Long Trade on BNB (CatchTheWave)
With 16.67 BNB at 608.21$ per unit. Take profit: 609.1701 (0.16 %) & Stop Loss: 607.73 (0.079 %)
Long Trade on BNB (CatchTheWave)
With 16.67 BNB at 608.21$ per unit. Take profit: 609.1701 (0.16 %) & Stop Loss: 607.73 (0.079 %)
Position
Entry 608.21$
Qty 16.6657 BNB
Size 10136.2406$ (margin 100$) (leverage 101)
Risk Setup
TP 609.1701 (+0.16%)
TP $ 16$
SL 607.73 (-0.079%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.6113
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | near | -1.67×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bull_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 1 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (+1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 09/08 14:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.212083 15m : 0.457805 |
1H_regime : bull_low 15m_regime : range_low 5m_regime : range_low |
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 08/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 09/08 12:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_low (+1) 09/08 14:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5482 | r1h: 0.059% · r4h: 0.303% · r1d: 0.78% · r3d: 2.78% · ema21_slope: 0.0564% · dist_ema21: 0.796% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5315 | rs_1h: 0.059% · rs_4h: 0.294% · rs_1d: 0.62% · rs_3d: 1.83% · beta_24h: 1.365 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1558 | rvol_20: 0.13× · zscore_50: -0.663 · trend: -59.32% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.8415 | ADX: 41.0 (trend) · Chop: 37.4 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.350% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.128% | 1.6R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +0.128% | 1.6R | -0.094% | 1.2R | 1.4× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.457% | 5.8R | -0.776% | 9.8R | 0.6× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.457% | 5.8R | -1.028% | 13.0R | 0.4× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.457% | 5.8R | -1.177% | 14.9R | 0.4× | 144 |
computed 1 week ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | normal | bull_high |
62%
|
noisy_chop 42% | late | — | near -1.7ATR | 0.83 | bear_high | -2.57% | +0.57 | 08/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | fading | compression | bull_high |
64%
|
noisy_chop 47% | late | — | — | 0.82 | bull_medium | +1.40% | +0.16 | 09/08 12:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bull_low |
53%
|
noisy_chop 48% | mid | — | — | 0.61 | range_low | +0.69% | +0.10 | 09/08 14:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | fading | compression | bull_low |
49%
|
noisy_chop 40% | early | — | — | — | range_low | +0.29% | +0.03 | 09/08 14:15 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | late | 16b | — | 3.936×ATR | p35 | +1.072×ATR | p88 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 5b | — | 2.034×ATR | p3 | +1.205×ATR | p90 |
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | 4b | — | 1.418×ATR | p0 | +0.75×ATR | p63 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 7b | — | 1.26×ATR | p3 | -0.107×ATR | p9 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
65116.3
0.00103886
65184
0.212083
65016.1
0.0026746
65190
0.457805
64798.4
0.00605875
65191
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611.46
195
0.7499
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1
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0.9474
0.535
0.4342
4.8585
0.7
2.5955
5.0485
4.2518
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0.3034
0.38
-0.1843
0.4428
0.5498
0.8056
0.8953
-1.4773
12.6333
1
1
0
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14:42 | 608.21000000 | 0% |
| 2 | 16:00 | 607.71000000 | -0.082% |
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 14:45:00 | 607.69 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 15:05:00 | 609.44 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 15:50:00 | 608.04 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 16:00:00 | 609.23 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 16:30:00 | 607.6 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 17:05:00 | 609.4 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 17:30:00 | 608.71 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 17:45:00 | 609.24 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 18:30:00 | 609.18 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 18:40:00 | 608.21 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 03:45:00 | 600.04 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 06:45:00 | 603.72 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 08:30:00 | 603.68 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 09:15:00 | 600.93 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 10:45:00 | 604.68 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 12:15:00 | 603.07 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 14:00:00 | 611.46 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 16:30:00 | 607.6 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 17:00:00 | 609.4 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 18:15:00 | 608.49 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 05:00:00 | 598.09 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 19:00:00 | 589.62 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 03:00:00 | 594.36 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 07:00:00 | 585.02 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 16:00:00 | 593.99 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 01:00:00 | 590.43 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-08 14:00:00 | 611.86 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 22:00:00 | 598.95 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 01:00:00 | 604.44 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 14:00:00 | 611.46 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 608.21 | 607.73 | 609.1701 | 2 | 625.24 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 607.73 - 608.21 = -0.48000000000002
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 608.21 - 609.1701 = -0.96010000000001
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.96010000000001 / -0.48000000000002 = 2.0002
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10136.2406 | 100 | 16.6657 | 101.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.48000000000002 = -16.67
Taille de position USD = -16.67 x 608.21 = -10138.86
Donc, tu peux acheter -16.67 avec un stoploss a 607.73
Avec un position size USD de -10138.86$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -16.67 x -0.48000000000002 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -16.67 x -0.96010000000001 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.16 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.079 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.08 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.0822 % | 104.18 % | 1 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 608.21 | 607.73 | 609.1701 | 2 | 625.24 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 607.73 - 608.21 = -0.48000000000002
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 608.21 - 609.1701 = -0.96010000000001
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.96010000000001 / -0.48000000000002 = 2.0002
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.128% | 1.6R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +0.128% | 1.6R | -0.094% | 1.2R | 1.4× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.457% | 5.8R | -0.776% | 9.8R | 0.6× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.457% | 5.8R | -1.028% | 13.0R | 0.4× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.457% | 5.8R | -1.177% | 14.9R | 0.4× | 144 |
computed 1 week ago
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