Long Trade on FARTCOIN (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 1680.79 FARTCOIN at 0.135$ per unit. Take profit: 0.1474 (8.78 %) & Stop Loss: 0.1308 (3.47 %)
09 Aug 2026 at 12:09:09
hyperliquid
FARTCOIN
LONG
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
09 Aug 2026 12:09
→ 19:25
· 7 hours
Position
Entry 0.1355$
Qty 1680.7888 FARTCOIN
Size 227.8141$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 0.1474 (+8.78%)
TP $ 20$
SL 0.1308 (-3.47%)
SL $ 7.9$
RR 2.53
Status
loss
PnL
-3.47%
/ -7.9$
MAE -3.90%
MFE +2.23%
0.6R
expires
10 Aug 00:09
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 63666)
#4 / 39
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 09/08/2026 12:00
score du 09/08/2026 12:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.6883
Quality Score
0.769
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
77 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
2
OK
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
4.2M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
09/08 12:02
09/08 12:02
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#4 / 39
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
77 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
0
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+2
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.47 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#4 / 39
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
77 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+2
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.47 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.99×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 1.33×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 13.43×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bull_moderate rules_regime : bull_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 2 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (+1) Tactical (1H) : bull_low (+1) 09/08 12:00 Score : +2 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 08/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 09/08 08:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1) 09/08 11:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Score brut
0.7691
Score SMA
0.5387
Rank
#4
/ 39
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.6883
Rank Norm SMA
0.5655
Calculé le
09/08/2026 12:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6889 | r1h: 1.435% · r4h: 3.917% · r1d: 2.47% · r3d: 3.08% · ema21_slope: 0.0456% · dist_ema21: 2.940% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6814 | rs_1h: 1.499% · rs_4h: 3.493% · rs_1d: 2.25% · rs_3d: 2.16% · beta_24h: 2.015 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.9503 | rvol_20: 3.11× · zscore_50: 2.274 · trend: 99.02% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6798 | ADX: 21.6 (weak) · Chop: 32.2 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.955% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -3.469%
(0.0047)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.447% | 0.4R | -0.864% | 0.3R | 1.7× | 12 |
| 2h | +2.199% | 0.6R | -0.864% | 0.3R | 2.6× | 24 |
| 4h | +2.229% | 0.6R | -0.864% | 0.3R | 2.6× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.229% | 0.6R | -3.897% | 1.1R | 0.6× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +2.229% | 0.6R | -3.897% | 1.1R | 0.6× | 144 |
| 24h | +2.229% | 0.6R | -3.897% | 1.1R | 0.6× | 288 |
computed 1 week ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 2.52
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
54%
|
noisy_chop 39% | late | near 0.2ATR | — | 0.61 | bear_high | -2.96% | -0.50 | 08/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bull_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 39% | mid | — | — | 0.62 | bull_medium | +1.50% | -0.02 | 09/08 08:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | expansion | bull_high_confirmed |
60%
|
noisy_chop 42% | late | — | near -1.0ATR | 0.54 | bull_low | +0.78% | +0.26 | 09/08 11:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | balanced | expansion | bull_medium_confirmed |
65%
|
choppy 58% | late | — | — | — | range_low | +0.37% | +0.34 | 09/08 11:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 37b | — | 5.988×ATR | p90 | +0.094×ATR | p14 |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | 10b | — | 3.33×ATR | p41 | +1.046×ATR | p85 |
| 1h | ↑ up | late | 4b | — | 4.718×ATR | p91 | +2.641×ATR | p100 |
| 15m | ↑ up | late | 18b | — | 7.883×ATR | p100 | +2.396×ATR | p97 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - BUY
Indicators:
- long_trend: 1
- confidence: 0.7694
- reason: up_bo width=2.39×ATR dur=24b phase=fresh
- stop_price: 0.13078033
- tp_price: 0.14743918
- atr:
- score: 0.76942510019298
- expires_at: 2026-08-10T04:09:01.156513
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.76942510019298
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : -0.0004
- obi_top10 : -0.0474
- micro_price : 0.13573268
- spread_pct : 0.073692
- mid_price : 0.13575
- bid_wall_price : 0.135
- bid_wall_size : 1686043.08
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price : 0.137
- ask_wall_size : 1649631.28
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : -0.0101
- obi_top5_std : 0.0055
- pressure_side : neutral
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 7116
- aggregation_tick : 0.001
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
0.13246
- balance_zone_bottom:
0.12936
- balance_zone_mid:
0.13091
- balance_zone_start_time:
1786208400
- balance_zone_end_time:
1786291200
- balance_zone_width_atr:
2.3906
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
24
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: forming
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.7694
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: up
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1786284000
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
0.13246
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.875
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
2
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
2.3752
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
0
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
5
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
4
- regime : bull_high
- atr_entry : 0.00129673 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
24
inside_close_ratio
0.875
bars_since_breakout
2
distance_to_edge_atr
2.3752
Signaux confirmants (45)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12:09 | 0.13554000 | +0.03% |
| 2 | 12:15 | 0.13554000 | +0.03% |
| 3 | 12:21 | 0.13552000 | +0.015% |
| 4 | 12:26 | 0.13552000 | +0.015% |
| 5 | 12:33 | 0.13552000 | +0.015% |
| 6 | 12:38 | 0.13480000 | -0.517% |
| 7 | 12:44 | 0.13480000 | -0.517% |
| 8 | 12:50 | 0.13544000 | -0.044% |
| 9 | 12:57 | 0.13544000 | -0.044% |
| 10 | 13:04 | 0.13544000 | -0.044% |
| 11 | 14:39 | 0.13636000 | +0.635% |
| 12 | 14:45 | 0.13636000 | +0.635% |
| 13 | 14:51 | 0.13666000 | +0.856% |
| 14 | 14:57 | 0.13666000 | +0.856% |
| 15 | 15:04 | 0.13666000 | +0.856% |
| 16 | 15:09 | 0.13621000 | +0.524% |
| 17 | 15:15 | 0.13621000 | +0.524% |
| 18 | 15:21 | 0.13567000 | +0.125% |
| 19 | 15:26 | 0.13567000 | +0.125% |
| 20 | 15:33 | 0.13567000 | +0.125% |
| 21 | 15:39 | 0.13550000 | 0% |
| 22 | 15:45 | 0.13550000 | 0% |
| 23 | 15:51 | 0.13643000 | +0.686% |
| 24 | 15:57 | 0.13643000 | +0.686% |
| 25 | 16:04 | 0.13643000 | +0.686% |
| 26 | 16:09 | 0.13591000 | +0.303% |
| 27 | 16:16 | 0.13591000 | +0.303% |
| 28 | 16:21 | 0.13557000 | +0.052% |
| 29 | 16:27 | 0.13557000 | +0.052% |
| 30 | 16:33 | 0.13557000 | +0.052% |
| 31 | 16:39 | 0.13480000 | -0.517% |
| 32 | 16:45 | 0.13480000 | -0.517% |
| 33 | 16:51 | 0.13496000 | -0.399% |
| 34 | 16:57 | 0.13496000 | -0.399% |
| 35 | 17:04 | 0.13496000 | -0.399% |
| 36 | 17:09 | 0.13484000 | -0.487% |
| 37 | 17:15 | 0.13484000 | -0.487% |
| 38 | 17:21 | 0.13475000 | -0.554% |
| 39 | 17:27 | 0.13475000 | -0.554% |
| 40 | 17:33 | 0.13475000 | -0.554% |
| 41 | 17:39 | 0.13543000 | -0.052% |
| 42 | 17:44 | 0.13543000 | -0.052% |
| 43 | 17:51 | 0.13569000 | +0.14% |
| 44 | 17:57 | 0.13569000 | +0.14% |
| 45 | 18:04 | 0.13569000 | +0.14% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
→ neutral
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
7116ms
Confidence avant OB :
77%
→
77%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
0.000
avg -0.010
± 0.006
OBI Top 10
-0.047
Microstructure
Mid Price
0.1358
Micro Price
0.1357
Spread
0.0737%
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
Price
0.1350
Size
1,686,043.08
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
Price
0.1370
Size
1,649,631.28
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.1355 | 0.1308 | 0.1474 | 2.53 | 0.1986 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.1355
- Stop Loss: 0.1308
- Take Profit: 0.1474
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.1308 - 0.1355 = -0.0047
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.1355 - 0.1474 = -0.0119
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0119 / -0.0047 = 2.5319
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 227.8141 | 100 | 1680.7888 | 2.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -0.0047
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0047 = -1702.13
Taille de position USD = -1702.13 x 0.1355 = -230.64
Donc, tu peux acheter -1702.13 avec un stoploss a 0.1308
Avec un position size USD de -230.64$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -1702.13 x -0.0047 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -1702.13 x -0.0119 = 20.26
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20.26$
Résumé
- Taille de position -1702.13
- Taille de position USD -230.64
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 20.26
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5319
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 8.78 % | 20 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.47 % | 7.9 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -7.9 $ | -3.47 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -3.5793 % | 103.19 % | 21 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.1355 | 0.1308 | 0.1474 | 2.53 | 0.1986 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.1355
- Stop Loss: 0.1308
- Take Profit: 0.1474
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.1308 - 0.1355 = -0.0047
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.1355 - 0.1474 = -0.0119
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0119 / -0.0047 = 2.5319
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -3.469%
(0.0047)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.447% | 0.4R | -0.864% | 0.3R | 1.7× | 12 |
| 2h | +2.199% | 0.6R | -0.864% | 0.3R | 2.6× | 24 |
| 4h | +2.229% | 0.6R | -0.864% | 0.3R | 2.6× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.229% | 0.6R | -3.897% | 1.1R | 0.6× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +2.229% | 0.6R | -3.897% | 1.1R | 0.6× | 144 |
| 24h | +2.229% | 0.6R | -3.897% | 1.1R | 0.6× | 288 |
computed 1 week ago
Commentaires
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