Long Trade on ICP (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 92.24 ICP at 2.173$ per unit. Take profit: 2.3894 (9.98 %) & Stop Loss: 2.0859 (3.99 %)
09 Aug 2026 at 07:21:38
hyperliquid
ICP
LONG
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
09 Aug 2026 07:21
→ 19:00
· 11 hours
Position
Entry 2.1726$
Qty 92.2364 ICP
Size 200.3928$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 2.3894 (+9.98%)
TP $ 20$
SL 2.0859 (-3.99%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2.5
Status
win
PnL
+0.77%
/ +1.55$
MAE -0.00%
MFE +2.45%
0.6R
expires
09 Aug 19:21
Exit
time_expired
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 63477)
#12 / 39
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 09/08/2026 07:00
score du 09/08/2026 07:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.8242
Quality Score
0.532
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
65 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0
BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
2.6M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
09/08 07:16
09/08 07:16
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#12 / 39
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
65 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
0
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+1
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.99 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#12 / 39
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
65 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+1
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.99 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | near | 0.07×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 7.27×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (+1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 09/08 07:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 08/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2) 09/08 04:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 09/08 07:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Score brut
0.5317
Score SMA
0.6045
Rank
#12
/ 39
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8242
Rank Norm SMA
0.8346
Calculé le
09/08/2026 07:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5614 | r1h: -0.512% · r4h: -0.576% · r1d: 3.28% · r3d: 4.77% · ema21_slope: 0.0773% · dist_ema21: 0.233% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5376 | rs_1h: -0.606% · rs_4h: -0.719% · rs_1d: 3.38% · rs_3d: 4.26% · beta_24h: 4.327 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1727 | rvol_20: 0.04× · zscore_50: -0.410 · trend: -66.19% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6290 | ADX: 47.1 (trend) · Chop: 70.7 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.076% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -3.991%
(0.0867)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.557% | 0.1R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +0.971% | 0.2R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 24 |
| 4h | +1.611% | 0.4R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 48 |
| 8h | +2.449% | 0.6R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +2.449% | 0.6R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 144 |
| 24h | +3.061% | 0.8R | -0.382% | 0.1R | 8.0× | 288 |
computed 1 week ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 0.24
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | normal | bear_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 35% | early | near 0.4ATR | — | 0.39 | bear_high | -3.14% | -0.11 | 08/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | grind | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
56%
|
noisy_chop 40% | late | — | near 0.1ATR | 0.66 | bull_medium | +1.11% | +0.27 | 09/08 04:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 37% | late | — | — | 0.50 | range_low | +0.47% | +0.19 | 09/08 07:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | compression | range_low |
39%
|
noisy_chop 39% | mid | — | — | 0.25 | range_low | +0.09% | -0.03 | 09/08 07:15 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 1b | — | 2.576×ATR | p0 | +0.487×ATR | p48 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 4b | — | 5.557×ATR | p94 | +0.439×ATR | p52 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 18b | — | 10.011×ATR | p98 | -0.347×ATR | p42 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 6b | — | 2.606×ATR | p58 | -0.509×ATR | p46 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - BUY
Indicators:
- long_trend: 1
- confidence: 0.6544
- reason: up_bo width=1.30×ATR dur=73b phase=extending
- stop_price: 2.08586634
- tp_price: 2.38943414
- atr:
- score: 0.65443962648747
- expires_at: 2026-08-09T23:21:30.825325
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.65443962648747
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : 0.0712
- obi_top10 : 0.1172
- micro_price : 2.17587512
- spread_pct : 0.045977
- mid_price : 2.1755
- bid_wall_price : 2.16
- bid_wall_size : 61311.22
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price : 2.18
- ask_wall_size : 81415.57
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : 0.0706
- obi_top5_std : 0.0006
- pressure_side : neutral
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 6824
- aggregation_tick : 0.01
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
2.1024
- balance_zone_bottom:
2.07375
- balance_zone_mid:
2.088075
- balance_zone_start_time:
1786014000
- balance_zone_end_time:
1786273200
- balance_zone_width_atr:
1.2972
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
73
- balance_zone_quality: loose
- balance_zone_maturity: stretched
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.6544
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: up
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: extending
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1786197600
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
2.1024
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.6027
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
21
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
3.1784
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
0
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
18
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
13
- regime : bull_high_confirmed
- atr_entry : 0.02208656 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
73
inside_close_ratio
0.6027
bars_since_breakout
21
distance_to_edge_atr
3.1784
Signaux confirmants (3)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 07:21 | 2.17260000 | 0% |
| 2 | 07:27 | 2.17260000 | 0% |
| 3 | 07:34 | 2.17260000 | 0% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
→ neutral
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
6824ms
Confidence avant OB :
65%
→
65%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
0.071
avg 0.071
± 0.001
OBI Top 10
0.117
Microstructure
Mid Price
2.1755
Micro Price
2.1759
Spread
0.0460%
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
Price
2.1600
Size
61,311.22
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
Price
2.1800
Size
81,415.57
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.1726 | 2.0859 | 2.3894 | 2.5 | 2.3946 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 2.1726
- Stop Loss: 2.0859
- Take Profit: 2.3894
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 2.0859 - 2.1726 = -0.0867
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 2.1726 - 2.3894 = -0.2168
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.2168 / -0.0867 = 2.5006
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 200.3928 | 100 | 92.2364 | 2.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -0.0867
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0867 = -92.27
Taille de position USD = -92.27 x 2.1726 = -200.47
Donc, tu peux acheter -92.27 avec un stoploss a 2.0859
Avec un position size USD de -200.47$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -92.27 x -0.0867 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -92.27 x -0.2168 = 20
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20$
Résumé
- Taille de position -92.27
- Taille de position USD -200.47
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 20
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5006
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 9.98 % | 20 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.99 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 1.55 $ | 0.77 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| 0 % | 0 % | 0 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.1726 | 2.0859 | 2.3894 | 2.5 | 2.3946 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 2.1726
- Stop Loss: 2.0859
- Take Profit: 2.3894
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 2.0859 - 2.1726 = -0.0867
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 2.1726 - 2.3894 = -0.2168
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.2168 / -0.0867 = 2.5006
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -3.991%
(0.0867)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.557% | 0.1R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +0.971% | 0.2R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 24 |
| 4h | +1.611% | 0.4R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 48 |
| 8h | +2.449% | 0.6R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +2.449% | 0.6R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 144 |
| 24h | +3.061% | 0.8R | -0.382% | 0.1R | 8.0× | 288 |
computed 1 week ago
Commentaires
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