09 Aug 2026 at 12:09:46 hyperliquid

Long Trade on ZEC (BalanceBreakoutRegime)

With 0.65 ZEC at 522.87$ per unit. Take profit: 553.8596 (5.93 %) & Stop Loss: 510.4742 (2.37 %)

ZEC LONG BalanceBreakoutRegime hyperliquid 09 Aug 2026 12:09 → 19:30 · 7 hours

Position

Entry 522.87$

Qty 0.6454 ZEC

Size 337.4491$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)

Risk Setup

TP 553.8596 (+5.93%)

TP $ 20$

SL 510.4742 (-2.37%)

SL $ 8$

RR 2.5

Status loss PnL -2.37% / -8$ MAE -3.23% MFE +0.00% 0.0R expires 10 Aug 00:09

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 63671)
#20 / 39 OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 09/08/2026 12:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.7771

Quality Score
0.559
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
73 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
2 OK
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
34.0M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
09/08 12:02

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank
#20 / 39 OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
73 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+8 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.37 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#20 / 39 OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
73 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+8 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.37 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Supply Distance (ATR)
1h clear
4h near -1.33×ATR
1d clear
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↑ up early OK
4h ↑ up mid OK
1d ↑ up mid OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : bull_moderate

rules_regime : bull_low

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 2

ml_regime : bear_high

Strategic (1D) : range_high (0)

Operational (4H) : bull_medium (+1)

Tactical (1H) : bull_low (+1)

09/08 12:00

Score : +2

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3)

08/08 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2)

09/08 08:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1)

09/08 11:00

Score : +6 / ±6

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1H
Score brut
0.5589
Score SMA
0.5350
Rank
#20 / 39
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.7771
Rank Norm SMA
0.5448
Calculé le
09/08/2026 12:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.5688 r1h: -0.302% · r4h: -0.406% · r1d: 3.36% · r3d: 6.05% · ema21_slope: 0.1288% · dist_ema21: 1.167%
Force Relative 25% 0.5550 rs_1h: -0.237% · rs_4h: -0.830% · rs_1d: 3.15% · rs_3d: 5.14% · beta_24h: 1.131
Volume 20% 0.2268 rvol_20: 0.61× · zscore_50: -0.418 · trend: -22.64%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6943 ADX: 23.6 (weak) · Chop: 38.4 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 0.750% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★ 12h) Initial Risk: -2.371% (12.3958)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.000% 0.0R -1.348% 0.6R 0.0× 12
2h +0.000% 0.0R -1.735% 0.7R 0.0× 24
4h +0.000% 0.0R -1.735% 0.7R 0.0× 48
8h +0.000% 0.0R -2.632% 1.1R 0.0× 96
12h ★ +0.000% 0.0R -3.226% 1.4R 0.0× 144
24h +0.000% 0.0R -4.756% 2.0R 0.0× 288

computed 1 week ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↑ up range range moderate fading compression bull_high
56%
noisy_chop 36% mid 0.48 bear_high -2.96% -0.36 08/08 20:00
4h ↑ up range range moderate fading normal bull_high
60%
noisy_chop 43% mid near -1.3ATR 0.65 bull_medium +1.50% +0.22 09/08 08:00
1h ↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate grind normal bull_high
65%
noisy_chop 40% early 0.60 bull_low +0.78% +0.21 09/08 11:00
15m ↑ up range range moderate fading compression bull_low
43%
noisy_chop 36% early 0.44 range_low +0.37% -0.09 09/08 11:45
5m

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↑ up mid 11b 2.506×ATR p0 +0.735×ATR p65
4h ↑ up mid 6b 2.852×ATR p34 +1.072×ATR p82
1h ↑ up early 3b 0.368×ATR p0 +0.389×ATR p39
15m ↓ down early 10b 2.338×ATR p18 -0.308×ATR p33

Maturitylate : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

BalanceBreakoutRegime - BUY

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: 1
  2. confidence: 0.725
  3. reason: up_bo width=2.31×ATR dur=53b phase=extending
  4. stop_price: 510.47417508
  5. tp_price: 553.85956229
  6. atr:
  7. score: 0.72504719486416
  8. expires_at: 2026-08-10T04:09:38.671096
  9. max_bars: 12
  10. max_bars_tf: 1h
  11. confidence_pre_ob: 0.72504719486416
Details
  1. 1H:
  2. 15m:
  3. 5m:
  4. btc_indicators
  5. ¸
  6. market_structures
  7. ¸
  8. market_structure_v2
  9. ¸
  10. trend_analyzer_1h
  11. ¸
  12. orderbook_context
  13. obi_top5 : -0.0323
  14. obi_top10 : -0.0323
  15. micro_price : 521.98401012
  16. spread_pct : 0.001916
  17. mid_price : 521.985
  18. bid_wall_price :
  19. bid_wall_size :
  20. bid_wall_dist_atr :
  21. ask_wall_price :
  22. ask_wall_size :
  23. ask_wall_dist_atr :
  24. snapshots_count : 5
  25. obi_top5_mean : -0.026
  26. obi_top5_std : 0.0181
  27. pressure_side : neutral
  28. collection_mode : ws_rolling
  29. collection_ms : 6902
  30. aggregation_tick : 1
  31. error :
  32. ¸
  33. strategy_details
  34. strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
  35. strategy_details
  36. balance_zone_top:
    515.12
  37. balance_zone_bottom:
    506.57
  38. balance_zone_mid:
    510.845
  39. balance_zone_start_time:
    1786104000
  40. balance_zone_end_time:
    1786291200
  41. balance_zone_width_atr:
    2.3057
  42. balance_zone_duration_bars:
    53
  43. balance_zone_quality: tight
  44. balance_zone_maturity: established
  45. balance_zone_confidence:
    0.725
  46. balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
  47. balance_zone_breakout_direction: up
  48. balance_zone_breakout_phase: extending
  49. balance_zone_breakout_time:
    1786266000
  50. balance_zone_breakout_price:
    515.12
  51. strategy_details
  52. balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
    0.6604
  53. balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
    7
  54. balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
    2.0899
  55. balance_metrics_has_retested:
    
                                                                                                                                
  56. balance_metrics_retest_count:
    0
  57. balance_metrics_touch_upper:
    6
  58. balance_metrics_touch_lower:
    14
  59. regime : bull_high
  60. atr_entry : 3.70824917
  61. ¸

Signal Details

duration_bars
53
inside_close_ratio
0.6604
bars_since_breakout
7
distance_to_edge_atr
2.0899

Signaux confirmants (15)

# Heure Entry Δ
1 12:09 522.87000000 0%
2 12:15 522.87000000 0%
3 12:21 519.00000000 -0.74%
4 12:27 519.00000000 -0.74%
5 12:34 519.00000000 -0.74%
6 17:10 517.12000000 -1.1%
7 17:16 517.12000000 -1.1%
8 17:22 516.50000000 -1.218%
9 17:27 516.50000000 -1.218%
10 17:34 516.50000000 -1.218%
11 17:39 517.34000000 -1.058%
12 17:45 517.34000000 -1.058%
13 17:51 517.84000000 -0.962%
14 17:57 517.84000000 -0.962%
15 18:04 517.84000000 -0.962%

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

Orderbook Context

→ neutral ws_rolling 5 snapshots 6902ms Confidence avant OB : 73%73%

Order Book Imbalance

OBI Top 5 -0.032
avg -0.026 ± 0.018
OBI Top 10 -0.032

Microstructure

Mid Price
521.9850
Micro Price
521.9840
Spread
0.0019%

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
522.87 510.4742 553.8596 2.5 672.62
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 522.87
  • Stop Loss: 510.4742
  • Take Profit: 553.8596

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 510.4742 - 522.87 = -12.3958

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 522.87 - 553.8596 = -30.9896

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -30.9896 / -12.3958 = 2.5

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
337.4491 100 0.6454 3.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -12.3958

Taille de position = 8 / -12.3958 = -0.65

Taille de position USD = -0.65 x 522.87 = -339.87

Donc, tu peux acheter -0.65 avec un stoploss a 510.4742

Avec un position size USD de -339.87$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -0.65 x -12.3958 = 8.06

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8.06$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -0.65 x -30.9896 = 20.14

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20.14$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -0.65
  • Taille de position USD -339.87
  • Perte potentielle 8.06
  • Gain potentiel 20.14
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
5.93 % 20 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
2.37 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -2.37
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-2.4978 % 105.36 % 0
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
522.87 510.4742 553.8596 2.5 672.62
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 522.87
  • Stop Loss: 510.4742
  • Take Profit: 553.8596

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 510.4742 - 522.87 = -12.3958

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 522.87 - 553.8596 = -30.9896

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -30.9896 / -12.3958 = 2.5

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★ 12h) Initial Risk: -2.371% (12.3958)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.000% 0.0R -1.348% 0.6R 0.0× 12
2h +0.000% 0.0R -1.735% 0.7R 0.0× 24
4h +0.000% 0.0R -1.735% 0.7R 0.0× 48
8h +0.000% 0.0R -2.632% 1.1R 0.0× 96
12h ★ +0.000% 0.0R -3.226% 1.4R 0.0× 144
24h +0.000% 0.0R -4.756% 2.0R 0.0× 288

computed 1 week ago

Commentaires

Aucun commentaire.