Long Trade on LIT (CatchTheWave)
With 690.3 LIT at 2.314$ per unit. Take profit: 2.3368 (1 %) & Stop Loss: 2.302 (0.5 %)
Long Trade on LIT (CatchTheWave)
With 690.3 LIT at 2.314$ per unit. Take profit: 2.3368 (1 %) & Stop Loss: 2.302 (0.5 %)
Position
Entry 2.3136$
Qty 690.3014 LIT
Size 1597.0814$ (margin 100$) (leverage 16)
Risk Setup
TP 2.3368 (+1%)
TP $ 16.01$
SL 2.302 (-0.5%)
SL $ 8.01$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.5172
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 2.74×ATR |
| 4h | near | -1.28×ATR |
| 1d | clear | — |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | early | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bull_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 1 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (+1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 09/08 14:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.21255 15m : 0.201513 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : bull_medium 5m_regime : bear_low_confirmed |
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 08/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 09/08 12:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 09/08 14:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5293 | r1h: -0.572% · r4h: 0.009% · r1d: 1.83% · r3d: 1.42% · ema21_slope: 0.0933% · dist_ema21: 0.383% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5009 | rs_1h: -0.572% · rs_4h: -0.001% · rs_1d: 1.66% · rs_3d: 0.48% · beta_24h: 1.629 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1773 | rvol_20: 0.29× · zscore_50: -0.786 · trend: -27.76% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6074 | ADX: 17.8 (weak) · Chop: 43.2 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.186% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.353% | 2.7R | -0.359% | 0.7R | 3.8× | 12 |
| 2h | +3.125% | 6.2R | -0.359% | 0.7R | 8.7× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +3.125% | 6.2R | -0.359% | 0.7R | 8.7× | 48 |
| 8h | +3.125% | 6.2R | -0.584% | 1.2R | 5.4× | 96 |
| 12h | +3.125% | 6.2R | -0.584% | 1.2R | 5.4× | 144 |
computed 1 week ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bull_high |
65%
|
noisy_chop 36% | early | — | — | — | bear_high | -2.57% | +0.58 | 08/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
64%
|
noisy_chop 36% | early | — | near -1.3ATR | 0.35 | bull_medium | +1.40% | +0.41 | 09/08 12:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | normal | bull_high |
64%
|
noisy_chop 42% | early | near -0.3ATR | — | 0.44 | range_low | +0.72% | +0.20 | 09/08 14:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | compression | bull_medium |
62%
|
noisy_chop 41% | early | — | near -0.1ATR | 0.16 | range_low | +0.28% | +0.08 | 09/08 14:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early | 6b | — | 1.981×ATR | p0 | +0.528×ATR | p54 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | 13b | — | 2.499×ATR | p29 | +0.271×ATR | p28 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 3b | — | 1.345×ATR | p2 | +0.426×ATR | p38 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 2b | — | 1.79×ATR | p22 | +0.551×ATR | p53 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
65116.9
0.000769196
65167
0.21255
65016.4
0.00245427
65176
0.201513
64798.2
0.00593775
65183
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2.3825
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0.3026
0.6317
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1.3343
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3
1
0.5415
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3.3182
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1.7174
2.5877
1.3343
0.6214
0.1994
0.26
-0.0801
0.4368
0.4467
0.9145
0.6721
-5.7448
11.773
1
0
0
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14:57 | 2.31360000 | 0% |
| 2 | 15:04 | 2.31580000 | +0.095% |
Market Structure Score: 0
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 12:55:00 | 2.3147 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 13:50:00 | 2.3408 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 14:30:00 | 2.3196 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 15:10:00 | 2.3825 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 16:25:00 | 2.3313 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 16:45:00 | 2.3506 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 17:35:00 | 2.324 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 18:15:00 | 2.3231 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 18:45:00 | 2.349 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 18:55:00 | 2.3114 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-08 21:45:00 | 2.281 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 00:00:00 | 2.2735 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 00:45:00 | 2.2735 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 02:15:00 | 2.303 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 04:45:00 | 2.2589 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 09:45:00 | 2.3528 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 12:00:00 | 2.3114 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 15:00:00 | 2.3825 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 18:15:00 | 2.3231 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 18:45:00 | 2.349 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-07 14:00:00 | 2.4982 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 17:00:00 | 2.2869 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-08 00:00:00 | 2.2814 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-08 04:00:00 | 2.3844 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 09:00:00 | 2.3004 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-08 11:00:00 | 2.3719 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 15:00:00 | 2.2611 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 02:00:00 | 2.303 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 04:00:00 | 2.2589 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 15:00:00 | 2.3825 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.3136 | 2.302 | 2.3368 | 2 | 2.7546 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 2.302 - 2.3136 = -0.0116
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 2.3136 - 2.3368 = -0.0232
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0232 / -0.0116 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1597.0814 | 100 | 690.3014 | 16.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0116 = -689.66
Taille de position USD = -689.66 x 2.3136 = -1595.6
Donc, tu peux acheter -689.66 avec un stoploss a 2.302
Avec un position size USD de -1595.6$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -689.66 x -0.0116 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -689.66 x -0.0232 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1 % | 16.01 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.5 % | 8.01 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16.01 $ | 1.00 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.3587 % | 71.54 % | 1 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.3136 | 2.302 | 2.3368 | 2 | 2.7546 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 2.302 - 2.3136 = -0.0116
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 2.3136 - 2.3368 = -0.0232
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0232 / -0.0116 = 2
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.353% | 2.7R | -0.359% | 0.7R | 3.8× | 12 |
| 2h | +3.125% | 6.2R | -0.359% | 0.7R | 8.7× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +3.125% | 6.2R | -0.359% | 0.7R | 8.7× | 48 |
| 8h | +3.125% | 6.2R | -0.584% | 1.2R | 5.4× | 96 |
| 12h | +3.125% | 6.2R | -0.584% | 1.2R | 5.4× | 144 |
computed 1 week ago
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