Short Trade on KAITO (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 160.38 KAITO at 0.664$ per unit. Take profit: 0.6476 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 0.7141 (7.51 %)
09 Aug 2026 at 15:10:05
hyperliquid
KAITO
SHORT
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
09 Aug 2026 15:10
→ 21:05
· 5 hours
Position
Entry 0.6642$
Qty 160.3827 KAITO
Size 106.5246$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)
Risk Setup
TP 0.6476 (+2.5%)
TP $ 2.66$
SL 0.7141 (-7.51%)
SL $ 8$
RR 0.33
Status
loss
PnL
-3.04%
/ -3.24$
MAE -4.97%
MFE +1.17%
0.2R
expires
09 Aug 21:10
Exit
time_expired
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 63787)
#39 / 39
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 09/08/2026 15:00
score du 09/08/2026 15:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.0362
Quality Score
0.412
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0
BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
22.7M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
09/08 15:02
09/08 15:02
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#39 / 39
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+5
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
7.51 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#39 / 39
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+5
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
7.51 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | near | 0.12×ATR |
| 1d | near | -0.25×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bull_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (-1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 09/08 15:00 Score : -1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high_confirmed (+3) 08/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high_confirmed (+2) 09/08 12:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 09/08 14:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Score brut
0.4116
Score SMA
0.3676
Rank
#39
/ 39
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0362
Rank Norm SMA
0.0381
Calculé le
09/08/2026 15:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.1795 | r1h: -1.262% · r4h: -1.161% · r1d: -3.07% · r3d: -27.07% · ema21_slope: -0.2664% · dist_ema21: -3.291% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.2568 | rs_1h: -1.295% · rs_4h: -1.087% · rs_1d: -3.33% · rs_3d: -28.30% · beta_24h: 4.590 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.5388 | rvol_20: 1.62× · zscore_50: 0.808 · trend: 29.69% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5992 | ADX: 43.1 (trend) · Chop: 70.3 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.9587 | ATR%: 3.124% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -7.513%
(0.0499)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.174% | 0.2R | -1.792% | 0.2R | 0.7× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.174% | 0.2R | -1.792% | 0.2R | 0.7× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.174% | 0.2R | -3.061% | 0.4R | 0.4× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +1.174% | 0.2R | -4.971% | 0.7R | 0.2× | 72 |
| 8h | +1.174% | 0.2R | -6.614% | 0.9R | 0.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.174% | 0.2R | -6.614% | 0.9R | 0.2× | 144 |
computed 1 week ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.66
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | fading | expansion | bear_high_confirmed |
51%
|
noisy_chop 39% | late | near -0.3ATR | — | 0.38 | bear_high | -2.57% | -1.00 | 08/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | normal | bear_high_confirmed |
51%
|
noisy_chop 51% | late | near 0.1ATR | — | 0.00 | bull_medium | +1.40% | -0.99 | 09/08 12:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 37% | early | — | — | -0.10 | range_low | +0.72% | -0.42 | 09/08 14:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | expansion | bear_high |
62%
|
noisy_chop 43% | early | — | — | 0.02 | range_low | +0.28% | -0.24 | 09/08 14:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 11b | — | 5.41×ATR | p75 | -1.211×ATR | p89 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 48b | — | 13.295×ATR | p100 | -0.842×ATR | p68 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early | 2b | — | 1.112×ATR | p0 | -0.396×ATR | p38 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 7b | — | 1.676×ATR | p8 | -0.29×ATR | p34 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL
Indicators:
- stop_price: 0.7140707
- tp_price: 0.64758525
- atr: 0.01995228
- expires_at: 2026-08-10T01:10:05+00:00
Details
- rank: 40
- total: 40
- score: 0.1795
- delta_2h: -0.0086
- extension_atr: -1.22
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.0362
- confidence: 1
Signal Details
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.6642 | 0.7141 | 0.6476 | 0.33 | 0.3476 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.6642
- Stop Loss: 0.7141
- Take Profit: 0.6476
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.7141 - 0.6642 = 0.0499
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.6642 - 0.6476 = 0.0166
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0166 / 0.0499 = 0.3327
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 106.5246 | 100 | 160.3827 | 1.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.0499
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0499 = 160.32
Taille de position USD = 160.32 x 0.6642 = 106.48
Donc, tu peux acheter 160.32 avec un stoploss a 0.7141
Avec un position size USD de 106.48$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 160.32 x 0.0499 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 160.32 x 0.0166 = 2.66
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 2.66$
Résumé
- Taille de position 160.32
- Taille de position USD 106.48
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 2.66
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.3327
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.5 % | 2.66 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 7.51 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -3.24 $ | -3.04 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -4.9714 % | 66.17 % | 10 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.6642 | 0.7141 | 0.6476 | 0.33 | 0.3476 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.6642
- Stop Loss: 0.7141
- Take Profit: 0.6476
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.7141 - 0.6642 = 0.0499
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.6642 - 0.6476 = 0.0166
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0166 / 0.0499 = 0.3327
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -7.513%
(0.0499)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.174% | 0.2R | -1.792% | 0.2R | 0.7× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.174% | 0.2R | -1.792% | 0.2R | 0.7× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.174% | 0.2R | -3.061% | 0.4R | 0.4× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +1.174% | 0.2R | -4.971% | 0.7R | 0.2× | 72 |
| 8h | +1.174% | 0.2R | -6.614% | 0.9R | 0.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.174% | 0.2R | -6.614% | 0.9R | 0.2× | 144 |
computed 1 week ago
Commentaires
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