Long Trade on TAO (CatchTheWave)
With 9.19 TAO at 207.47$ per unit. Take profit: 209.2106 (0.84 %) & Stop Loss: 206.5997 (0.42 %)
Long Trade on TAO (CatchTheWave)
With 9.19 TAO at 207.47$ per unit. Take profit: 209.2106 (0.84 %) & Stop Loss: 206.5997 (0.42 %)
Position
Entry 207.47$
Qty 9.1921 TAO
Size 1907.0801$ (margin 100$) (leverage 19)
Risk Setup
TP 209.2106 (+0.84%)
TP $ 16$
SL 206.5997 (-0.42%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.8920
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | near | 0.46×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 5.61×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bull_moderate rules_regime : bull_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 2 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (+1) Tactical (1H) : bull_low (+1) 09/08 12:00 Score : +2 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.132811 15m : 0.371294 |
1H_regime : bull_high_confirmed 15m_regime : bull_medium 5m_regime : range_low |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 08/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2) 09/08 12:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1) 09/08 12:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6706 | r1h: -0.062% · r4h: 0.835% · r1d: 5.38% · r3d: 8.01% · ema21_slope: 0.1817% · dist_ema21: 1.796% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6324 | rs_1h: 0.002% · rs_4h: 0.412% · rs_1d: 5.17% · rs_3d: 7.10% · beta_24h: 2.375 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3355 | rvol_20: 0.56× · zscore_50: -0.096 · trend: 48.96% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7973 | ADX: 51.1 (trend) · Chop: 54.1 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.157% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.193% | 0.5R | -0.251% | 0.6R | 0.8× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.212% | 0.5R | -0.251% | 0.6R | 0.9× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.212% | 0.5R | -0.680% | 1.6R | 0.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.212% | 0.5R | -3.215% | 7.7R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.212% | 0.5R | -3.215% | 7.7R | 0.1× | 144 |
computed 1 week ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 34% | mid | near -0.7ATR | — | 0.60 | bear_high | -2.96% | +0.55 | 08/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | fading | expansion | bull_high_confirmed |
67%
|
noisy_chop 45% | late | — | near 0.5ATR | 0.68 | bull_medium | +1.50% | +0.55 | 09/08 12:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
50%
|
noisy_chop 35% | early | — | — | 0.55 | bull_low | +0.82% | +0.41 | 09/08 12:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | normal | bull_medium |
61%
|
noisy_chop 39% | early | near 0.3ATR | near -1.1ATR | — | range_low | +0.39% | +0.05 | 09/08 12:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | 12b | — | 2.585×ATR | p7 | +0.967×ATR | p78 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 2b | — | 1.815×ATR | p0 | +1.215×ATR | p93 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early | 5b | — | 2.339×ATR | p34 | +0.294×ATR | p34 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 5b | — | 1.787×ATR | p13 | -0.163×ATR | p20 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
65051.5
0.0024519
65211
0.132811
64986
0.00330688
65201
0.371294
64787.9
0.00677641
65227
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[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
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[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.8018942383583
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 5
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[1] => 198.74
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[detected_trend] => uptrend
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[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -1.3101058527555
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202.72
194
0.6459
0.4943
0.3078
0.1931
0.4017
1
0.4616
0.4949
0.4492
0.844
0.6186
0.8891
0.1442
0.1194
1
1.071
2.6703
0.6
0.4
-1
5
1
0.6138
0.3884
3.1755
0.55
1.3049
3.0782
2.6703
0.343
0.3631
0.74
0.9748
0.5422
0.4761
0.9184
0.8891
-0.8862
7.1056
1
0
0
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (3)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12:56 | 207.47000000 | 0% |
| 2 | 13:08 | 207.24000000 | -0.111% |
| 3 | 13:32 | 207.10000000 | -0.178% |
Market Structure Score: 2
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 12:15:00 | 206.15 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 12:25:00 | 207.97 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 12:45:00 | 205.82 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 13:30:00 | 209.78 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 14:20:00 | 210.09 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 14:40:00 | 207.9 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 15:20:00 | 210.67 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 15:40:00 | 208.49 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 16:05:00 | 210.52 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 16:55:00 | 207.47 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-08 21:15:00 | 200.31 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 23:00:00 | 198.74 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 00:30:00 | 210.34 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 02:30:00 | 204.51 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 04:15:00 | 210.38 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 07:00:00 | 204.68 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 08:15:00 | 207.21 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 11:15:00 | 202.72 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 15:15:00 | 210.67 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 16:45:00 | 207.91 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 20:00:00 | 191.34 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 05:00:00 | 190.2 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 11:00:00 | 194.87 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 17:00:00 | 190.86 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 21:00:00 | 195.41 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 06:00:00 | 197.92 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 13:00:00 | 195.87 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 04:00:00 | 210.38 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 11:00:00 | 202.72 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 15:00:00 | 210.67 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 207.47 | 206.5997 | 209.2106 | 2 | 222.24 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 206.5997 - 207.47 = -0.87029999999999
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 207.47 - 209.2106 = -1.7406
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -1.7406 / -0.87029999999999 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1907.0801 | 100 | 9.1921 | 19.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.87029999999999 = -9.19
Taille de position USD = -9.19 x 207.47 = -1906.65
Donc, tu peux acheter -9.19 avec un stoploss a 206.5997
Avec un position size USD de -1906.65$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -9.19 x -0.87029999999999 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -9.19 x -1.7406 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.84 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.42 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.42 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.4338 % | 103.41 % | 16 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 207.47 | 206.5997 | 209.2106 | 2 | 222.24 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 206.5997 - 207.47 = -0.87029999999999
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 207.47 - 209.2106 = -1.7406
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -1.7406 / -0.87029999999999 = 2
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.193% | 0.5R | -0.251% | 0.6R | 0.8× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.212% | 0.5R | -0.251% | 0.6R | 0.9× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.212% | 0.5R | -0.680% | 1.6R | 0.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.212% | 0.5R | -3.215% | 7.7R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.212% | 0.5R | -3.215% | 7.7R | 0.1× | 144 |
computed 1 week ago
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