | — | 1.754×ATR | p16 | -0.39×ATR | p40 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 3b | — | 1.948×ATR | p21 | -0.896×ATR | p77 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
64821.7
0.00173186
64934
0.341558
64895.8
0.00069642
64941
0.355245
64708.2
0.00319467
64915
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91.868
197
0.6006
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0.3614
0.2103
0.485
0.8934
0.4442
0.482
0.6047
0.323
0.5371
0.7404
0.0799
0.0656
0.6667
-0.1005
0.726
0.4
0.6
1
13
1
0.5794
0.4834
5.8015
0.55
0.8934
3.2305
0.726
0.743
0.3338
0.32
-0.1035
0.4345
0.4445
0.5052
0.7404
-2.6666
7.6055
1
0
1
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 06:55 | 90.98500000 | 0% |
| 2 | 07:02 | 90.86800000 | -0.129% |
Market Structure Score: 0
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 04:55:00 | 90.788 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 05:00:00 | 90.961 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 05:40:00 | 90.512 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 06:30:00 | 91.782 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 07:05:00 | 91.835 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 07:20:00 | 91.482 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 08:00:00 | 91.868 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 09:25:00 | 90.949 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 09:50:00 | 91.465 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 10:50:00 | 90.979 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-08 10:15:00 | 90.472 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 11:15:00 | 90.103 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-08 14:30:00 | 91.661 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 16:00:00 | 91.645 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 19:15:00 | 91.071 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-08 21:15:00 | 92.044 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 03:15:00 | 90.393 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 05:30:00 | 90.512 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 08:00:00 | 91.868 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 09:15:00 | 90.949 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-07 01:00:00 | 91.182 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 09:00:00 | 91.176 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 14:00:00 | 88.894 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 20:00:00 | 90.662 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 03:00:00 | 89.174 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-08 06:00:00 | 90.695 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 14:00:00 | 91.661 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 21:00:00 | 92.044 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 03:00:00 | 90.393 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 08:00:00 | 91.868 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 90.985 | 90.8354 | 91.2842 | 2 | 124.97 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 90.8354 - 90.985 = -0.14959999999999
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 90.985 - 91.2842 = -0.2992
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.2992 / -0.14959999999999 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4865.3662 | 100 | 53.4744 | 49.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.14959999999999 = -53.48
Taille de position USD = -53.48 x 90.985 = -4865.88
Donc, tu peux acheter -53.48 avec un stoploss a 90.8354
Avec un position size USD de -4865.88$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -53.48 x -0.14959999999999 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -53.48 x -0.2992 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.33 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.16 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.16 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.1868 % | 113.63 % | 1 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 90.985 | 90.8354 | 91.2842 | 2 | 124.97 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 90.8354 - 90.985 = -0.14959999999999
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 90.985 - 91.2842 = -0.2992
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.2992 / -0.14959999999999 = 2
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.258% | 1.6R | -0.187% | 1.1R | 1.4× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.258% | 1.6R | -0.187% | 1.1R | 1.4× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.886% | 5.4R | -0.187% | 1.1R | 4.7× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.006% | 6.1R | -0.187% | 1.1R | 5.4× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.459% | 8.9R | -0.343% | 2.1R | 4.3× | 144 |
computed 1 week ago
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