Long Trade on LTC (CatchTheWave)
With 131.05 LTC at 46.269$ per unit. Take profit: 46.3911 (0.26 %) & Stop Loss: 46.208 (0.13 %)
Long Trade on LTC (CatchTheWave)
With 131.05 LTC at 46.269$ per unit. Take profit: 46.3911 (0.26 %) & Stop Loss: 46.208 (0.13 %)
Position
Entry 46.269$
Qty 131.0524 LTC
Size 6063.663$ (margin 100$) (leverage 61)
Risk Setup
TP 46.3911 (+0.26%)
TP $ 16$
SL 46.208 (-0.13%)
SL $ 7.99$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.5425
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | 0.06×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 1.69×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 9.40×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bull_moderate rules_regime : bull_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 2 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (+1) Tactical (1H) : bull_low (+1) 09/08 12:00 Score : +2 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.300226 15m : 0.38708 |
1H_regime : bull_low 15m_regime : range_low 5m_regime : range_low |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 08/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 09/08 12:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_low (+1) 09/08 12:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5472 | r1h: 0.065% · r4h: 0.339% · r1d: 1.25% · r3d: 1.57% · ema21_slope: 0.0456% · dist_ema21: 0.691% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5221 | rs_1h: 0.129% · rs_4h: -0.084% · rs_1d: 1.04% · rs_3d: 0.65% · beta_24h: 0.444 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1840 | rvol_20: 0.47× · zscore_50: -0.241 · trend: -56.59% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6427 | ADX: 27.1 (trend) · Chop: 48.5 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.324% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.186% | 1.4R | -0.197% | 1.5R | 1.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.186% | 1.4R | -0.227% | 1.7R | 0.8× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.186% | 1.4R | -0.495% | 3.8R | 0.4× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.186% | 1.4R | -2.055% | 15.6R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.186% | 1.4R | -2.488% | 18.9R | 0.1× | 144 |
computed 1 week ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 34% | mid | — | — | 0.75 | bear_high | -2.96% | -0.20 | 08/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | strong | fading | compression | bull_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 41% | late | — | — | 0.66 | bull_medium | +1.50% | +0.19 | 09/08 12:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | normal | bull_low |
50%
|
noisy_chop 41% | mid | — | near 0.1ATR | 0.57 | bull_low | +0.82% | +0.04 | 09/08 12:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | balanced | normal | range_low |
43%
|
noisy_chop 46% | early | — | — | — | range_low | +0.39% | -0.01 | 09/08 12:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 14b | — | 1.69×ATR | p0 | +0.585×ATR | p63 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 38b | — | 7.13×ATR | p97 | +0.894×ATR | p78 |
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | 6b | — | 2.189×ATR | p34 | +0.633×ATR | p62 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 8b | — | 1.484×ATR | p6 | +0.112×ATR | p12 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
65055.2
0.00242501
65213
0.300226
64986
0.00330688
65201
0.38708
64787.9
0.00677641
65227
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46.053
193
0.8296
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0.2263
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0.5323
0.6566
0.9602
0.1809
0.1337
1
1.6016
3.2702
0.8
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1
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1
0.5473
0.5235
3.017
0.5
0.5779
1.7435
3.2702
0.5332
0.2652
0.48
0.0664
0.4771
0.5552
0.9052
0.9602
-0.5245
12.664
1
1
1
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (3)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12:54 | 46.26900000 | 0% |
| 2 | 13:01 | 46.27400000 | +0.011% |
| 3 | 13:12 | 46.25100000 | -0.039% |
Market Structure Score: 2
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 12:05:00 | 46.29 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 12:35:00 | 46.161 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 12:50:00 | 46.161 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 14:10:00 | 46.43 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 14:30:00 | 46.279 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 15:05:00 | 46.418 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 15:20:00 | 46.321 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 15:45:00 | 46.455 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 16:10:00 | 46.346 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 16:50:00 | 46.203 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 01:00:00 | 46.144 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 03:00:00 | 45.858 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 04:15:00 | 46.031 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 05:30:00 | 45.881 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 08:15:00 | 46.32 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 10:45:00 | 46.053 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 12:00:00 | 46.29 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 14:00:00 | 46.43 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 15:45:00 | 46.455 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 16:45:00 | 46.335 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-07 04:00:00 | 45.312 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 16:00:00 | 46.051 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 19:00:00 | 44.759 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-08 03:00:00 | 45.627 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 06:00:00 | 45.459 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-08 12:00:00 | 45.479 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 01:00:00 | 46.144 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 03:00:00 | 45.858 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 08:00:00 | 46.32 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 15:00:00 | 46.455 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 46.269 | 46.208 | 46.3911 | 2 | 50.764 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 46.208 - 46.269 = -0.061
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 46.269 - 46.3911 = -0.1221
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.1221 / -0.061 = 2.0016
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6063.663 | 100 | 131.0524 | 61.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.061 = -131.15
Taille de position USD = -131.15 x 46.269 = -6068.18
Donc, tu peux acheter -131.15 avec un stoploss a 46.208
Avec un position size USD de -6068.18$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -131.15 x -0.061 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -131.15 x -0.1221 = 16.01
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.01$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.26 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.13 % | 7.99 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -7.99 $ | -0.13 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.1383 % | 104.93 % | 4 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 46.269 | 46.208 | 46.3911 | 2 | 50.764 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 46.208 - 46.269 = -0.061
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 46.269 - 46.3911 = -0.1221
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.1221 / -0.061 = 2.0016
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.186% | 1.4R | -0.197% | 1.5R | 1.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.186% | 1.4R | -0.227% | 1.7R | 0.8× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.186% | 1.4R | -0.495% | 3.8R | 0.4× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.186% | 1.4R | -2.055% | 15.6R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.186% | 1.4R | -2.488% | 18.9R | 0.1× | 144 |
computed 1 week ago
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