Long Trade on TAO (CatchTheWave)
With 10.14 TAO at 203.9$ per unit. Take profit: 205.4783 (0.77 %) & Stop Loss: 203.1108 (0.39 %)
Long Trade on TAO (CatchTheWave)
With 10.14 TAO at 203.9$ per unit. Take profit: 205.4783 (0.77 %) & Stop Loss: 203.1108 (0.39 %)
Position
Entry 203.9$
Qty 10.1372 TAO
Size 2066.98$ (margin 100$) (leverage 21)
Risk Setup
TP 205.4783 (+0.77%)
TP $ 16$
SL 203.1108 (-0.39%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.9446
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | clear | 0.70×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 5.79×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (+1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 09/08 07:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.185097 15m : 0.395859 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : range_medium 5m_regime : bear_low_confirmed |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 08/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2) 09/08 04:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 09/08 07:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6412 | r1h: -0.039% · r4h: 0.058% · r1d: 4.54% · r3d: 6.39% · ema21_slope: 0.2552% · dist_ema21: 1.134% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5997 | rs_1h: -0.133% · rs_4h: -0.085% · rs_1d: 4.64% · rs_3d: 5.88% · beta_24h: 2.698 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2717 | rvol_20: 0.57× · zscore_50: -0.082 · trend: -0.17% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.9643 | ADX: 55.7 (trend) · Chop: 35.6 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.062% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.918% | 5.0R | -0.348% | 0.9R | 5.5× | 12 |
| 2h | +2.447% | 6.3R | -0.348% | 0.9R | 7.0× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +3.320% | 8.6R | -0.348% | 0.9R | 9.5× | 48 |
| 8h | +3.320% | 8.6R | -0.348% | 0.9R | 9.5× | 96 |
| 12h | +3.320% | 8.6R | -0.348% | 0.9R | 9.5× | 144 |
computed 1 week ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 34% | mid | near -0.8ATR | — | 0.60 | bear_high | -3.14% | +0.52 | 08/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | expansion | bull_high_confirmed |
62%
|
noisy_chop 42% | mid | — | — | 0.68 | bull_medium | +1.11% | +0.38 | 09/08 04:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
53%
|
noisy_chop 37% | mid | — | — | 0.54 | range_low | +0.47% | +0.27 | 09/08 07:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | balanced | compression | bull_medium |
60%
|
noisy_chop 43% | mid | near -1.8ATR | — | — | range_low | +0.09% | -0.06 | 09/08 07:00 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | 12b | — | 2.468×ATR | p0 | +0.865×ATR | p72 |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | 13b | — | 4.141×ATR | p79 | +0.874×ATR | p83 |
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | 7b | — | 3.114×ATR | p64 | -0.535×ATR | p55 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 11b | — | 2.195×ATR | p29 | -0.693×ATR | p65 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
64835.3
0.00182938
64954
0.185097
64898.5
0.00085396
64954
0.395859
64707.1
0.0037997
64953
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210.38
192
0.6939
0.6645
0.3633
0.2044
0.4933
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0.5181
0.4971
0.7432
0.868
0.682
0.6551
0.101
0.104
0.6667
-0.0159
1.5151
0.6
0.4
1
11
1
0.5912
0.5655
6.3251
0.6
1.0069
2.6255
1.5151
0.7763
0.2999
0.78
0.8581
0.5465
0.5191
0.8437
0.6551
-2.9857
5.6711
1
0
1
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 07:20 | 203.90000000 | 0% |
| 2 | 07:26 | 203.44000000 | -0.226% |
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 06:30:00 | 207.2 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 07:10:00 | 204.68 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 08:20:00 | 207.21 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 08:40:00 | 205.46 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 09:00:00 | 206.78 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 09:30:00 | 205.03 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 09:50:00 | 206.34 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 10:00:00 | 205.28 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 10:20:00 | 206.29 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 11:15:00 | 202.72 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-08 18:45:00 | 200.29 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 19:00:00 | 197.22 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-08 21:15:00 | 200.31 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 23:00:00 | 198.74 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 00:30:00 | 210.34 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 02:30:00 | 204.51 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 04:15:00 | 210.38 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 07:00:00 | 204.68 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 08:15:00 | 207.21 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 11:15:00 | 202.72 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 19:00:00 | 194.08 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 20:00:00 | 191.34 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 05:00:00 | 190.2 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 11:00:00 | 194.87 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 17:00:00 | 190.86 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 21:00:00 | 195.41 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 06:00:00 | 197.92 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 13:00:00 | 195.87 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 04:00:00 | 210.38 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 11:00:00 | 202.72 | ↓ Low |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 203.9 | 203.1108 | 205.4783 | 2 | 225.03 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 203.1108 - 203.9 = -0.78919999999999
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 203.9 - 205.4783 = -1.5783
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -1.5783 / -0.78919999999999 = 1.9999
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2066.98 | 100 | 10.1372 | 21.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.78919999999999 = -10.14
Taille de position USD = -10.14 x 203.9 = -2067.55
Donc, tu peux acheter -10.14 avec un stoploss a 203.1108
Avec un position size USD de -2067.55$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -10.14 x -0.78919999999999 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -10.14 x -1.5783 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.77 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.39 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16 $ | 0.77 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.3482 % | 89.95 % | 1 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 203.9 | 203.1108 | 205.4783 | 2 | 225.03 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 203.1108 - 203.9 = -0.78919999999999
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 203.9 - 205.4783 = -1.5783
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -1.5783 / -0.78919999999999 = 1.9999
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Array
(
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.918% | 5.0R | -0.348% | 0.9R | 5.5× | 12 |
| 2h | +2.447% | 6.3R | -0.348% | 0.9R | 7.0× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +3.320% | 8.6R | -0.348% | 0.9R | 9.5× | 48 |
| 8h | +3.320% | 8.6R | -0.348% | 0.9R | 9.5× | 96 |
| 12h | +3.320% | 8.6R | -0.348% | 0.9R | 9.5× | 144 |
computed 1 week ago
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