Long Trade on TAO (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 1.39 TAO at 206.54$ per unit. Take profit: 211.7035 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 200.7898 (2.78 %)
09 Aug 2026 at 08:10:07
hyperliquid
TAO
LONG
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
09 Aug 2026 08:10
→ 12:10
· 3 hours
Position
Entry 206.54$
Qty 1.3913 TAO
Size 287.352$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)
Risk Setup
TP 211.7035 (+2.5%)
TP $ 7.18$
SL 200.7898 (-2.78%)
SL $ 8$
RR 0.9
Status
win
PnL
+0.97%
/ +2.78$
MAE -0.35%
MFE +2.00%
0.7R
expires
09 Aug 12:20
Exit
rank_decay: long rank=12 > threshold=10/39
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 63504)
#4 / 39
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 09/08/2026 08:00
score du 09/08/2026 08:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.9347
Quality Score
0.710
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
92 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0
BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
6.5M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
09/08 08:01
09/08 08:01
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#4 / 39
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
92 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
0
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+1
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.78 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#4 / 39
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
92 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+1
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.78 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | clear | 0.70×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 5.79×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (+1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 09/08 08:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 08/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2) 09/08 04:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1) 09/08 07:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Score brut
0.7101
Score SMA
0.6392
Rank
#4
/ 39
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9347
Rank Norm SMA
0.8442
Calculé le
09/08/2026 08:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6720 | r1h: 0.937% · r4h: 0.291% · r1d: 5.19% · r3d: 6.18% · ema21_slope: 0.2401% · dist_ema21: 1.611% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6489 | rs_1h: 0.886% · rs_4h: 0.036% · rs_1d: 5.15% · rs_3d: 5.62% · beta_24h: 2.535 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.5182 | rvol_20: 1.34× · zscore_50: 1.148 · trend: 30.46% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.9509 | ADX: 54.1 (trend) · Chop: 36.8 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.135% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
4.2h)
Initial Risk: -2.784%
(5.7502)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.692% | 0.3R | -0.349% | 0.1R | 2.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.569% | 0.6R | -0.349% | 0.1R | 4.5× | 24 |
| 4h | +2.000% | 0.7R | -0.349% | 0.1R | 5.7× | 48 |
| 4.2h ★ | +2.000% | 0.7R | -0.349% | 0.1R | 5.7× | 49 |
| 8h | +2.000% | 0.7R | -0.349% | 0.1R | 5.7× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.000% | 0.7R | -2.779% | 1.0R | 0.7× | 144 |
computed 1 week ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 5.89
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 34% | mid | near -0.8ATR | — | 0.60 | bear_high | -3.14% | +0.52 | 08/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | expansion | bull_high_confirmed |
62%
|
noisy_chop 42% | mid | — | — | 0.68 | bull_medium | +1.11% | +0.38 | 09/08 04:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | fading | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
54%
|
noisy_chop 38% | early | — | — | 0.54 | range_low | +0.48% | +0.42 | 09/08 07:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | normal | bull_medium |
60%
|
noisy_chop 41% | early | — | near -0.6ATR | — | range_low | +0.10% | -0.06 | 09/08 07:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | 12b | — | 2.468×ATR | p0 | +0.865×ATR | p72 |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | 13b | — | 4.141×ATR | p79 | +0.874×ATR | p83 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 7b | — | 1.487×ATR | p4 | +0.372×ATR | p42 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 1b | — | 2.564×ATR | p34 | +0.523×ATR | p52 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - BUY
Indicators:
- stop_price: 200.78984014
- tp_price: 211.7035
- atr: 2.30006394
- expires_at: 2026-08-09T18:10:07+00:00
Details
- rank: 4
- total: 40
- score: 0.672
- delta_2h: 0.0403
- extension_atr: 1.07
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.9347
- confidence: 0.923
Signal Details
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 206.54 | 200.7898 | 211.7035 | 0.9 | 222.82 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 206.54
- Stop Loss: 200.7898
- Take Profit: 211.7035
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 200.7898 - 206.54 = -5.7502
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 206.54 - 211.7035 = -5.1635
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -5.1635 / -5.7502 = 0.898
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 287.352 | 100 | 1.3913 | 3.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -5.7502
Taille de position = 8 / -5.7502 = -1.39
Taille de position USD = -1.39 x 206.54 = -287.09
Donc, tu peux acheter -1.39 avec un stoploss a 200.7898
Avec un position size USD de -287.09$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -1.39 x -5.7502 = 7.99
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 7.99$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -1.39 x -5.1635 = 7.18
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 7.18$
Résumé
- Taille de position -1.39
- Taille de position USD -287.09
- Perte potentielle 7.99
- Gain potentiel 7.18
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.898
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.5 % | 7.18 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.78 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 2.78 $ | 0.97 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.3486 % | 12.52 % | 5 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 206.54 | 200.7898 | 211.7035 | 0.9 | 222.82 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 206.54
- Stop Loss: 200.7898
- Take Profit: 211.7035
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 200.7898 - 206.54 = -5.7502
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 206.54 - 211.7035 = -5.1635
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -5.1635 / -5.7502 = 0.898
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
4.2h)
Initial Risk: -2.784%
(5.7502)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.692% | 0.3R | -0.349% | 0.1R | 2.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.569% | 0.6R | -0.349% | 0.1R | 4.5× | 24 |
| 4h | +2.000% | 0.7R | -0.349% | 0.1R | 5.7× | 48 |
| 4.2h ★ | +2.000% | 0.7R | -0.349% | 0.1R | 5.7× | 49 |
| 8h | +2.000% | 0.7R | -0.349% | 0.1R | 5.7× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.000% | 0.7R | -2.779% | 1.0R | 0.7× | 144 |
computed 1 week ago
Commentaires
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