Long Trade on PENGU (CatchTheWave)
With 129512.71 PENGU at 0.0066$ per unit. Take profit: 0.006727 (1.88 %) & Stop Loss: 0.006541 (0.94 %)
Long Trade on PENGU (CatchTheWave)
With 129512.71 PENGU at 0.0066$ per unit. Take profit: 0.006727 (1.88 %) & Stop Loss: 0.006541 (0.94 %)
Position
Entry 0.006603$
Qty 129512.7084 PENGU
Size 855.1724$ (margin 100$) (leverage 9)
Risk Setup
TP 0.006727 (+1.88%)
TP $ 16.06$
SL 0.006541 (-0.94%)
SL $ 8.03$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.7577
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | near | 0.08×ATR |
| 1d | near | -0.63×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bull_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 1 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (+1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 09/08 14:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.049737 15m : 0.208726 |
1H_regime : bull_high_confirmed 15m_regime : bull_medium 5m_regime : bull_medium |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 08/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2) 09/08 12:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1) 09/08 14:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7335 | r1h: -0.958% · r4h: 5.660% · r1d: 6.73% · r3d: 9.22% · ema21_slope: 0.1589% · dist_ema21: 5.035% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.7288 | rs_1h: -0.958% · rs_4h: 5.651% · rs_1d: 6.57% · rs_3d: 8.27% · beta_24h: 0.641 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.6833 | rvol_20: 1.84× · zscore_50: 1.044 · trend: 180.94% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.8807 | ADX: 45.7 (trend) · Chop: 10.8 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.269% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.485% | 0.5R | -0.545% | 0.6R | 0.9× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.697% | 0.7R | -0.545% | 0.6R | 1.3× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.605% | 1.7R | -0.545% | 0.6R | 2.9× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.605% | 1.7R | -2.575% | 2.7R | 0.6× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.969% | 2.1R | -2.575% | 2.7R | 0.8× | 144 |
computed 1 week ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | weak | fading | normal | bear_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 38% | late | — | near -0.6ATR | 0.74 | bear_high | -2.57% | +0.49 | 08/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | expansion | bull_high_confirmed |
63%
|
noisy_chop 42% | late | — | near 0.1ATR | 0.65 | bull_medium | +1.40% | +0.67 | 09/08 12:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
59%
|
noisy_chop 48% | late | — | — | 0.49 | range_low | +0.69% | +0.48 | 09/08 14:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | volatile_reversal | bull_medium |
61%
|
noisy_chop 53% | early | — | — | — | range_low | +0.25% | +0.46 | 09/08 14:00 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | late | 11b | — | 2.903×ATR | p12 | +1.295×ATR | p93 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 17b | — | 5.531×ATR | p91 | +2.353×ATR | p100 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 1b | — | 2.713×ATR | p48 | +1.554×ATR | p94 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 6b | — | 0.767×ATR | p0 | +0.071×ATR | p7 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
65110.8
0.000909126
65170
0.049737
65013.7
0.00223404
65159
0.208726
64797.7
0.00555962
65158
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-06 07:00:00
[1] => 0.006328
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-06 13:00:00
[1] => 0.00608
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-06 15:00:00
[1] => 0.006206
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-06 21:00:00
[1] => 0.005919
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-07 06:00:00
[1] => 0.006097
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-07 17:00:00
[1] => 0.005948
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-08 06:00:00
[1] => 0.006312
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-08 21:00:00
[1] => 0.006417
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-09 03:00:00
[1] => 0.006239
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-09 17:00:00
[1] => 0.006907
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -3.4747357753004
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 6.8600737297644
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 15
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 10.70684404552
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-09 01:00:00
[1] => 0.006352
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-09 03:00:00
[1] => 0.006239
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-09 04:30:00
[1] => 0.00635
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-09 05:30:00
[1] => 0.006285
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-09 09:45:00
[1] => 0.006374
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-09 11:15:00
[1] => 0.006298
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-09 13:45:00
[1] => 0.006407
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-09 14:30:00
[1] => 0.006341
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-09 17:00:00
[1] => 0.006907
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-09 18:15:00
[1] => 0.00664
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -3.633994498335
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.24096385542168
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 5
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 4.0210843373494
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-09 12:30:00
[1] => 0.006352
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-09 12:45:00
[1] => 0.006321
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-09 13:45:00
[1] => 0.006407
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-09 14:00:00
[1] => 0.006344
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-09 14:30:00
[1] => 0.006341
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-09 15:10:00
[1] => 0.006389
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-09 15:30:00
[1] => 0.006368
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-09 16:15:00
[1] => 0.006712
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-09 17:05:00
[1] => 0.006907
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-09 18:25:00
[1] => 0.006601
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -4.4013319820472
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.030298439630363
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 16
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 4.6356612634449
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
0.006907
198
0.7779
0.6484
0.3177
0.2314
0.3883
1
0.3492
0.5814
0.7168
0.976
0.6656
0.7571
0.2091
0.1156
1
2.1535
3.2432
0.55
0.45
1
1
1
0.5372
0.5297
7.6465
0.6
3.7528
11.1406
3.2432
0
0.2618
0.96
0.8291
0.6285
0.5784
0.571
0.7571
-2.1545
6.715
1
0
0
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (5)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14:27 | 0.00660300 | 0% |
| 2 | 14:33 | 0.00659400 | -0.136% |
| 3 | 14:38 | 0.00660300 | 0% |
| 4 | 14:44 | 0.00660000 | -0.045% |
| 5 | 15:15 | 0.00657400 | -0.439% |
Market Structure Score: 3
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 12:30:00 | 0.006352 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 12:45:00 | 0.006321 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 13:45:00 | 0.006407 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 14:00:00 | 0.006344 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 14:30:00 | 0.006341 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 15:10:00 | 0.006389 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 15:30:00 | 0.006368 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 16:15:00 | 0.006712 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 17:05:00 | 0.006907 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 18:25:00 | 0.006601 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 01:00:00 | 0.006352 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 03:00:00 | 0.006239 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 04:30:00 | 0.00635 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 05:30:00 | 0.006285 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 09:45:00 | 0.006374 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 11:15:00 | 0.006298 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 13:45:00 | 0.006407 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 14:30:00 | 0.006341 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 17:00:00 | 0.006907 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 18:15:00 | 0.00664 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 07:00:00 | 0.006328 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 13:00:00 | 0.00608 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-06 15:00:00 | 0.006206 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 21:00:00 | 0.005919 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 06:00:00 | 0.006097 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 17:00:00 | 0.005948 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-08 06:00:00 | 0.006312 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 21:00:00 | 0.006417 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 03:00:00 | 0.006239 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 17:00:00 | 0.006907 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.006603 | 0.006541 | 0.006727 | 2 | 0.006545 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.006541 - 0.006603 = -6.2E-5
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.006603 - 0.006727 = -0.000124
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.000124 / -6.2E-5 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 855.1724 | 100 | 129512.7084 | 9.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -6.2E-5 = -129032.26
Taille de position USD = -129032.26 x 0.006603 = -852
Donc, tu peux acheter -129032.26 avec un stoploss a 0.006541
Avec un position size USD de -852$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -129032.26 x -6.2E-5 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -129032.26 x -0.000124 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.88 % | 16.06 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.94 % | 8.03 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8.03 $ | -0.94 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.2721 % | 135.47 % | 12 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.006603 | 0.006541 | 0.006727 | 2 | 0.006545 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.006541 - 0.006603 = -6.2E-5
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.006603 - 0.006727 = -0.000124
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.000124 / -6.2E-5 = 2
Array
(
)
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.006727
[entry_price] => 0.006603
[stop_loss] => 0.0065348
[rr_ratio] => 1.82
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2026-08-09 22:50:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.006727
[entry_price] => 0.006603
[stop_loss] => 0.0065286
[rr_ratio] => 1.67
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2026-08-09 22:50:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.006727
[entry_price] => 0.006603
[stop_loss] => 0.0065224
[rr_ratio] => 1.54
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2026-08-09 22:50:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.006727
[entry_price] => 0.006603
[stop_loss] => 0.00651
[rr_ratio] => 1.33
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2026-08-09 23:05:00+00
[result] => loss
)
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.485% | 0.5R | -0.545% | 0.6R | 0.9× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.697% | 0.7R | -0.545% | 0.6R | 1.3× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.605% | 1.7R | -0.545% | 0.6R | 2.9× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.605% | 1.7R | -2.575% | 2.7R | 0.6× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.969% | 2.1R | -2.575% | 2.7R | 0.8× | 144 |
computed 1 week ago
Aucun commentaire.