Long Trade on LTC (CatchTheWave)
With 127 LTC at 46.2$ per unit. Take profit: 46.326 (0.27 %) & Stop Loss: 46.137 (0.14 %)
Long Trade on LTC (CatchTheWave)
With 127 LTC at 46.2$ per unit. Take profit: 46.326 (0.27 %) & Stop Loss: 46.137 (0.14 %)
Position
Entry 46.2$
Qty 126.9983 LTC
Size 5867.3195$ (margin 100$) (leverage 59)
Risk Setup
TP 46.326 (+0.27%)
TP $ 16$
SL 46.137 (-0.14%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.5306
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.06×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 1.92×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 9.40×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bull_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 1 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (+1) Tactical (1H) : bull_low (+1) 09/08 13:00 Score : +2 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.272548 15m : 0.390749 |
1H_regime : bull_low 15m_regime : range_low 5m_regime : range_low |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 08/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 09/08 12:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_low (+1) 09/08 13:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5382 | r1h: -0.114% · r4h: 0.455% · r1d: 1.30% · r3d: 1.42% · ema21_slope: 0.0487% · dist_ema21: 0.533% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5116 | rs_1h: -0.156% · rs_4h: -0.017% · rs_1d: 1.05% · rs_3d: 0.64% · beta_24h: 0.431 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.4837 | rvol_20: 2.08× · zscore_50: -0.070 · trend: -23.68% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6632 | ADX: 28.5 (trend) · Chop: 47.3 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.320% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.071% | 0.5R | -0.078% | 0.6R | 0.9× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.071% | 0.5R | -0.110% | 0.8R | 0.7× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.071% | 0.5R | -0.509% | 3.7R | 0.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.071% | 0.5R | -1.909% | 14.0R | 0.0× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.071% | 0.5R | -2.342% | 17.2R | 0.0× | 144 |
computed 1 week ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 34% | mid | — | — | 0.75 | bear_high | -2.96% | -0.20 | 08/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | strong | fading | compression | bull_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 40% | late | — | — | 0.66 | bull_medium | +1.43% | +0.17 | 09/08 12:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion_after_compression | bull_low |
49%
|
noisy_chop 41% | early | near -0.6ATR | near -0.1ATR | 0.57 | range_low | +0.75% | +0.01 | 09/08 13:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | expansion | range_low |
39%
|
noisy_chop 43% | mid | near 0.3ATR | — | — | range_low | +0.33% | -0.04 | 09/08 13:15 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 14b | — | 1.69×ATR | p0 | +0.585×ATR | p63 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 38b | — | 6.563×ATR | p97 | +0.616×ATR | p60 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 2b | — | 1.43×ATR | p0 | -0.149×ATR | p18 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 1b | — | 1.512×ATR | p6 | -0.872×ATR | p72 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
65077.1
0.00176513
65192
0.272548
64999.1
0.00296764
65192
0.390749
64803.5
0.00610289
65199
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46.455
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0.6468
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1
0.3216
1.7306
0.8
0.2
1
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1
0.5165
0.4452
3.017
0.5
1.5056
2.6495
1.7306
0.565
0.2747
0.7
0.2837
0.5306
0.5148
0.9411
0.8642
-1.5893
10.11
1
1
0
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (5)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13:36 | 46.20000000 | 0% |
| 2 | 13:42 | 46.19100000 | -0.019% |
| 3 | 13:48 | 46.18800000 | -0.026% |
| 4 | 14:01 | 46.18000000 | -0.043% |
| 5 | 14:06 | 46.17800000 | -0.048% |
Market Structure Score: 2
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 12:35:00 | 46.161 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 12:50:00 | 46.161 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 14:10:00 | 46.43 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 14:30:00 | 46.279 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 15:05:00 | 46.418 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 15:20:00 | 46.321 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 15:45:00 | 46.455 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 16:10:00 | 46.346 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 16:50:00 | 46.203 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 17:30:00 | 46.192 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 01:00:00 | 46.144 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 03:00:00 | 45.858 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 04:15:00 | 46.031 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 05:30:00 | 45.881 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 08:15:00 | 46.32 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 10:45:00 | 46.053 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 12:00:00 | 46.29 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 14:00:00 | 46.43 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 15:45:00 | 46.455 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 17:30:00 | 46.192 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-07 04:00:00 | 45.312 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 16:00:00 | 46.051 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 19:00:00 | 44.759 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-08 03:00:00 | 45.627 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 06:00:00 | 45.459 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-08 12:00:00 | 45.479 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 01:00:00 | 46.144 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 03:00:00 | 45.858 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 08:00:00 | 46.32 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 15:00:00 | 46.455 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 46.2 | 46.137 | 46.326 | 2 | 48.421 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 46.137 - 46.2 = -0.063000000000002
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 46.2 - 46.326 = -0.126
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.126 / -0.063000000000002 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5867.3195 | 100 | 126.9983 | 59.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.063000000000002 = -126.98
Taille de position USD = -126.98 x 46.2 = -5866.48
Donc, tu peux acheter -126.98 avec un stoploss a 46.137
Avec un position size USD de -5866.48$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -126.98 x -0.063000000000002 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -126.98 x -0.126 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.27 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.14 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.14 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.158 % | 115.84 % | 11 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 46.2 | 46.137 | 46.326 | 2 | 48.421 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 46.137 - 46.2 = -0.063000000000002
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 46.2 - 46.326 = -0.126
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.126 / -0.063000000000002 = 2
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.071% | 0.5R | -0.078% | 0.6R | 0.9× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.071% | 0.5R | -0.110% | 0.8R | 0.7× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.071% | 0.5R | -0.509% | 3.7R | 0.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.071% | 0.5R | -1.909% | 14.0R | 0.0× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.071% | 0.5R | -2.342% | 17.2R | 0.0× | 144 |
computed 1 week ago
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