Short Trade on KAITO (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 142.28 KAITO at 0.687$ per unit. Take profit: 0.6694 (2.51 %) & Stop Loss: 0.7428 (8.19 %)
09 Aug 2026 at 08:10:07
hyperliquid
KAITO
SHORT
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
09 Aug 2026 08:10
→ 09:10
· 59 minutes
Position
Entry 0.6866$
Qty 142.2846 KAITO
Size 97.6926$ (leverage 1)
Risk Setup
TP 0.6694 (+2.51%)
TP $ 2.45$
SL 0.7428 (-8.19%)
SL $ 8$
RR 0.31
Status
win
PnL
+0.38%
/ +0.37$
MAE -0.70%
MFE +0.89%
0.1R
expires
09 Aug 09:20
Exit
rank_decay: short rank=29 <= threshold=29/39
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 63511)
#39 / 39
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 09/08/2026 08:00
score du 09/08/2026 08:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.0000
Quality Score
0.328
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0
BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
29.1M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
09/08 08:02
09/08 08:02
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#39 / 39
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+5
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
8.19 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#39 / 39
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+5
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
8.19 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -1.64×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 0.52×ATR |
| 1d | near | -0.09×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (-1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 09/08 08:00 Score : -1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high_confirmed (+3) 08/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high_confirmed (+2) 09/08 04:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 09/08 07:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Score brut
0.3284
Score SMA
0.3958
Rank
#39
/ 39
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0000
Rank Norm SMA
0.1230
Calculé le
09/08/2026 08:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.1450 | r1h: -1.595% · r4h: -2.208% · r1d: -2.92% · r3d: -22.87% · ema21_slope: -0.3231% · dist_ema21: -3.284% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.2182 | rs_1h: -1.646% · rs_4h: -2.463% · rs_1d: -2.95% · rs_3d: -23.43% · beta_24h: 10.487 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3092 | rvol_20: 0.78× · zscore_50: 0.202 · trend: -11.97% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5461 | ADX: 39.3 (trend) · Chop: 72.9 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.8661 | ATR%: 3.402% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
1.2h)
Initial Risk: -8.185%
(0.0562)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.890% | 0.1R | -0.705% | 0.1R | 1.3× | 12 |
| 1.2h ★ | +0.890% | 0.1R | -0.705% | 0.1R | 1.3× | 13 |
| 2h | +1.155% | 0.1R | -0.705% | 0.1R | 1.6× | 24 |
| 4h | +4.967% | 0.6R | -1.140% | 0.1R | 4.4× | 48 |
| 8h | +4.967% | 0.6R | -1.140% | 0.1R | 4.4× | 96 |
| 12h | +4.967% | 0.6R | -1.140% | 0.1R | 4.4× | 144 |
computed 1 week ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 3.1
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | fading | expansion | bear_high_confirmed |
51%
|
noisy_chop 39% | mid | near -0.1ATR | — | 0.38 | bear_high | -3.14% | -1.00 | 08/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | normal | bear_high_confirmed |
51%
|
noisy_chop 50% | late | — | — | 0.00 | bull_medium | +1.11% | -1.00 | 09/08 04:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | explosive | normal | bear_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 35% | mid | near -1.6ATR | — | -0.11 | range_low | +0.48% | -0.33 | 09/08 07:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | normal | bear_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 38% | mid | near -2.9ATR | — | — | range_low | +0.10% | -0.34 | 09/08 07:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 11b | — | 5.303×ATR | p70 | -1.112×ATR | p83 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 46b | — | 12.491×ATR | p100 | -0.956×ATR | p76 |
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | 18b | — | 3.13×ATR | p59 | -0.633×ATR | p55 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 2b | — | 2.074×ATR | p26 | -0.948×ATR | p67 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.6866 | 0.7428 | 0.6694 | 0.31 | 0.3546 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.6866
- Stop Loss: 0.7428
- Take Profit: 0.6694
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.7428 - 0.6866 = 0.0562
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.6866 - 0.6694 = 0.0172
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0172 / 0.0562 = 0.306
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 97.6926 | 97.6926 | 142.2846 | 1.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.0562
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0562 = 142.35
Taille de position USD = 142.35 x 0.6866 = 97.74
Donc, tu peux acheter 142.35 avec un stoploss a 0.7428
Avec un position size USD de 97.74$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 142.35 x 0.0562 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 142.35 x 0.0172 = 2.45
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 2.45$
Résumé
- Taille de position 142.35
- Taille de position USD 97.74
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 2.45
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.306
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.51 % | 2.45 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 8.19 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 0.37 $ | 0.38 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.7049 % | 8.61 % | 8 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.6866 | 0.7428 | 0.6694 | 0.31 | 0.3546 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.6866
- Stop Loss: 0.7428
- Take Profit: 0.6694
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.7428 - 0.6866 = 0.0562
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.6866 - 0.6694 = 0.0172
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0172 / 0.0562 = 0.306
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
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Extra SL data
Array
(
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MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
1.2h)
Initial Risk: -8.185%
(0.0562)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.890% | 0.1R | -0.705% | 0.1R | 1.3× | 12 |
| 1.2h ★ | +0.890% | 0.1R | -0.705% | 0.1R | 1.3× | 13 |
| 2h | +1.155% | 0.1R | -0.705% | 0.1R | 1.6× | 24 |
| 4h | +4.967% | 0.6R | -1.140% | 0.1R | 4.4× | 48 |
| 8h | +4.967% | 0.6R | -1.140% | 0.1R | 4.4× | 96 |
| 12h | +4.967% | 0.6R | -1.140% | 0.1R | 4.4× | 144 |
computed 1 week ago
Commentaires
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