Long Trade on LIT (CatchTheWave)
With 786.71 LIT at 2.326$ per unit. Take profit: 2.3465 (0.87 %) & Stop Loss: 2.316 (0.44 %)
Long Trade on LIT (CatchTheWave)
With 786.71 LIT at 2.326$ per unit. Take profit: 2.3465 (0.87 %) & Stop Loss: 2.316 (0.44 %)
Position
Entry 2.3262$
Qty 786.7086 LIT
Size 1830.0414$ (margin 100$) (leverage 18)
Risk Setup
TP 2.3465 (+0.87%)
TP $ 15.97$
SL 2.316 (-0.44%)
SL $ 8.02$
RR 1.99
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.5770
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 3.17×ATR |
| 4h | near | -1.33×ATR |
| 1d | clear | — |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | early | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bull_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 1 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (+1) Tactical (1H) : bull_low (+1) 09/08 13:00 Score : +2 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.176496 15m : 0.193629 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : range_medium 5m_regime : range_low |
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 08/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 09/08 12:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 09/08 13:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5926 | r1h: 0.021% · r4h: 1.430% · r1d: 2.72% · r3d: 3.53% · ema21_slope: 0.0895% · dist_ema21: 1.266% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5728 | rs_1h: -0.020% · rs_4h: 0.959% · rs_1d: 2.46% · rs_3d: 2.75% · beta_24h: 1.563 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3050 | rvol_20: 0.97× · zscore_50: -0.384 · trend: -8.94% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6047 | ADX: 17.5 (weak) · Chop: 43.3 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.210% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.911% | 2.1R | -0.133% | 0.3R | 6.8× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.980% | 2.2R | -0.899% | 2.1R | 1.1× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +2.566% | 5.9R | -0.899% | 2.1R | 2.9× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.566% | 5.9R | -1.122% | 2.6R | 2.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.566% | 5.9R | -1.122% | 2.6R | 2.3× | 144 |
computed 1 week ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bull_high |
65%
|
noisy_chop 36% | early | — | — | — | bear_high | -2.96% | +0.56 | 08/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
64%
|
noisy_chop 37% | early | — | near -1.3ATR | 0.35 | bull_medium | +1.43% | +0.41 | 09/08 12:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
64%
|
noisy_chop 41% | early | near -0.7ATR | — | 0.44 | range_low | +0.75% | +0.19 | 09/08 13:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | normal | range_medium |
41%
|
noisy_chop 40% | mid | — | — | — | range_low | +0.33% | -0.06 | 09/08 13:15 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early | 6b | — | 1.92×ATR | p0 | +0.465×ATR | p47 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | 13b | — | 2.479×ATR | p26 | +0.305×ATR | p31 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 2b | — | 1.759×ATR | p15 | +0.124×ATR | p12 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 9b | — | 3.599×ATR | p55 | -0.7×ATR | p60 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
65074.9
0.00190628
65199
0.176496
64999.2
0.00307319
65199
0.193629
64803.5
0.00610289
65199
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2.3825
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2.5877
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0.18
-0.1803
0.4131
0.4133
0.8065
0.6481
-6.38
11.7508
1
0
0
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13:34 | 2.32620000 | 0% |
| 2 | 13:39 | 2.32530000 | -0.039% |
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 11:45:00 | 2.3474 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 12:10:00 | 2.3114 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 12:25:00 | 2.338 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 12:55:00 | 2.3147 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 13:50:00 | 2.3408 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 14:30:00 | 2.3196 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 15:10:00 | 2.3825 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 16:25:00 | 2.3313 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 16:45:00 | 2.3506 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 17:30:00 | 2.3242 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-08 20:30:00 | 2.3122 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 21:45:00 | 2.281 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 00:00:00 | 2.2735 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 00:45:00 | 2.2735 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 02:15:00 | 2.303 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 04:45:00 | 2.2589 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 09:45:00 | 2.3528 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 12:00:00 | 2.3114 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 15:00:00 | 2.3825 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 17:30:00 | 2.3242 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-07 14:00:00 | 2.4982 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 17:00:00 | 2.2869 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-08 00:00:00 | 2.2814 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-08 04:00:00 | 2.3844 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 09:00:00 | 2.3004 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-08 11:00:00 | 2.3719 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 15:00:00 | 2.2611 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 02:00:00 | 2.303 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 04:00:00 | 2.2589 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 15:00:00 | 2.3825 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.3262 | 2.316 | 2.3465 | 1.99 | 2.6467 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 2.316 - 2.3262 = -0.0102
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 2.3262 - 2.3465 = -0.0203
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0203 / -0.0102 = 1.9902
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1830.0414 | 100 | 786.7086 | 18.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0102 = -784.31
Taille de position USD = -784.31 x 2.3262 = -1824.46
Donc, tu peux acheter -784.31 avec un stoploss a 2.316
Avec un position size USD de -1824.46$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -784.31 x -0.0102 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -784.31 x -0.0203 = 15.92
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.92$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.87 % | 15.97 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.44 % | 8.02 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 15.97 $ | 0.87 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.1333 % | 30.4 % | 5 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.3262 | 2.316 | 2.3465 | 1.99 | 2.6467 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 2.316 - 2.3262 = -0.0102
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 2.3262 - 2.3465 = -0.0203
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0203 / -0.0102 = 1.9902
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.911% | 2.1R | -0.133% | 0.3R | 6.8× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.980% | 2.2R | -0.899% | 2.1R | 1.1× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +2.566% | 5.9R | -0.899% | 2.1R | 2.9× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.566% | 5.9R | -1.122% | 2.6R | 2.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.566% | 5.9R | -1.122% | 2.6R | 2.3× | 144 |
computed 1 week ago
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