Long Trade on ZEC (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 0.79 ZEC at 525.1$ per unit. Take profit: 538.2275 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 514.9535 (1.93 %)
Long Trade on ZEC (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 0.79 ZEC at 525.1$ per unit. Take profit: 538.2275 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 514.9535 (1.93 %)
Position
Entry 525.1$
Qty 0.7884 ZEC
Size 414.015$ (margin 100$) (leverage 4)
Risk Setup
TP 538.2275 (+2.5%)
TP $ 10.35$
SL 514.9535 (-1.93%)
SL $ 8$
RR 1.29
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.5667
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | clear | 2.77×ATR |
| 1d | clear | — |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (+1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 09/08 07:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 08/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 09/08 04:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1) 09/08 06:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6993 | r1h: 0.975% · r4h: 3.224% · r1d: 4.14% · r3d: 6.33% · ema21_slope: 0.0854% · dist_ema21: 2.779% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.7024 | rs_1h: 0.881% · rs_4h: 3.081% · rs_1d: 4.24% · rs_3d: 5.83% · beta_24h: 3.273 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.6598 | rvol_20: 2.18× · zscore_50: 1.107 · trend: 38.16% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6252 | ADX: 15.0 (weak) · Chop: 30.9 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.803% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.010% | 0.0R | -0.844% | 0.4R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.114% | 0.1R | -0.844% | 0.4R | 0.1× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.373% | 0.2R | -0.844% | 0.4R | 0.4× | 48 |
| 4.2h ★ | +0.373% | 0.2R | -0.844% | 0.4R | 0.4× | 49 |
| 8h | +0.373% | 0.2R | -2.152% | 1.1R | 0.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.373% | 0.2R | -2.449% | 1.3R | 0.2× | 144 |
computed 1 week ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | fading | compression | bull_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 36% | early | — | — | 0.48 | bear_high | -3.14% | -0.53 | 08/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | fading | normal | bull_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 42% | late | — | — | 0.65 | bull_medium | +1.00% | +0.26 | 09/08 04:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | expansion | bull_high_confirmed |
63%
|
noisy_chop 44% | late | — | — | 0.60 | range_low | +0.42% | +0.41 | 09/08 06:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | volatile_reversal | bull_medium_confirmed |
56%
|
noisy_chop 46% | late | — | — | — | range_low | +0.05% | +0.29 | 09/08 06:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 25b | — | 2.992×ATR | p0 | +0.355×ATR | p28 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 5b | — | 3.112×ATR | p40 | +1.628×ATR | p97 |
| 1h | ↑ up | late | 4b | — | 4.063×ATR | p78 | +2.445×ATR | p99 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 2b | — | 0.858×ATR | p0 | +1.674×ATR | p95 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Market Structure Score: 0
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 525.1 | 514.9535 | 538.2275 | 1.29 | 848.31 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 514.9535 - 525.1 = -10.1465
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 525.1 - 538.2275 = -13.1275
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -13.1275 / -10.1465 = 1.2938
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 414.015 | 100 | 0.7884 | 4.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -10.1465 = -0.79
Taille de position USD = -0.79 x 525.1 = -414.83
Donc, tu peux acheter -0.79 avec un stoploss a 514.9535
Avec un position size USD de -414.83$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -0.79 x -10.1465 = 8.02
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8.02$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -0.79 x -13.1275 = 10.37
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 10.37$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.5 % | 10.35 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.93 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -1.42 $ | -0.34 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.8436 % | 43.66 % | 8 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 525.1 | 514.9535 | 538.2275 | 1.29 | 848.31 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 514.9535 - 525.1 = -10.1465
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 525.1 - 538.2275 = -13.1275
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -13.1275 / -10.1465 = 1.2938
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.010% | 0.0R | -0.844% | 0.4R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.114% | 0.1R | -0.844% | 0.4R | 0.1× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.373% | 0.2R | -0.844% | 0.4R | 0.4× | 48 |
| 4.2h ★ | +0.373% | 0.2R | -0.844% | 0.4R | 0.4× | 49 |
| 8h | +0.373% | 0.2R | -2.152% | 1.1R | 0.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.373% | 0.2R | -2.449% | 1.3R | 0.2× | 144 |
computed 1 week ago
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