Long Trade on ZEC (CatchTheWave)
With 4.72 ZEC at 516.54$ per unit. Take profit: 519.9265 (0.66 %) & Stop Loss: 514.8468 (0.33 %)
Long Trade on ZEC (CatchTheWave)
With 4.72 ZEC at 516.54$ per unit. Take profit: 519.9265 (0.66 %) & Stop Loss: 514.8468 (0.33 %)
Position
Entry 516.54$
Qty 4.7247 ZEC
Size 2440.5015$ (margin 100$) (leverage 24)
Risk Setup
TP 519.9265 (+0.66%)
TP $ 16$
SL 514.8468 (-0.33%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.7851
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | near | -0.79×ATR |
| 1d | clear | — |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bull_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 1 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (+1) Tactical (1H) : bull_low (+1) 09/08 13:00 Score : +2 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.233179 15m : 0.290103 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : range_medium 5m_regime : bear_low |
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 08/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 09/08 12:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 09/08 13:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5335 | r1h: -0.904% · r4h: -0.720% · r1d: 2.10% · r3d: 4.58% · ema21_slope: 0.1270% · dist_ema21: 0.372% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4906 | rs_1h: -0.946% · rs_4h: -1.191% · rs_1d: 1.85% · rs_3d: 3.80% · beta_24h: 0.953 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.4768 | rvol_20: 1.60× · zscore_50: 0.513 · trend: 0.13% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6857 | ADX: 22.7 (weak) · Chop: 38.6 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.809% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.072% | 0.2R | -0.531% | 1.6R | 0.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.072% | 0.2R | -0.531% | 1.6R | 0.1× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.261% | 0.8R | -0.531% | 1.6R | 0.5× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.850% | 2.6R | -2.041% | 6.2R | 0.4× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.850% | 2.6R | -2.145% | 6.5R | 0.4× | 144 |
computed 1 week ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bull_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 36% | mid | — | — | 0.48 | bear_high | -2.96% | -0.36 | 08/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
63%
|
noisy_chop 43% | early | — | near -0.8ATR | 0.65 | bull_medium | +1.43% | +0.36 | 09/08 12:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | strong | explosive | expansion_after_compression | bull_high |
61%
|
noisy_chop 42% | early | — | — | 0.61 | range_low | +0.75% | +0.12 | 09/08 13:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | range_medium |
35%
|
noisy_chop 42% | late | near -2.0ATR | — | 0.43 | range_low | +0.33% | -0.19 | 09/08 13:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | 11b | — | 2.506×ATR | p0 | +0.735×ATR | p65 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 7b | — | 2.321×ATR | p14 | +0.405×ATR | p41 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 4b | — | 2.21×ATR | p41 | -0.4×ATR | p40 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 17b | — | 5.239×ATR | p96 | -1.322×ATR | p89 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
65074.9
0.00190628
65199
0.233179
64999.2
0.00307319
65199
0.290103
64803.3
0.00595165
65189
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527.06
195
0.7593
0.6903
0.393
0.2134
0.54
0.8038
0.5426
0.516
0.7243
0.6061
0.7057
0.7415
0.1377
0.1016
1
0.3493
1.534
0.65
0.35
1
7
1
0.5732
0.6901
4.6804
0.55
0.8038
1.5499
1.534
0.8386
0.2916
0.56
0.1052
0.5084
0.5149
0.8239
0.7415
-2.6149
7.5025
1
1
1
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (3)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13:33 | 516.54000000 | 0% |
| 2 | 13:51 | 515.02000000 | -0.294% |
| 3 | 13:58 | 514.73000000 | -0.35% |
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 12:10:00 | 520.67 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 13:00:00 | 521.91 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 13:20:00 | 527.06 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 13:55:00 | 523.02 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 14:35:00 | 523.03 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 15:35:00 | 521.33 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 15:55:00 | 523.67 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 16:25:00 | 515.82 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 16:45:00 | 518.82 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 17:25:00 | 514.52 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-08 23:00:00 | 506.57 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 00:30:00 | 505.14 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 01:45:00 | 515.12 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 03:45:00 | 510.26 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 04:15:00 | 513.62 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 06:00:00 | 508.83 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 10:00:00 | 528.62 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 12:00:00 | 520.67 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 13:15:00 | 527.06 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 17:15:00 | 514.52 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 13:00:00 | 488.69 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 02:00:00 | 507.61 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 05:00:00 | 498.21 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 16:00:00 | 517.14 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 10:00:00 | 508.55 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 12:00:00 | 497.66 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 00:00:00 | 505.14 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 01:00:00 | 515.12 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 10:00:00 | 528.62 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 16:00:00 | 515.82 | ↓ Low |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 516.54 | 514.8468 | 519.9265 | 2 | 573.54 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 514.8468 - 516.54 = -1.6931999999999
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 516.54 - 519.9265 = -3.3865000000001
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -3.3865000000001 / -1.6931999999999 = 2.0001
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2440.5015 | 100 | 4.7247 | 24.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -1.6931999999999 = -4.72
Taille de position USD = -4.72 x 516.54 = -2438.07
Donc, tu peux acheter -4.72 avec un stoploss a 514.8468
Avec un position size USD de -2438.07$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -4.72 x -1.6931999999999 = 7.99
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 7.99$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -4.72 x -3.3865000000001 = 15.98
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.98$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.66 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.33 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.33 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.3872 % | 118.12 % | 3 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 516.54 | 514.8468 | 519.9265 | 2 | 573.54 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 514.8468 - 516.54 = -1.6931999999999
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 516.54 - 519.9265 = -3.3865000000001
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -3.3865000000001 / -1.6931999999999 = 2.0001
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.072% | 0.2R | -0.531% | 1.6R | 0.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.072% | 0.2R | -0.531% | 1.6R | 0.1× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.261% | 0.8R | -0.531% | 1.6R | 0.5× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.850% | 2.6R | -2.041% | 6.2R | 0.4× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.850% | 2.6R | -2.145% | 6.5R | 0.4× | 144 |
computed 1 week ago
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