Long Trade on SAGA (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 4364.86 SAGA at 0.0155$ per unit. Take profit: 0.01592 (2.51 %) & Stop Loss: 0.0137 (11.78 %)
09 Aug 2026 at 15:10:05
hyperliquid
SAGA
LONG
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
09 Aug 2026 15:10
→ 15:20
· 9 minutes
Position
Entry 0.01553$
Qty 4364.8585 SAGA
Size 67.7863$ (leverage 1)
Risk Setup
TP 0.01592 (+2.51%)
TP $ 1.7$
SL 0.0137 (-11.78%)
SL $ 7.99$
RR 0.21
Status
win
PnL
+2.25%
/ +1.53$
MAE -4.77%
MFE +2.25%
0.2R
expires
09 Aug 15:20
Exit
rank_decay: long rank=20 > threshold=10/39
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 63782)
#20 / 39
OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 09/08/2026 15:00
score du 09/08/2026 15:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.4749
Quality Score
0.542
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
90 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
1
OK
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
2.6M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
09/08 15:01
09/08 15:01
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#20 / 39
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
90 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
0
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+1
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
11.78 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#20 / 39
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
90 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+1
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
11.78 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | clear | — |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bull_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 1 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (+1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 09/08 15:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 08/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 09/08 12:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 09/08 14:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Score brut
0.5424
Score SMA
0.5704
Rank
#20
/ 39
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.4749
Rank Norm SMA
0.7078
Calculé le
09/08/2026 15:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6541 | r1h: -0.317% · r4h: -0.064% · r1d: 4.39% · r3d: 11.89% · ema21_slope: -0.1505% · dist_ema21: -1.926% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6260 | rs_1h: -0.351% · rs_4h: 0.010% · rs_1d: 4.13% · rs_3d: 10.66% · beta_24h: -13.323 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1753 | rvol_20: 0.08× · zscore_50: -0.371 · trend: -76.75% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.8006 | ADX: 36.1 (trend) · Chop: 26.7 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.3451 | ATR%: 4.965% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
4h)
Initial Risk: -11.784%
(0.0018)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +2.254% | 0.2R | -1.481% | 0.1R | 1.5× | 12 |
| 2h | +2.254% | 0.2R | -2.447% | 0.2R | 0.9× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +2.254% | 0.2R | -4.765% | 0.4R | 0.5× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.254% | 0.2R | -6.568% | 0.6R | 0.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.254% | 0.2R | -6.568% | 0.6R | 0.3× | 144 |
computed 1 week ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 0.95
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | strong | balanced | volatile_reversal | bear_high |
54%
|
noisy_chop 38% | mid | — | — | 0.34 | bear_high | -2.57% | +0.97 | 08/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
63%
|
noisy_chop 44% | late | — | — | 0.33 | bull_medium | +1.40% | +0.90 | 09/08 12:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | expansion | bull_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 43% | late | — | — | 0.03 | range_low | +0.72% | -0.58 | 09/08 14:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 43% | early | — | — | — | range_low | +0.28% | -0.08 | 09/08 14:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | 11b | — | 2.447×ATR | p0 | +0.995×ATR | p84 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 3b | — | 5.786×ATR | p91 | +0.07×ATR | p8 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 13b | — | 8.334×ATR | p98 | -0.17×ATR | p16 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 8b | — | 1.781×ATR | p25 | -0.059×ATR | p7 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - BUY
Indicators:
- stop_price: 0.01369718
- tp_price: 0.01591825
- atr: 0.00073313
- expires_at: 2026-08-10T01:10:05+00:00
Details
- rank: 7
- total: 40
- score: 0.6541
- delta_2h: 0.0558
- extension_atr: -0.6
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.4749
- confidence: 0.896
Signal Details
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.01553 | 0.0137 | 0.01592 | 0.21 | 0.01372 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.01553
- Stop Loss: 0.0137
- Take Profit: 0.01592
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.0137 - 0.01553 = -0.00183
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.01553 - 0.01592 = -0.00039
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00039 / -0.00183 = 0.2131
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 67.7863 | 67.7863 | 4364.8585 | 1.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -0.00183
Taille de position = 8 / -0.00183 = -4371.58
Taille de position USD = -4371.58 x 0.01553 = -67.89
Donc, tu peux acheter -4371.58 avec un stoploss a 0.0137
Avec un position size USD de -67.89$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -4371.58 x -0.00183 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -4371.58 x -0.00039 = 1.7
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 1.7$
Résumé
- Taille de position -4371.58
- Taille de position USD -67.89
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 1.7
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.2131
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.51 % | 1.7 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 11.78 % | 7.99 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 1.53 $ | 2.25 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.4507 % | 3.82 % | 1 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.01553 | 0.0137 | 0.01592 | 0.21 | 0.01372 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.01553
- Stop Loss: 0.0137
- Take Profit: 0.01592
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.0137 - 0.01553 = -0.00183
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.01553 - 0.01592 = -0.00039
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00039 / -0.00183 = 0.2131
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
4h)
Initial Risk: -11.784%
(0.0018)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +2.254% | 0.2R | -1.481% | 0.1R | 1.5× | 12 |
| 2h | +2.254% | 0.2R | -2.447% | 0.2R | 0.9× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +2.254% | 0.2R | -4.765% | 0.4R | 0.5× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.254% | 0.2R | -6.568% | 0.6R | 0.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.254% | 0.2R | -6.568% | 0.6R | 0.3× | 144 |
computed 1 week ago
Commentaires
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