Long Trade on XMR (CatchTheWave)
With 3.84 XMR at 391.79$ per unit. Take profit: 395.9575 (1.06 %) & Stop Loss: 389.7062 (0.53 %)
Long Trade on XMR (CatchTheWave)
With 3.84 XMR at 391.79$ per unit. Take profit: 395.9575 (1.06 %) & Stop Loss: 389.7062 (0.53 %)
Position
Entry 391.79$
Qty 3.8392 XMR
Size 1504.1564$ (margin 100$) (leverage 15)
Risk Setup
TP 395.9575 (+1.06%)
TP $ 16$
SL 389.7062 (-0.53%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.7943
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | near | 0.43×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bull_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 1 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (+1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 09/08 14:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.097721 15m : 0.017562 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : bull_medium 5m_regime : bear_low |
Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (+3) 08/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2) 09/08 12:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 09/08 14:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5355 | r1h: -1.982% · r4h: 0.652% · r1d: 2.07% · r3d: 7.37% · ema21_slope: 0.1526% · dist_ema21: 1.121% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5081 | rs_1h: -1.982% · rs_4h: 0.643% · rs_1d: 1.91% · rs_3d: 6.42% · beta_24h: 4.235 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.9564 | rvol_20: 3.15× · zscore_50: 2.346 · trend: 250.39% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7370 | ADX: 28.4 (trend) · Chop: 10.6 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.390% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +2.305% | 4.3R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +2.392% | 4.5R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +2.392% | 4.5R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 48 |
| 8h | +3.101% | 5.8R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 96 |
| 12h | +3.101% | 5.8R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 144 |
computed 1 week ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | range | range | strong | fading | expansion | bull_high_confirmed |
67%
|
noisy_chop 42% | late | — | near 0.4ATR | 0.50 | bear_high | -2.57% | +0.91 | 08/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
61%
|
noisy_chop 46% | late | — | — | 0.36 | bull_medium | +1.40% | +0.64 | 09/08 12:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | strong | balanced | expansion_after_compression | bull_high |
70%
|
noisy_chop 45% | mid | — | — | 0.19 | range_low | +0.69% | +0.33 | 09/08 14:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | grind | volatile_reversal | bull_medium |
59%
|
noisy_chop 50% | late | — | — | — | range_low | +0.29% | +0.25 | 09/08 14:15 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | late | 12b | — | 4.005×ATR | p32 | +1.536×ATR | p97 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 1b | — | 2.859×ATR | p38 | +1.03×ATR | p85 |
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | 3b | — | 4.174×ATR | p75 | +0.051×ATR | p3 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 13b | — | 7.721×ATR | p96 | -1.216×ATR | p80 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
65114.1
0.00105761
65183
0.097721
65016.5
0.0025598
65183
0.017562
64798.2
0.00593775
65183
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415.43
196
0.7754
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0.4608
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6.8495
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7.1634
12.5144
1.6014
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0.1972
0.92
0.9172
0.7414
0.5418
0.524
0.6588
-3.3707
6.5081
1
1
0
Signal Details
Market Structure Score: 2
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 12:05:00 | 380.01 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 12:15:00 | 380.01 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 12:25:00 | 380.01 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 12:50:00 | 382 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 13:15:00 | 381.4 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 13:25:00 | 381.4 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 15:05:00 | 415.43 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 16:35:00 | 398.2 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 17:50:00 | 391.52 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 18:40:00 | 391.39 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-08 22:15:00 | 374.72 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-08 22:45:00 | 379.86 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 03:45:00 | 384.12 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 06:30:00 | 379.04 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 10:15:00 | 382.98 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 11:15:00 | 380.01 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 11:45:00 | 380.01 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 12:15:00 | 380.01 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 15:00:00 | 415.43 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 18:30:00 | 391.39 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-07 03:00:00 | 366.96 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 07:00:00 | 371.99 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 16:00:00 | 367.91 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-08 01:00:00 | 381.54 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 10:00:00 | 375.22 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-08 19:00:00 | 386.13 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 22:00:00 | 374.72 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 03:00:00 | 384.12 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 12:00:00 | 380.01 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 15:00:00 | 415.43 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 391.79 | 389.7062 | 395.9575 | 2 | 410.38 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 389.7062 - 391.79 = -2.0838
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 391.79 - 395.9575 = -4.1675
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -4.1675 / -2.0838 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1504.1564 | 100 | 3.8392 | 15.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -2.0838 = -3.84
Taille de position USD = -3.84 x 391.79 = -1504.47
Donc, tu peux acheter -3.84 avec un stoploss a 389.7062
Avec un position size USD de -1504.47$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -3.84 x -2.0838 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -3.84 x -4.1675 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.06 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.53 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16 $ | 1.06 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| 0 % | 0 % | 0 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 391.79 | 389.7062 | 395.9575 | 2 | 410.38 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 389.7062 - 391.79 = -2.0838
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 391.79 - 395.9575 = -4.1675
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -4.1675 / -2.0838 = 2
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Array
(
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +2.305% | 4.3R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +2.392% | 4.5R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +2.392% | 4.5R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 48 |
| 8h | +3.101% | 5.8R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 96 |
| 12h | +3.101% | 5.8R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 144 |
computed 1 week ago
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