Long Trade on XMR (CatchTheWave)
With 12.45 XMR at 380.71$ per unit. Take profit: 381.9952 (0.34 %) & Stop Loss: 380.0674 (0.17 %)
Long Trade on XMR (CatchTheWave)
With 12.45 XMR at 380.71$ per unit. Take profit: 381.9952 (0.34 %) & Stop Loss: 380.0674 (0.17 %)
Position
Entry 380.71$
Qty 12.4497 XMR
Size 4739.7087$ (margin 100$) (leverage 47)
Risk Setup
TP 381.9952 (+0.34%)
TP $ 16$
SL 380.0674 (-0.17%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.6327
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | 0.30×ATR |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | clear | 1.54×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (+1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 09/08 07:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.005534 15m : 0.00103 |
1H_regime : bull_medium 15m_regime : range_low 5m_regime : range_low |
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 08/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2) 09/08 04:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_medium (+1) 09/08 06:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5543 | r1h: -0.144% · r4h: 0.084% · r1d: 1.32% · r3d: 5.89% · ema21_slope: 0.0119% · dist_ema21: 0.060% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5515 | rs_1h: -0.238% · rs_4h: -0.060% · rs_1d: 1.43% · rs_3d: 5.39% · beta_24h: -0.203 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1942 | rvol_20: 0.17× · zscore_50: -0.811 · trend: -13.86% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4961 | ADX: 16.2 (weak) · Chop: 55.3 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.688% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.218% | 1.3R | -0.184% | 1.1R | 1.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.339% | 2.0R | -0.184% | 1.1R | 1.8× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +9.120% | 54.0R | -0.184% | 1.1R | 49.6× | 48 |
| 8h | +9.120% | 54.0R | -0.184% | 1.1R | 49.6× | 96 |
| 12h | +9.120% | 54.0R | -0.184% | 1.1R | 49.6× | 144 |
computed 1 week ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | range | range | strong | fading | compression | bull_high |
67%
|
noisy_chop 41% | late | — | — | 0.50 | bear_high | -3.14% | +0.85 | 08/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | expansion_after_compression | bull_high_confirmed |
67%
|
noisy_chop 43% | early | — | — | 0.37 | bull_medium | +1.00% | +0.41 | 09/08 04:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | balanced | normal | bull_medium |
59%
|
noisy_chop 33% | early | — | near 0.3ATR | 0.22 | range_low | +0.42% | -0.03 | 09/08 06:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | range_low |
35%
|
noisy_chop 35% | mid | near 0.2ATR | — | 0.08 | range_low | +0.05% | -0.01 | 09/08 06:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | late | 12b | — | 3.694×ATR | p21 | +0.943×ATR | p85 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | 4b | — | 0.765×ATR | p0 | +0.424×ATR | p45 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early | 4b | — | 0.988×ATR | p0 | +0.038×ATR | p3 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 2b | — | 2.157×ATR | p47 | -0.864×ATR | p68 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
64829.1
0.00180266
64946
0.005534
64899.2
0.000720594
64946
0.00103
64706.8
0.00355735
64937
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379.04
194
0.6511
0.5706
0.3997
0.2293
0.5392
0.5404
0.4724
0.7187
0.7085
0.2668
0.5399
0.8487
0.0142
0.0611
0.6667
-0.1443
1.1167
0.6
0.4
1
16
1
0.5413
0.4639
3.797
0.6
0.5404
1.6777
1.1167
0.7774
0.2549
0.32
-0.1878
0.4489
0.4835
0.4641
0.8487
-2.4714
13.8588
1
0
2
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 07:09 | 380.71000000 | 0% |
| 2 | 07:15 | 380.24000000 | -0.123% |
Market Structure Score: 0
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 06:55:00 | 381.41 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 07:40:00 | 381.39 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 07:50:00 | 380.21 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 08:15:00 | 382.29 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 08:50:00 | 382.48 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 09:05:00 | 382 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 09:30:00 | 382.49 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 09:50:00 | 381 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 10:15:00 | 382.98 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 11:05:00 | 380.7 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-08 14:00:00 | 385 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 16:15:00 | 386 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 16:45:00 | 383.16 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-08 19:45:00 | 386.13 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 22:15:00 | 374.72 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-08 22:45:00 | 379.86 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 03:45:00 | 384.12 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 06:30:00 | 379.04 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 10:15:00 | 382.98 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 11:00:00 | 380.7 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-07 00:00:00 | 370.97 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 03:00:00 | 366.96 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 07:00:00 | 371.99 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 16:00:00 | 367.91 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-08 01:00:00 | 381.54 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 10:00:00 | 375.22 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-08 19:00:00 | 386.13 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 22:00:00 | 374.72 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 03:00:00 | 384.12 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 10:00:00 | 382.98 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 380.71 | 380.0674 | 381.9952 | 2 | 432.45 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 380.0674 - 380.71 = -0.64259999999996
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 380.71 - 381.9952 = -1.2852
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -1.2852 / -0.64259999999996 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4739.7087 | 100 | 12.4497 | 47.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.64259999999996 = -12.45
Taille de position USD = -12.45 x 380.71 = -4739.84
Donc, tu peux acheter -12.45 avec un stoploss a 380.0674
Avec un position size USD de -4739.84$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -12.45 x -0.64259999999996 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -12.45 x -1.2852 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.34 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.17 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.17 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.1839 % | 108.95 % | 1 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 380.71 | 380.0674 | 381.9952 | 2 | 432.45 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 380.0674 - 380.71 = -0.64259999999996
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 380.71 - 381.9952 = -1.2852
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -1.2852 / -0.64259999999996 = 2
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.218% | 1.3R | -0.184% | 1.1R | 1.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.339% | 2.0R | -0.184% | 1.1R | 1.8× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +9.120% | 54.0R | -0.184% | 1.1R | 49.6× | 48 |
| 8h | +9.120% | 54.0R | -0.184% | 1.1R | 49.6× | 96 |
| 12h | +9.120% | 54.0R | -0.184% | 1.1R | 49.6× | 144 |
computed 1 week ago
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